Rather a very IMPORTANT indicator that can CHANGE the way YOU trade/invest…🤓
So, hang on as I explain this with #TATASTEEL chart...
Let’s go 🧵…
1⃣ But, how will it change the way I trade?
- Ever wondered why the stock you are holding is not moving when the market is ripping higher?
Ex: ITC didn't move btwn June’20 & Feb’22 while the market rallied
This indicator will help you get rid of such underperforming stocks.
2⃣ ok, what’s RS?
When stock A goes...
- up faster than Nifty, it is STRONG/OUTPERFORMING relative to Nifty
- down faster than Nifty, it is WEAK/UNDERPERFORMING relative to Nifty
So, RS is relative performance of a stock compared to any benchmark (refer chart for example)
Like to watch a video explanation?
Then watch this video where I explain all of this in detail!
3⃣ Let’s dig deeper:
A stock is outperforming/strong when
- Nifty is going up, but the stock is going up much faster than Nifty
- Nifty is going down, but the stock is going down much slower than Nifty or going up
4⃣ More definitions:
A stock is underperforming/weak when
- Nifty is going down, but the stock is going down much faster than Nifty
- Nifty is going up, but the stock is going up lesser than Nifty or going down
5⃣ Moving on to examples…
- If a stock has gone up from 100 to 500 in the last 6 months & Nifty has gone up from 10000 to 15000 in the last 6 months, then you can say the stock has gone up 5 times & Nifty has gone up only 50%.
This shows that the RS of the stock is Strong
6⃣Let's calculate RS...
- Ex: stock price @ 100 & Nifty @ 10k
- Divide the stock price/Nifty
- 100/10000=0.01
- To make it easily understandable, let’s multiply this by 100. So, 0.01*100=1.
If you continue to do the above every day until the stock reaches 500 & Nifty reaches 15000 & if you plot it in a graph with the ratio on the y-axis & time on the x-axis, y'll notice a rising line chart
This tells you stock is clearly outperforming Nifty
8⃣ Let’s do the reverse…
If the stock is not going up as much as Nifty or if the stock is going down when Nifty is going up, then you will see a line/graph chart where the trend is down, as shown below.
9⃣Adding a 52 week MA to the RS…
- Let's add a 52 week exponential moving average(red line) of the RS that will help us understand RS trend of the last 1 yr
- The red line is much smoother & shows that the average RS was in a strong downtrend before trending up.
🔟 Let’s simply it…
- If the RS is above the 52 wk MA(red line), this signals that the RS is moving higher or the stock is outperforming Nifty.
- If the RS is below the 52 wk MA(red line), this signals that the RS is moving lower or the stock is underperforming Nifty.
- In the below chart, around Line 1, the price remained flat but RS kept rising - outperformance.
- Later the stock price also broke out from consolidation & started a long term uptrend that lasted for 2 long years from 2016 to 2018.
1⃣2⃣Stock starts to underperform...
- In '18 after a 2 yr strong uptrend (Line 2), RS went below the red line & the stock price also broke down from an uptrend & started heading lower.
- Since, '18 RS line has always stayed well below the red line indicating underperformance
1⃣3⃣ Tatasteel rises…
- In '20 crash (Line 3), the RS was flat while price went down to 250
- RS remained flat coz price fell lesser than Nifty
- In Nov’20 price broke the downtrend & went higher & RS crossed red line too
- Since that breakout Tatasteel has outperformed Nifty
It took me 10+ years & more than 1000+ hours of practice…
to master these 5 IMPORTANT RULES WHILE DRAWING TRENDLINES 🎯
These simple rules, if mastered, can help one spot HIGH PROBABILITY TRADES!
Ready to learn?🤓
Let’s go🧵…
1⃣ Trendlines are zones and not a single line!
- Due to volatility in price, many times prices tend to spike on both sides
- So, consider trendlines as zones from multiple swing highs(include wicks) to get the best fit trendline
- Your winning probability increases with zones
2⃣ Trendlines with more touchpoints
- Any trendline with 3 or more touchpoints is a very significant one
- The price points around significant trendlines are important & should be watched
Master the art of trend reversal patterns & protect your hard-earned money!🤓
In this thread, you will learn...
3⃣ Types of TOP REVERSAL PATTERNS...
...that will signal a change in the direction of the existing or predominant uptrend!
Let's go...🧵
Before we start, If you are person who enjoys watching videos for a detailed explanation you can watch this video where I explain everything...
Else, read on... 📚
1⃣ Failure Swing
- Price makes a high & then the next high fails to cross the previous high
- Price now breaks the swing low between the two highs thus signalling a potential sell
- This sell signal indicates a potential change in trend
It took me 1000+ hours of practice to...
...learn how to NAVIGATE FALSE BREAKOUTS🎯
In this 🧵, I will be sharing 6 techniques...
...as to how I try to avoid getting CAUGHT & LOSING MONEY💰 trading breakouts
Ready to learn?🤓
Let’s go🧵…
1⃣ Cardinal rule: Stop chasing breakouts...
- If everyone is talking about it on social media and it has already broken out
- If a stock has moved up already for the last few days
- If a stock is up more than 10% already from breakout zone
- If your SL is deep
2⃣ Enter only on breakout & nowhere else if you're trading breakouts...
Buy only…
- above breakout zones (no entry in no-man land)
- above a key resistance zone after a stock consolidates
- 1-2% above resistance zone
- Identify entry points(set alerts on TV/set GTT in zerodha)