First of all, a year's worth of fluctuation in the reserve depletion date is not a cause for alarm--or celebration, if it goes the other way!
For over a decade, every Trustees' Report has estimated a reserve depletion date between 2033 and 2035. 2/
You may see alarmist headlines about Social Security, but don't be fooled.
Social Security can pay full benefits for at least another decade, giving policymakers time to carefully craft a funding package that protects the program's critical benefits. 3/ cbpp.org/blog/social-se…
To ensure Social Security keeps its promises to retirees, those who become disabled, and survivors, we will have to raise more revenue, especially from the wealthy. This is a small price to pay to secure this critical program. 4/
For more on the Medicare Trustees Report, also released today, follow my colleague @PaulNVandeWater. I’ll also follow up with more details for those who want to dig in. 5/
Social Security's trustees measure the program's long-term shortfall as a percent of taxable payroll. In the 2023 Trustees' Report, it's -3.42 percent. That's a change of 0.19 percentage points from last year's report. 2/
The report helpfully breaks out what's different.
The biggest change comes from updated methodology. That made Social Security's financing gap 0.06 pp worse, on net, compared to last year's report. But obviously using updated methodology is good! Yay, actuaries! 3/
It's Social Security & Medicare Trustees' Report week! Here's what you should know:
1. Don't been fooled by alarmist headlines. Even if Congress does nothing, Social Security can pay full benefits for 10+ yrs, and 3/4 of benefits after that. 1/
Same goes for Medicare. The program is not "bankrupt." Like Social Security, it faces real but manageable financing gap that we can solve *without* slashing benefits that millions of people need. 2/
2. Watch this space for news about what's new in the Social Security Trustees Report. I'll be tweeting Friday 3/31 when the report is released. My colleague @PaulNVandeWater will do the same for Medicare. 3/
It’s been 50 years since the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program was signed into law. So how’s SSI doing, 50 years on? #SSIat50 🧵1/
Upon passage in 1972, policymakers said SSI was “designed to provide a positive assurance that the Nation's aged, blind, and disabled people would no longer have to subsist on below-poverty-level incomes.” 2/ ssa.gov/history/pdf/Do…
Well . . . today, roughly half of SSI beneficiaries *do* live in poverty. 3/ cbpp.org/research/socia…
The fiscal year ends in just 2 weeks, so Congress must pass a stopgap funding bill (aka continuing resolution, or CR) for FY23.
That includes funds to administer Social Security & SSI, which together serve over *70M* Americans. 2/
Customer service delays at the Social Security Administration (SSA) are already causing serious problems for applicants & beneficiaries, who are enduring record-long waits for disability decisions, long hold times on the agency’s 800 number & other problems. 3/