In today's #vatniksoup, I'll talk about Twitter. Elon Musk recently released the Twitter's algorithm as open-source for all to see (kudos!), and people have already found some interesting things from the code.
Here's my analysis on the most interesting findings.
1/21
First of all, let's start with the "I told you so" moment: On 26 Dec 2022, I theorized that pre-Elon there was a adjustment in the algorithm that prioritized Ukraine-related content, making it more visible, thus making it gaining more likes and retweets.
2/21
After Elon took over, my engagement in Ukraine-related content went down by 40%. This same drop was experienced and reported by Denis Zakharov (@betelgeuse1922) and Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews). Apparently, right after taking over Twitter, Elon Musk put in place an...
3/21
...algorithm change that PENALIZED all Ukraine-related content, making it less visible. For bigger accounts like Davis', 40-50% drop in engagement is HUGE. Now, this could've been due to there being a Ukraine-boosting prioritization before, which he then reversed...
4/21
...- I guess we'll never know. If the penalization list is in chronological order, the addition to punish Ukraine-related content was the latest addition.
Now, the rest of the algorithm works pretty much like all social media algorithms work: promote thought-provoking...
5/21
...content and kill any conversation around it. Each like gains 30x boost, re-tweets get a 20x bonus, and replies have no effect at all. So appease to your audience and refuse to talk with the dissidents, and you'll be rewarded by the algorithm.
6/21
Adding media helps, and adding both videos and images gives you a 2.0x boost. External links, on the other hand, may hurt your engagement especially if the account is fresh. I assume this was done to counter the spam bots that spread harmful and spammy links.
7/21
Your following-to-follower ratio also matters, and there's an algorithm that reduces the engagement of users who follow a lot of accounts but have only few followers. This could be used to counter the "follow me and I follow back" accounts who try to...
8/21
...garner a large following in a short time.
If a lot people have muted or blocked you, your engagement goes down. Same happens, if a lot of people have recently unfollowed you or reported your account for spam and/or abuse.
9/21
Having Twitter Blue gives you a HUGE boost in engagement, ranging from 0 to 100 with the default of 4x.
Besides Ukraine-related content, there are penalties for posting disinformation, medical misinformation (most probably related to COVID-19), calls for...
10/21
harmful acts (probably installed after Jan 6th), "not safe for work" content (usually porn), content with withheld DMCA strikes, and hateful and/or violent content.
But if the account is big enough, these penalties don't even matter. Take for example Donald Trump Jr.'s...
11/21
..disinformative tweet about Zelenskyy banning the Ukrainian Orthodox Church: this was clearly a lie and was labelled as such, yet the tweet itself gained 16 000 retweets and 64 000 likes. Once you've got big enough audience on Twitter, none of the penalties apply.
12/21
Remember those Twitter circles which shows who you interact with most? Twitter does those,too.Most of the users who tweet regularly are put inside a circle & posting on topics outside of your circle actually hurts your engagement. Now,this penalty is 10x which is again huge.13/21
So just keep on posting stuff that appeases your audience and you won't get punished. Any new perspectives and challenging of people is strictly forbidden, at least if you want to stay relevant. Twitter also tracks the time people spend on your tweets, probably to increase..14/21
..the engagement of threads. If people spend over 2 minutes reading your tweet or if people check your profile through one of your tweets, you also get bonuses.
Twitter also detects for "unknown language", so misspelling, typos or using of words that don't exist penalizes..15/21
..your engagement a LOT (0.01x penalty). So even if you have a good message, it can be penalized if it's badly written. This again seems like a measure against auto-translation bots that spew out bad English en masse.
Interestingly, Twitter also tracks closely the...
16/21
...engagement of US political system, by tracking the impressions on both Republican and Democrat users. It also tracks how so-called Power Users and Elon himself are doing in terms of impressions.
To conclude: Twitter's algorithm is working exactly like other social...
17/21
...media platforms, meaning that it promotes the idea of "information bubbles" and echo chambers. It seems that Elon Musk also lied when he said that Twitter now promotes all viewpoints equally - as there's a engagement penalty for all Ukraine-related content.
18/21
I actually appreciate Musk for releasing the algorithm as open-source, but there's also one big problem: it allows social media manipulation on Twitter to be taken to a whole new level. Let me give you an example: if troll farms want to decrease the engagement of a ...
19/21
...dissident, all they have to do is create hundreds of accounts that then mute/block that dissident's account. They can also increase engagement for propagandists and grifters by retweeting and liking their content. Actually, anyone can do it - buying 1000 likes ...
20/21
...costs you today around 30 USD, and 500 retweets can be bought for 15 USD. Or, if you're the owner of the platform, you can just change the algorithm so that EVERYONE sees your tweets whether they care about your message or not.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce Russian propagandist Sergei Tsaulin. He’s best-known for spreading pro-Kremlin narratives in Estonia, fleeing to Russia after breaking several laws in Estonia, and almost getting blown up by a bomb in St. Petersburg.
1/17
For years, Tsaulin was known for organizing marches and events glorifying the Soviet Union. Under the excuse of “remembering history,” these events were nothing more than Kremlin propaganda, wrapped in a red flag with a hammer and sickle.
2/17
One of his most infamous events was the “Immortal Regiment” march, held every 9th of May, where people carried portraits of Soviet soldiers. These marches are used by Russia to push the idea that the Baltics owe their existence to the Soviets.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a podcaster and conspiracy theorist, Joe Rogan (@joerogan). He’s best-known for launching the biggest podcast in the world, promoting various conspiracy theories, his support for Donald Trump and his anti-Ukraine rhetoric.
1/22
Joe Rogan started as a stand-up comedian in the 1980s, found fame on NewsRadio, and became a household name with Fear Factor. But his biggest impact came in 2009 when he launched The Joe Rogan Experience (JRE), one of the first major podcasts.
2/22
JRE started as casual but deep conversations, often covering countercultural topics like psychedelics, MMA & hunting. Joe’s podcasting style is largely non-confrontational, often allowing his guests to share their views without significant pushback or critical questioning.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce KOOS party leader and Estonian crypto businessman Oleg Ivanov. He’s best known for running shady businesses, spreading Russian false narratives in Estonia, and participating in the pro-Kremlin political party KOOS.
1/18
As a talented youngster, Oleg learned Estonian almost flawlessly, was a promising karate athlete, and landed a job at a law firm at just 20. He caught the eye of Estonian fuel entrepreneur Endel Siff, who quickly took him under his wing.
2/18
Oleg’s father, Vladimir Ivanov, was a longtime politician from the Russian-funded United People’s Party of Estonia. His career at the town hall ended abruptly when he was caught drunk at work. After that, he went into business with his son, Oleg.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll talk about the takeover of social media by illiberal, populist influencers. For the last ten years, social media has been dominated by these voices and it is one of the main reasons for the political rise of people like Trump and Orban.
1/25
“Illiberal populists” like Trump reject democratic norms while claiming to speak for “the people.” They centralize power, attack institutions, and push nationalism over rights. Elections exist, but checks & balances erode. This is democracy in name, autocracy in action.
2/25
The media landscape has changed drastically over the past two decades. The Internet and social media have changed how we interact online & how we consume media,but it has also become our main source of news. In many ways,social media companies have control over information.