Our economic damage estimates are what we can measure. The knock effects such as lost productivity due to a worker being present but working at say 50%-75% of capacity is missed plus burn out from those picking up slack. Also supply chain delays are not captured etc and etc.… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
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I have been asked to comment on Austin Private Wealth Management $DJT controversy.
The company has put out statement denying put position citing third party filing error.
They are a registered investment advisor with over 1,200 clients with assets under management of $1 billion. They are fee based only so my guess is the revenues for the whole firm are $10 million assuming standard 1% fee. Each portfolio for their clients is different. This is not a hedge fund.
Bottom line: the company denies it and they are not structured to pool bets like a hedge fund might.
This looks like a typical independent RIA to me. I don’t think there is anything here.
Additionally the filing on July 12 was for positions as of 6/28 so not a put position established on July 12 as many have suggested.
What would be interesting but not conclusive is a July SEC holding report for $DJT that will come out in August. Even then it’s a snapshot and what we really need is trading activity for $DJT that I think the SEC has access to but we don’t. The SEC should look into unusual trading activity for $DLT leading up to Friday.
1)We are all familiar with Federal Debt to GDP rising from 60% to 120% since 09 banking crisis.
However, an unnoticed trend of State Debt declining from 33% of total public debt in 09 to 10% today has resulted in federal power grab.
2) About 40% of a state's annual budget now comes from the Feds resulting in:
✅Reduced competition for private capital amongst states but increased competition for federal funding
✅Enhanced chances of corruption as decision making moves from the people to the DC swamp
✅States dilute their economic political sovereignty over Federal government dictates
3) Lastly, the states now have better balance sheets than the Feds so if this process continues at what point do states not take responsibilty for Federal debt? Secession seeds could take root
🚨🚨New Report: UK Death & Disability Analysis: Malignant Neoplasms (Cancer), Ages 15-44
✅The anecdotal evidence observed in independent media has been confirmed by a strong statistical signal
✅Excess Death Rates from Cardiovascular diseases flat in 2020 but up 13% in 21 & 43% in 22
✅Z-scores of 5 & 17 were observed in 21 & 22 respectively. Black swan signals.
✅Observations point to a worrying picture of an even greater acceleration in coming years of deaths & disabilities…an investigation is needed!
Trend analysis:
Deaths per 100k were trending down to around 12.8 before 2020. Dropped slightly in 20 to 12.5 and is now 14 in 2021 and 17.5 in 2022. About 1000 excess deaths in 2022
Men & women were down slightly in 20, in 21 men were 16% higher deviation from trend while women were 10% higher. In 22 men were 52% higher from trend while women were only 30%.
🚨🚨New Report: UK Death & Disability Analysis: Cardiovascular Disease, Ages 15-44
✅The anecdotal evidence observed in media has been confirmed by a strong statistical signal
✅Excess Death Rates from Cardiovascular diseases up 13% in 20, 30% in 21 & 44% in 22
✅Z-scores of 7.5 & 10.5 were observed in 21 & 22 respectively. Black swan signals.
✅Observations point to a worrying picture of an even greater acceleration in coming years of deaths & disabilities…an investigation is needed!
Trend analysis:
Deaths per 100k were trending down to about 8 before 2020. Started rising in 20 to 9 and is now 11 in 2022. About 700 excess deaths in 2022
Men & women were similar until 22 where men were 56% from trend while women were only 28%.
We analyze claims cleared by Body System then by Underlying Causes.
Can Doctors & Health authorities please explain these findings? It’s a crisis of epic proportions.
Total Body System findings summarized by % increase & z-score versus pre… https://t.co/QHA5BxhNa4twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Doctors and scientists are free to weigh in here. We are not doctors but it seems we have a crisis in healthcare that the health authorities are not acknowledging and we wonder why? The signals found here are just ridiculous and it looks like a cover up.
Sample of charts that can be generated from the report: Haematological (Blood Disorders) System is up 522% annually with an annual Z score of 61…seems bad to me ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Conclusion: Taken in conjunction with the increase in disability rates since early 2021, which we’ve shown previously, we believe that the most likely cause for the rise in both was due to the Covid 19 vaccines
In 2022 the absence rate was 11 sigma above trend & the worktime lost rate in 2022 was 13 sigma from trend.
This is a very strong signal.
Absence rates grew in each consecutive year since 2019