A simple lesson in identifying your 'range' / 'broadening formation'
Must know what is a swing low or swing high we'd deem as important.
Here is a swing low
Yellow is the 'invalidation' of it if you were taking this hammer signal.
This is also a swing low.
Swing high example
I hope you guys see the #BoxSetup logic & why we like the 15s timeframes just from these alone.
This is the most important part so pay attention.
This is not a swing high.
This is a consolidation, this is waiting to decide.
Until the mother bar to this inside bar gets violated on either side I do not consider it a swing high.
The second we see new highs occur is when we can then start looking for more 'range' to be put in
This is because when you're stuck in a consolidation you have NO range to target, it is simultaneously creating range and taking out range within a larger range. Aka CHOP SHOP.
Now that we know what a solid swing high and swing low looks like.
How do we actually identify where price is going and which 'pivots' will give good actionable signals?
It's actually really simple!
Swing highs and lows get PAIRED together.
The pairing of the highs and lows is the 'broadening formation magic'.
If we look to the LEFT as much as possible and zoom out we can identify the external areas of the range that will give you the *ACTUAL* move that people talk about all the time.
When people say it's a 'fake' move they are talking about the run into the external range.
That move becomes fake when you take liquidity and create a reversal.
On a HTF it'll be a strat reversal
On a LTF you'll see ICT concepts if the range is large enough
8H NQ STUCK = BF
On small range days aka 'seek 'n' destroy' days you're given price action without retracements like today more often than not.
Seek 'n' destroy is an ict coin of a broadening formation.
The funny thing is seek 'n' destroy happens on our larger ranges as well..
So how do we identify the larger ranges?
The SAME exact way that we identified that smaller consolidation.
Identify your swing highs and lows
The second we get a candle a penny below we can then look for a reversal signal higher.
The lower timeframe on this chart is a little bit hard to distinguish so we can bump the timeframe up or down.
Given we expect news / volatility at NY open we should be on LTF with the HTF idea if we want to reduce our risk [at the risk of stopping out more often.
Now I ask you follow the charts and thought process.
Part 1 is where we sit on hands
Part 2 is where we still sit on hands
Part three gives you some decent internal range to play.
Notice how there is technically some false 'strat signals'
That's why the stops are tight and why we want actionable signals.
Another thing to add on not getting stopped out of positions as often.
We want to wait for liquidity to be ran on the timeframe we're trading on.
Not always will there be a swing high then new high then reversal but it IS what we want to see.
The reason we WANT to see that is because it helps us do TWO things.
First it helps us define WHEN we should take action back into the external range.
SECOND it is a 'tell' that the 'new range' is beginning.
Entry model [use ICT or strat entries]
I wanted to touch on how we draw BF's based on the ideas of swing highs. I'll add that when I have some time if you guys like the thread.
Long story short with the BF's
Until there is a new swing high formed it is 'expando' of the range.
Once the swing high forms we re-draw
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Most people have no idea why Christians are so head over heels for Jesus and think it's foolish.
In light of Easter this weekend lets break it down in a way that's easy to comprehend. Regardless of your belief or faith.
First, what is this "Good Friday?"
It is the day that Jesus died on the cross.
This is a historical fact & even most athiest scholars attest that this was a real historical event.
In Christianity this is believed as God showing up as a man--like a hand fills a glove, living a perfect life & accepting the suffering on the cross to show his love to the world and to offer forgiveness to every single person.
Including yourself.
We'll get to why God would even decide to do that in a second..
Now, why would God go through so much pain? Well the problem comes from the beginning of humanity.
Adam & Eve were tempted in the garden to eat from the tree of the knowledge of Good & Evil. They fell to this temptation & they ate from the tree.
The second they did this, they suddenly understood concepts like right and wrong, shame, and vulnerability.
They realized they were naked & hid themselves from God.
Winning positions look like a reversal after price has made a new low or new high.
This is because when you make new highs it tells you of a buyer that took the offer and was willing to pay up!
If you make new lows it tells you of a seller that hit the bid and was willing to sell down!
Therefore when you reverse back through that range that aggressive buyer/seller is forced to do something! Either exit their position or attempt to defend their position.
2) What does a reversal look like?
A reversal looks like any of these patterns here. Given there is only 3 scenarios there is only so many ways price can reverse.
We never have to guess if price is reversing once we understand this.
3) What does a winning long position look like?
In this example you will see price made new lows, then it reversed back through the previous range & caused sellers to take a loss.
Thus we made new highs & stopped all the 'tight stop guys' who have placed their stops where they got in or against obvious pivots
This is called a 2d-2u reversal paired with the actionable signal of the hammer.
The scenario 2 down that is closer to breaking 2u on the next candle is a signal [with the hammer] because we can anticipate price will reverse. Because one of the most common reversals is the 2d-2u reversal!
The decoupling is a phenomenon that occurs with the opening prices of the aggregation series (candles).
The universal truth of the opening price is simple.
Price trades higher or lower. It does this because of aggressive buying (taking the offer) or aggressive selling (hitting the bid)
This must be the case as a buyer with 100,000,000 shares on the bid would NOT move the market. They have to be willing to step up and cross the spread.
Vice versa for the sellers.
Therefore we will either be green or red during any candle.
The greener the candle the more evidence of aggressive buying you have.
Long green bars tend to get greener.
Long red bars tend to get redder.
If a candle is going up +20% it will go +5% first.
This is the universal truth of continuity. Not only red/green, but HOW red or green?