This thread covers different terms associated with an option chain excluding greeks that will be covered later.
2/n Option Chain is divided into 2 parts:
1⃣Calls (Ce)
2⃣Puts (Pe)
2/n When to buy Call vs Put:
🔸Call: When a trader is expecting the market to go up
🔸Put: When a trader is expecting the market to go down
Remember, one can also sell an option strike instead of buying:
3/n 🔸If you expect the market to go down you can sell a Call option rather than buying a Put option
🔸If you expect the market to go up you can sell a Put option rather than buying a Call option
If someone is:
🔸Bullish - Buy Call/Sell Put
🔸Bearish - Buy Put/Sell Call
4/n Let us list down the important terms associated with an Option Chain:
🟠Open Interest (aka OI)
🟠Change in OI
🟠 IV
🟠Volume
We will cover the first 2 in this thread rest in Part-2
5/n What is an Open Interest?
"Open interest refers to the total number of outstanding derivative contracts that have not been settled"
IF you’re reading this kind refer to the Option Chain as well, this will help you in more. nseindia.com/option-chain
6/n First we look out for the Strike Price for the Highest OI
Strike Price = 17,000,16900 highlighted above
Understand we are reading the Option Chain from a perspective of an options seller and not an options buyer
7/n
🔸The highest OI on the Call side indicated resistance
🔸The highest OI on the Put side indicated support
Please refer to tweet 3/n in case you're confused
This helps us in understanding the range of the market with the help of the highest OI on both sides
8/n For Example: Refer to the image (Highest OI in CALL side is at 17200 and Highest OI in PUT side is at 17000).
This indicates that range for NIFTY is 200 points
Please refer to the highlighted boxes.
9/n
So once the range is set, the traders take their position based on the data.
But does this stay the same everyday?
The answer is NO!
This we can see with the help of Change in OI section right next to the OI section in the option chain
10/n The change in OI helps us in to determine where is the range shifting,
The above option chain is of 24/3/2023;
The range according to Highest OI data was 17200-17000 but Nifty eventually closed at 16945, why did that happen and what should one do in that case?
11/n Observe the boxes,
The highest change in OI on Call & Put side can be seen at 17000 & 16800 strike respectively, this was an indication that the traders are expecting the market to go down due to a shift in range. The new support was emerging at 16800 & resistance at 17000
12/n Notice the Nifty price on 24/3/2023:
High: 17109.45
Low: 16917.35
If you carefully notice the behaviour of Nifty, it went up after taking support near 17000 (Highest Pe OI) later in the day it started moving down which can be observed in the data which indicated weakness
13/n
So our key takeaway so far is:
1⃣ Observe the highest OI to determine a broad range of the market
2⃣ Observe the Change in OI section to notice whether the range is still same or there is a build up happening at different strike to determine the move of the market
14/n Now let us cover 2 more terms associated with Options Trading:
1⃣ Short Covering
2⃣ Long Unwinding
We will take the same range of Nifty i.e. 17000-17200 to understand these terms
15/n
🟠 Short Covering:
Sometimes due to some news or some expectation index/stock will try to breach the RANGE (i.e 17200–17000)
Once Nifty starts sustaining above 17200 then, the CALL writers at 17200 will be at risk (LOSS)
16/n They will look to square-off (SELL) their position and the OI will start decreasing at that particular strike. This process of Squaring off by a Call Writer is known as SHORT COVERING
So by looking at this data, we can say that short covering will only happen above 17200
17/n
🟠Long Unwinding:
Similarly, for a PUT writer if NIFTY trades below the HIGHEST OI Strike, he will cover his LONG & this process is called LONG Unwinding
So looking at this data, we can say that Long Unwinding (Selling pressure) will only happen below 17000
18/n
Once Nifty started sustaining 17000, which was a support based on OI data, there was a fast momentum on the downside towards 16900 and the new support that was emerging was 16800 which was held at closing
19/n
📢Tip from trader's corner:
The Highest strike OI keeps changing during the market, whenever the change in OI is more than 10%, you can say that a short covering or a long unwinding may take place
Also, you cannot trade by only looking at the option chain so stay tuned
20/n
We have covered the basic of how to read an option chain in this part, we will be covering the advance version soon i.e.
1⃣ Option Greeks
2⃣ Impact of IV
3⃣ Moneyness (In the money, Out of the money & At the money)
4⃣ Option Strategies
Stay tuned for more.....
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Key updates and highlights for today morning. Reading time: 4 mins.
1/10
US Fed hikes interest rates by 25 bps. Inflation remains key focus and rate cuts are not expected in Base case scenario in 2023, but signals it is nearing the end of rate hikes.
2. US markets down 1.6% post rate hike, USD falls, while Crude gained 2%. US futures are up 0.55% today morning. SGX Nifty indicates minor red to a flat opening on weekly expiry.
3. Rakesh Jhunjhunwala awarded Padma Shri (posthumously), India's 4th-highest civilian honour; received by wife Rekha Jhunjhunwala.
Kumar Mangalam Birla awarded Padma Shri for contribution in trade and Industry.
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The candlestick has a long lower wick with a short body and little to no upper wick
3/n Chart view - highlighted candle
🔸A long wick indicates a weak trading session where sellers pushed prices down during the session.
🔸However, the green candle finish shows that buyers entered to end the session strongly.
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Can Campa Cola pose a real threat to Varun Beverages? We analyze in this thread:
1/n
2/ Chances are if you are under 30, you would have never heard of Campa Cola till a week back. Well, Campa Cola was a market leader and a rage through the 80s and early 90s.
Campa was created by Pure Drinks Group in the 1970s - they were pioneers of Soft drink industry in India.
3/ There were very few players in 1980s, and Campa dominated with its brand slogan "The Great Indian Taste". They had bottling plants in Mumbai, Delhi and Haryana.
Come 1990s, popularity of Campa declined after entry of foreign brands Coke and Pepsi and it gradually faded away.