*Ultimate Crypto Stocks Thread*

Crypto stocks are my primary exposure vehicle this bull run.

I've been building positions for months (owned $MSTR since October 2023 - choosing it over $BTC exposure) and ramped up buying significantly before the election.

I am already in a disgusting amount of profit, but it's going to get much crazier.

There are a huge amount of reasons why, especially in this environment I think crypto stocks outperform the majority of crypto coins.

I'll present:

- Overall comparisons against coins
- Outperformance of crypto stocks
- Reasons why
- Environmental shift
- Technical Analysis

First up comparisons. Before you think this is some recent obsession, I've been advocating for this for a very long time, all the way back in September 2023 when I took exposure in $MSTR instead of $BTC.

Here's a thread from back then:

https://x.com/ColdBloodShill/status/1701332573123662121

One of my strongest held beliefs is that the continued dilution of memecoins is one of the best bullish catalysts for $DOGE.

>DOGE is a memecoin, I buy
>Oh these new meme coins outperform DOGE
>Wow there's now millions of memecoins on millions of chains
>I will just buy DOGE What's happened over time is that we've diluted to a huge degree.

Initially you had:

DOGE

If you wanted a lotto ticket, "DOGE to $1!" that was your play.

In trading, for the majority, the more information you look to gather, the more indicator usage you rely on, the more data points you consider, puts you further from the intellectual path you believe you're following and deeper into the middle of the curve.

Simplicity. Knowledge is sometimes a curse.

The more we know in trading actually causes our decision making to become less clear.

Analysis-paralysis takes hold.

The Curious Case of Ethereum.

Let's take a little dive into the $ETH price action and determine whether or not we're at a psychological extreme that means we should be long, or if the market truly is the loser we all think it is.

🧵 At time of writing, ETH sits +62% up in 2023.

For comparison:

SOL +480%
BTC +121%
MSTR +242%
AVAX +90%
NVDA +250%

It's been an incredibly poor performer and would be more suited to the bottom of a list of investable markets right now.

In every uptrend there is that sell off that catches people out.

Conditioned into buying dips (as they should), people bid too early and haven't spotted the signals from HTFs that this is one they should sit out.

IMO that's where we are, I think this one is deeper. 🧵 So what does that mean?

I think the HTF is more "ready" for a correction than at any other point we've seen so far, I think that the signs of weakness are there after a huge run.

Big HTF divergences without a playout, I want to see those resolved.

One of the most dangerous trading mindsets to fall into is:

"I believe [insert price move here] is going to happen soon."

The psychological impact is very strong.

I'll dive a little deeper into TUNNEL VISION TRADING.

🧵🧵 We've all had it before.

"Oh I think a big move is incoming"

"Oh this resistance looks like it's going to break soon"

"Damn the volatility has really slowed down, huge move coming"

"We're going to breakdown really soon here, looks so weak"

"Yeah, this is really close now"

The concerning picture for $BTC.

This is the first time we've seen the higher timeframes struggling under the selling.

Momentum and trend could be ready to shift strongly to the downside.

Let's explore the current picture and break it down in a momentum/education manner.🧵 As highlighted here, this is the first time in 2023 that we see the midpoint of RSI looking as though it will be lost.

This is an important (and simple) measure of who is in control of the market and to which direction we can expect the stronger moves.

*THREAD*

Wake up and realise where you are financially.

There's a popular topic that comes up on Twitter regularly regarding the value of $. Whether a total is enough to retire, whether a random amount of money is a lot or not.

Many of you have lost all understanding of $. 🧵 Being involved in the space starts to skew the amount of $ that feels significant, but typically doesn't change the reality of how significant $'s are for individuals.

We see stories about people hitting huge multipliers on alts, transforming small totals into retirement sums.

Lower leverage.

Wider stops.

Otherwise you're going to piss away another period of green markets because you convinced yourself you needed to size up and overtrade simple conditions to make profit, resulting in frequent stop outs, bleeding of accounts and deep regret when you… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… In the past 3 days this market has provided some examples of why LTF positioning with tight stops isn't working right now.

We're producing whipsaws back and forth and closing each day at a fresh high.

For the vast majority it's not worth the pain or effort to be on LTF.

Let's imagine things are green for a while.

The higher timeframes are set up very well for a lot of charts right now.

How do you take advantage of this?

How do you ensure you make money and not lose it during strong momentum?

EDUCATION TIME 🧵 We'll start with the SETUP phase.

This is typically a time where you think/know/anticipate the conditions being green and markets rising in value.

Usually this is kind of a HTF idea or thought process you have and you begin to think about positioning or do position.

Missing out on significant or life-changing money creates a psychological stamp that will forever affect your future trading decisions.

Everyone remembers that entry they had on a coin at "X" price (usually incredibly low) before it runs to "Y" (usually incredibly high)

🧵 The imprint these moments create are impactful, I would have thought many of you reading this can think back to alts you owned at certain prices before they mooned.

These sorts of moments will cling onto you.

My kind of afternoon chat when the feed talking about divs.

3D div discussion on $BTC.

The simple answer is use the Awesome Oscillator. It will do a far better job of tracking "longer" divs.

From my perspective, the 3D div has already played out, this is fresh price action. You can see the way the AO tracks both the original triple div on the highs and the single divergence on the ATH push.

This run had a div, we corrected 21% and now we've just made a higher high (invalidating trying to connect all highs like the first triple div)

This Monthly close marks the end of my Silver buying for Calls, physical and miners.

I have as much exposure as I'd like for this play.

I've been trading this since May 2021 from a swing perspective (thread below) - and now it's time to leave these alone until 2024.

Good luck. Original Silver breakdown short from to Monthly retest.

https://twitter.com/ColdBloodShill/status/1529102500313300994?s=20

The Sidelinoor Thread 🧵

Sometimes you feel frozen out of the markets. Price never returns to your levels, you miss each move higher, your alts never seem to move, when you close the position down they moon.

Common feelings for many.

I'll give some advice. The trend is the most powerful beast in the markets. When you have strong candles and a trending structure, you have to dial down the IQ a little.

The more you overthink the trend, the harder it becomes to get involved.

Whatever direction you're trending, find entry.

I bought some $32k $BTC Calls this week (adding to my $20.5k spot buys) with take profit target of $38k.

1. Range breakouts tend to be very strong and I think $28k isn't high enough for a 9 month range breakout play.
2. Although far longer, the $14k range gave a 50% breakout in… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Regarding end of April strike, I think it offered the most value for what I'd want to see as a continuation of the breakout under the current conditions.

Essentially, break the range, time for expansion.

Former range breaks both on BTC and ETH have both moved quickly.

Hitting the 35% $APE swing short with a little bit of midtrade RSI analysis for you to enjoy.

@TheHavenCrypto has been running for over 2 years and you can access over 100 hours of educational content and streams from 5 analysts by signing up here:

whop.com/thehaven/check… I produce educational content on every aspect of my system, RSI, Awesome Oscillator, and Renko content.

There's also a huge range of psychology videos for trading extremes, FOMO, discipline and every other topic I and other traders have felt.

"I'm sure LUNA will be fine."
"I'm sure UST will be fine."
"I'm sure FTX will be fine."
"I'm sure USDC will be fine."

If the events of the last 12 months taught you anything it's that you take the necessary steps to protect yourself, regardless of how unlikely they may seem. Don't sit back and be a bystander, you have to act because in this space the situation can get significantly worse very quickly.

If you have fear/concerns then make sure you're proactive and start making changes.

You still have the ability to act, make sure you're protected.

Quick 🧵 on current structure for $BTC and why we're at one of the best regions for longs and most difficult regions for shorts and planning for the "unlikely but destructive" scenarios. At present $BTC is fighting to maintain it's uptrending structure.

These areas typically cause some of the strongest resilience points for the market. This is because they offer the best RR for getting long in an uptrending market and represent the most risk for holding shorts.

This period of chop will put you on a bias rollercoaster.

Your mind still operating at 100mph for breakouts/momentum up that when the market slows down you're still in overdrive based on the LTF action.

Each LTF move feels significant, and it's death by 1,000 cuts for many. It's incredibly difficult to stop and appreciate what's happening. Usually it's through failure of setups/things that previously worked.

What's important is how quickly you can stop doing the same thing over and over again, and instead wait for the next clear momentum burst.

Please be the top.

If anyone from The Cartel literally sneezes then my 1000x is gone.

rollbit.com/referral/CBS They coming for me.

$ETH hasn't managed to break through the sea of red in 12 months.

When it does attack and break clear it tends to be aggressive.

March 2022 produced a +17% push in 10 days for ETH.

I think we have the potential to go equally quickly through this region. (Pending breakout*) We also have a very similar structure to July/Aug 2022.

Some people will notice this price action from the bearish divergence playout I was posting about on our last major sell off.