What if Seymour Hersh and those of us who take him seriously on #NordstreamSabotage all suckers?
Who’s screwing us, why, how and what’s their endgame?
2/ I dismiss the notion that Sy would just sit there in his big armchair and make it all up. No way he’d pull such a giant prank on those who admire him. And he isn’t mad either.
3/ so who screws him?
4/ Some commentators describe Hersh as a rambling incoherent senile constantly changing his story while demonstrating total ignorance of basic facts. I’ve noticed that this view of Hersh strongly correlates with suggestions it’s Russia at work.
5/ Russia , the thinking goes, blew up the pipeline in a stealthy ops under NATO’s nose, while and in an even shrewder move, planted a story in Sy’s mind that confirmed all his biases about Norway, Nuland, Biden CIA so he thought 100% it was the truth.
6/ a further look into this school of thought reveals another Russian signature. While performing these hyper intelligent stealthy ops, their incompetence and museum grade WW2 weaponry doom them to lose the war.
7/ only Russia has this duality, and when using their stealthy aspect they never fail. They are obviously 100% certain of success channeling disinformation through Hersh, since failure would ridicule their entire base of assets in the west.
8/ for those of us with a flawed self image of being independent thinkers, the two aspects of Russia don’t add up and that’s exactly why we fall for the deception. Perhaps, you never know when you’re inside a bubble.
9/ IF Russia actually DID possess the skills to pull off this combined psychological/kinetic operation to successfully blame USA and win Germany’s hearts, I admit it would be rational to do it. I just don’t think that highly of them.
10/ So what if it wasn’t Russia who blew up their own pipeline, but Ukrainians, Poles or some other group blew it up to hurt Russia and to please USA by giving them deniability? What would be the point of deceiving Hersh in such a scenario?
11/ Maybe Hersh sniffed a lie from US officials and started to investigate, so CIA designed another lie to match Hersh’s confirmation bias and divert him from the truth? Not unthinkable.
12/ CIA superstar disinformation operators would engineer a story humiliating the Biden admin so the same admin could protect their proxy and achieve deniability, counting on OSINT to show Hersh was wrong.
13/ Maybe I just underestimate the US intelligence services the same way I underestimate the Russians. But in any case, if they have such intelligence, can we agree they could both use it better? /end
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1/ Here's a thread about known explosions of #NordStreamSabotage . Four locations, two in Danish zone and two in Swedish zone. Two on NS1 and two on NS2. "NS1S" ="Nord Steam 1 Sweden" Look at the names in the picture to identify the four sites.
2/ Each pipeline has two "Strings" which are accurately drawn on the navigational chart. For NS2 we know from official docs which one of the strings is A and which is B. I used the same nomenclature for NS1.
3/ Zooming in on the NS1S site we suspect there were two bombs there and both were on String A. This is because of the Gazprom press release reporting "two craters 248 meters apart". This is the site filmed by Expressen, BBC, and Greenpeace.
1/ I realized this morning there is a way to verify wether both strings are in fact blown up on both sites of NS1.
If that was the case, the whitewater ring over the danish leak would fade sooner, since its's three times longer to the Russian side and three times the gas.
2/ I made a small polygon in google earth with corners on leak locations. Then uploaded to imagehunter.apollomapping.com to see available satellite footage. Must admit the images seem to debunk double-string bomb hypothesis.
3/ This is a "free preview" and it shows Danish and Swedish NS1 leaks of equal size 4 days after blast. Germany reported pressure drop 7 bars in just one day, so both strings of NS1 cannot have been totally ruptured on the Swedish side,
While waiting for Seymour Hersh to drop more inside details, I'd like to make some comments on the information flow in the intermediate aftermath of the #Nordstream explosions. Thread:
2/ The first media report I've been able to find is Danish Jyllandsposten dated at 7PM Monday26. That's 17hours after the first explosion. jyllands-posten.dk/indland/ECE144…
3/ Jyllandsposten credits Reuters for info that the operators of NS2 discovered "leak" at night. I can't find the original Reuter report now. Can anyone help?
Here, on camera, is the Seymour Hersh interview on #NordstreamSabotage published in Berliner Zeitung earlier this week.
This is not a guy who's been fooled by a single source.
Watch!
At 22:42 Hersh is very clear that European and American pipeline owners know the story and "it's there for the taking". It's like a serious warning to other journalists. Talk to those owners, or embarrass yourself even more.
3/ 20:00 - 20:51 Hersh talks about bombs not working, there was panic, other agencies were called.
When listening it's not 100% clear that the unexploded bombs are left on the bottom.
I talked to an experienced pilot about the reliability of flight tracking data for military aircraft. Here is what I learned/got confirmed.
1. It's unthinkable to fly in controlled European airspace with tracking turned off. It's a safety violation.
2/ Every flight is reported by dozens of amateurs who pick up the signal, it's on their local computers so can't be scrubbed from databases without possible "Streisand effect", -oh it's removed .. interesting, let's look at the hard disk. Why this flight? Tweet...
3/When the P-8A aircraft descends below controlled airspace and turn off ADS-B tracking, As they did before the sabotage, there is no obligation to report to civilian air traffic control, and no civilian means of seeing the aircraft.
2/ The "routine" -to fly a P8-aircraft near surface for four hours at night, 4 days in a row, seems unique. I've been scrolling through radarbox and similar sites for all P8-missions worldwide since last summer and seen nothing like it.
3/ Of course there could be other reasons to look for submarines in the Baltic on Sept 23, 24, 25 and 26, but the uniqueness of doing this four days in a row rings a bell. Perhaps the "routine" was created just as cover.