My kind of afternoon chat when the feed talking about divs.
3D div discussion on $BTC.
The simple answer is use the Awesome Oscillator. It will do a far better job of tracking "longer" divs.
From my perspective, the 3D div has already played out, this is fresh price action.
You can see the way the AO tracks both the original triple div on the highs and the single divergence on the ATH push.
This run had a div, we corrected 21% and now we've just made a higher high (invalidating trying to connect all highs like the first triple div)
RSI also hit below 50 - which is typically a point you'd be satisfied a div has played out. Note the fact we never did this on the first triple div or the second ATH div.
So from my perspective and the way I interpret the charts.
This is div played out already on the last correction.
We're now in a fresh patch of price action.
We just broke resistance.
You cannot connect the highs to make a "div"
Well, you can, but it's not the same as before.
The structure on $ETH is still way more attractive from a bearish perspective.
But as mentioned previously, we're finely poised here. Any impulse upwards and RSIs and AOs going to move hard into the upper extreme (and it's still my belief that they both do this)
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Sometimes you feel frozen out of the markets. Price never returns to your levels, you miss each move higher, your alts never seem to move, when you close the position down they moon.
Common feelings for many.
I'll give some advice.
The trend is the most powerful beast in the markets. When you have strong candles and a trending structure, you have to dial down the IQ a little.
The more you overthink the trend, the harder it becomes to get involved.
Whatever direction you're trending, find entry.
The "find entry" part is a little challenging, but in reality it's not.
It's likely to be your fault you can't enter. And it's usually down to leverage and position size.
When conditions are good, you want to size up, the dreams of huge riches take over.
I bought some $32k $BTC Calls this week (adding to my $20.5k spot buys) with take profit target of $38k.
1. Range breakouts tend to be very strong and I think $28k isn't high enough for a 9 month range breakout play. 2. Although far longer, the $14k range gave a 50% breakout in… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Regarding end of April strike, I think it offered the most value for what I'd want to see as a continuation of the breakout under the current conditions.
Essentially, break the range, time for expansion.
Former range breaks both on BTC and ETH have both moved quickly.
Oh and last one.
Obviously $30k is super significant (or so we think) - so I guess we'll see a reaction there.
However, I also remember the thought process when we were going to test $6k from beneath for the first time. It looked like the Bearlin Wall, but we obliterated it.
Hitting the 35% $APE swing short with a little bit of midtrade RSI analysis for you to enjoy.
@TheHavenCrypto has been running for over 2 years and you can access over 100 hours of educational content and streams from 5 analysts by signing up here:
"I'm sure LUNA will be fine."
"I'm sure UST will be fine."
"I'm sure FTX will be fine."
"I'm sure USDC will be fine."
If the events of the last 12 months taught you anything it's that you take the necessary steps to protect yourself, regardless of how unlikely they may seem.
Don't sit back and be a bystander, you have to act because in this space the situation can get significantly worse very quickly.
If you have fear/concerns then make sure you're proactive and start making changes.
You still have the ability to act, make sure you're protected.
Ask anyone about the prior events, they probably had ample time to do something but were lead by Twitter posts and messages from key accounts that prevented them from acting.
If you have any bad feelings, concerns or want protection, you have to act.
Quick 🧵 on current structure for $BTC and why we're at one of the best regions for longs and most difficult regions for shorts and planning for the "unlikely but destructive" scenarios.
At present $BTC is fighting to maintain it's uptrending structure.
These areas typically cause some of the strongest resilience points for the market. This is because they offer the best RR for getting long in an uptrending market and represent the most risk for holding shorts.
From a simple structure perspective, you're taking the trade from the higher low formation, and aiming for a fresh high (as the market is still uptrending.)
Market is still strong, no break of structure, and resilience around this low.