1/ Yesterday, a public announcement was made regarding the formation of a group called the "Club of Angry Patriots." To gain insight into the gravity of this group, I recommend briefly examining their backgrounds and reviewing the summary of their "manifesto."
2/ This group consists of several terrorists, extremists, and political activists. Among its members are Pavel Gubarev, Vladimir Grubnik, Igor Strelkov, Viktor Alksnis, Maxim Kalashnikov, Maxim Klimov, Mikhail Aksel, and Evgeny Mikhailov.
3/ Pavel Gubarev is known as the "People's Governor" of the Donetsk Region in 2014. Western audience may recognize him for his statement: "But if you don’t want to be convinced, we’ll k*** you. We’ll ki** as many as we have to: one million, five million, or exter**** all of you."
4/ Igor Strelkov(Girkin) is a terrorist, retired(?) FSB colonel, nationalist, and monarchist. Strelkov was a participant in the occupation of Crimea and was also a former leader of the separatist movement in Donetsk in 2014. He was convicted for shooting down flight MH17
5/ Vladimir Grubnik is a notable leader of the russia-backed separatist movement in Odesa. He was arrested as a leader of a sabotage group in 2015, but later exchanged during a prisoner swap in December 2019.
6/ Viktor Alksnis (also known as Black Colonel) is a former Soviet Air Forces colonel and a former Deputy of the State Duma. In 2018, he was elected co-chairman of the all-Russian movement "National-Patriotic Forces of Russia.
7/ Maxim Klimov is a retired Captain 3rd rank (equivalent to Lieutenant Commander in the US Navy). He frequently appears as a guest in Igor Girkin's videos and is often referred to as a "military expert" in various Russian media. Klimov mainly covers military naval topics.
8/ Maxim Kalashnikov is a writer and political activist. He is the host of the online platform "ROI TV," which frequently features Girkin alongside various conspiracy theorists, monarchists, radicals and marginalized political groups.
9/ Mikhail Axel is one of the leaders of the National-Bolshevik (Fascist-Communist party) movement in Moscow. He actively assisted Donbas separatists with humanitarian aid in 2015.
10/ Yevgeny Mikhailov is a former assistant to the Chief of Staff of the Presidential Administration of Russia until 2012. He is also a former Governor of Pskov oblast until 2004 and Member of the State Duma: 1993-1996. Mikhailov frequently appears as a guest on Strelkov's videos
11/ The "Club of Angry Patriots" has formulated a set of beliefs and proposals, including recognizing Russia's right to restore its historical borders, opposing the policies of the Wagner group, avoiding new Minsk agreements, and approaching turbulent times with a united front.
12/ The "club" expresses concerns regarding the unpreparedness for a war of attrition, cautioning that a defeat could lead to the russia's collapse. They emphasize that they do not intend to remove the government, but aim to reverse a potential coup from Kremlin elites.
13/ They also aim to bridge the informational gap between decision-makers and the public. The club's overarching objective is to unite "genuine patriots" of diverse political backgrounds into a cohesive platform.
14/ Strelkov has a history of organizing such movements, as seen in creation of the "Committee of January 25th" in 2016. This committee proclaimed a goal to reunify the Russian people into a single state. It positioned itself as an anti-liberal third force
15/ If you are not familiar with this movement, it is not surprising as it existed for less than a year and did not produce any tangible results. There is a possibility that the "Club of Angry Patriots" may meet the same fate as its predecessor.
16/ The fact that this movement has made its presence known through a manifesto in russia, where even liking the wrong social media post can result in imprisonment suggests a backing from a powerful figure from elites, and developing internal struggle among them
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According to Russian milblogger Fighterbomber, who has a wide network within the Russian Air Force, an Il-76 was shot down in Sudan on November 4 by the Rapid Support Forces. According to him, the aircraft had been purchased in Kyrgyzstan a month and a half ago for $12 million
2/ A video showing a burning object falling from the sky, likely the claimed Il-76, has also been recorded and published
3/ While I do not have solid sources in Sudan, one of my contacts located there has confirmed that reports about a downed Il-76 have been circulating within the RSF since yesterday. Government forces are actively using the Air Force to supply besieged cities
Some observers have described the fall of Pokrovsk as “sudden.” That may be true if one followed the wrong analysts. In reality, the defense deterioration was apparent as early as 2024 and became unmistakable by 2025, as the underlying dynamics made the outcome nearly inevitable:
2/ That the city continued to hold out until November is, in itself, an achievement. Still, the rapid loss of positions in summer/fall 2024, which left logistics vulnerable and exposed the flanks, combined with manpower shortages, largely dictated the outcome now unfolding
3/ Launching a counteroffensive capable of retaking the city and securing its flanks, or even holding for another year, would have required diverting significant resources from other sectors of the front, a tradeoff that would result in disastrous situation elsewhere.
North Korea and Russia are rapidly building their first road bridge to enhance logistics and expand military and economic ties. Frontelligence Insight has analyzed satellite imagery and project documents to estimate its completion and potential impact. 🧵Thread:
2/ Today, Russia and North Korea have no direct road connection. The only land crossing is the 1950s-era Korea - Russia Friendship Railroad Bridge. Air and maritime routes, via Pyongyang Airport and ports like Rajin, exist, but their capacity and costs are often suboptimal.
3/ In the summer of 2024, Russia confirmed plans to build a road bridge over the Tumen River, with construction led by Russia’s TunnelYuzhStroy. The project is budgeted at ~9 billion rubles (~$110M), spanning 4.7 km in total, with the bridge itself about 1 km long
A multi-day analysis of battlefield dynamics and internal Russian data: both public and non-public, points to multiple trends and key points which we summarized. 🧵Thread:
2/ Ukraine’s deep strike drone campaign has inflicted significant direct and secondary damage across Russia, contributing to a perceptible shift in perceptions of the war’s trajectory and its cost benefit among both military command and law enforcement senior leadership.
3/ According to analyzed communications from dozens of senior Russian officers in Moscow and in the field, there is a growing perception that the war has effectively reached a strategic and political dead end - sustained primarily by President Putin’s personal insistence
SLB, the world’s largest offshore drilling company headquartered in Texas, continues to operate in Russia despite international sanctions, according to documents published by the analytical firm @dallasparkua. 🧵Thread:
2/ In March 2022, SLB publicly announced that it would suspend all new investments in the Russian market in response to international sanctions. This was in the statement from Chief Executive Officer Olivier Le Peuch, issued from the company’s Houston headquarter
3/ In October 2022, the company underwent a global rebranding, changing its name from Schlumberger to SLB. The Russian subsidiary retained the name Schlumberger Technology Company. However, leaked correspondence point that it continues to be integrated into SLB’s global framework
Breaking: On October 13, Russia’s Government Legislative Commission backed a Defense Ministry bill allowing the use of reservists for defense-related tasks in peacetime. The measure expands the military’s authority to call up reservists for wartime needs. 🧵Thread:
2/ According to the draft law, “special assemblies” are military call-ups for specific defense missions during armed conflicts, counterterrorism operations, or when forces are deployed abroad. Only reservists will be subject to these special assemblies.
3/ Russia’s mobilization reserve consists of individuals who have voluntarily signed contracts to remain in reserve. Putin established the country’s mobilization manpower reserve in 2015 through an executive decree.