If you don’t understand reclaim, you won’t be able to make winning positions.

Let’s fix that. 📚

1/6 The Winning ‘Pattern’ The broadening formation tells us if price fails one side of a range it is attempting to take the other.

This is the winning pattern because it allows you to gauge magnitude, or where price is going.

Thus all trades are framed via this universal truth of price.

📚 How to create winning positions

Winning positions look like a reversal after price has made a new low or new high.

This is because when you make new highs it tells you of a buyer that took the offer and was willing to pay up!

If you make new lows it tells you of a seller that hit the bid and was willing to sell down!

Therefore when you reverse back through that range that aggressive buyer/seller is forced to do something! Either exit their position or attempt to defend their position. 2) What does a reversal look like?

A reversal looks like any of these patterns here. Given there is only 3 scenarios there is only so many ways price can reverse.

We never have to guess if price is reversing once we understand this.

The importance of time in the trading of a full time stock trader.

Understanding #TheStrat’s universal truth of the decoupling sequence.

THREAD 📚 (2/3)

https://twitter.com/alexsoptions/status/1812664324361421088

The decoupling is a phenomenon that occurs with the opening prices of the aggregation series (candles).

The universal truth of the opening price is simple.

Price trades higher or lower. It does this because of aggressive buying (taking the offer) or aggressive selling (hitting the bid)

This must be the case as a buyer with 100,000,000 shares on the bid would NOT move the market. They have to be willing to step up and cross the spread.

Vice versa for the sellers.

Highs and lows trade in a series of new highs and new lows. (Broadening formations)

Thus, price trades in a series of broadening formations.

Series: A set of quantities constituting a progression or having the several values determined by a common relation.

This is a true statement that then can produce true levels of support / resistance. Example: NVDA

This is what we say when we want to go back through previous range. As each tri is reclaimed it’s more likely to continue.

We can then build upon the tri universal truth.

Every move starts by going inside. Then broadening formation. Then expansion.

The key is to identify when your inside. Then identify the new broadening formation.

THREAD Identifying when you’re inside is simple. Zoom out, if you go to an inside day you’ll see a new 60 tri. Inside month new daily tri. Inside quarter new weekly tri. Etc. This HAS to happen.

Tri = Triangle = Broadening Formation

Notice daily inside bar for the tri shown above!

📚 Anatomy of a winning trade A Thread 📚 What was the market doing?

At the point of the simultaneous 2d-2u break in the XLU we had seen the market being a definite bear market with all sectors down on the month. This break in the utilities told us they were WILLING TO ROTATE. This normally suggest a short term bottom in indexes when this market condition occurs.

https://x.com/AlexsOptions/status/1780656493475328261

📚 Intro to irrefutable truths we can know about the stock market

Enjoy. 🔑Bid/Ask

If you’re a new trader it’s okay to do one thing and get good at it!

From what #TheStrat tells us we have a few super simple ways to start out

1) Just sticking to the #MindTheGap list that @ElaineBenes99 posts every day.

📚Rules

- Only trade 2-2 or 1-2 signals
- Trade with daily continuity
- Use the 30/60 2) Stick to the simultaneous breaks across the 4 major indexes

When you get all 4 indexes inside on the 60min you now have an actionable signal primed across the whole market. When a few of those break in the same direction the rest should follow.

📚 Rules

Just the 60 inside bar break
Ideally buy all of the signals that trigger.

Stops can be widened to the 60 continuity level due to higher conviction

Strat concepts such as being stuck on the HTF or at exhaustion risk still apply!

Simultaneous 2-1-2 can turn into 1-2-2 reversal should things fail!

Best to not get out until these reverse against you on the 60 because when they go.. they go!

💡New Traders Struggle with THREE things. And I'm here to give you a simple solution to #3.

1) Not understanding who is in control of price.

When trading, it is super important to know the larger 'trend' or direction of the market. Even if you're trading a 5 minute chart. 2) Most people do not have a solid strategy of identifying WHERE price is headed.

Without knowing where the move may likely end you will have no idea when you should be taking profits or be trading in the COMPLETE wrong direction.

Ever had this happen?

A simple lesson in identifying your 'range' / 'broadening formation'

Must know what is a swing low or swing high we'd deem as important.

Here is a swing low

Yellow is the 'invalidation' of it if you were taking this hammer signal. This is also a swing low.

Just played some QQQ longs and took some vix poots on the vix 2H shooter.

Expecting ranging type of week and we just opened new quarter,mo,week,day etc. No reason to overstay a monday win. Also we don't really blast it out much but we do have a FREE side of the house at stratalerts.com/discord

In there most days when I'm able.

A thread for Stratters trying to understand ICT stuffs

A.M.D -> [Accumulation,Manipulation,Dist]
The creation of a broadening formation. You want that initial tiny consolidation then expansion in opposite direction of TimeFrameContinuity and find the reversal back down. Example $AMD [Funny enough..]

$NQ_F Pretty textbook look here. Of note is that it didn't shift structure. Personally don't think I'm staying up to play it

Orderblocks.

A thread on identifying which side of the market is winning. What is an orderblock?

A high probability orderblock in my definition is an aggressive move that gets reversed [box setup ;) ]

Looking for this aggression will keep you out of crappy choppy action and will keep you on the right side of the market 80-90% of the time.
Examples..

$ES_F m5 Next 'large' move heavily dependant on $DXY positioning in the near future.

$UUP $DXY / $PDBC , $CL_F , $GC_F

Macro View of the market & my personal thoughts. ( $UUP quarterly hammer = bullish bias)

A strengthening dollar is NOT good for the commodities industry & UUP was predictive from 2018 into the crash of commodities prices.

And in 2020 UUP marked the bottom for commodities with as the Covid crisis came underway.

WTF are those numbers on your charts @AlexsOptions ? Why are you saying that's the bottom?
What's a rev strat?
2-2 reversal? Looks like candles to me...
Pffft broadening formations? I want what you're smoking.

Any of my followers with those thoughts just read... #TheStrat What is TheStrat? It's @RobInTheBlack 's strategy he's developed over many years that uses 3 fundamental truths in price action. These are important because price CANNOT trade outside of the rules we're going to talk about meaning we know EXACTLY what is happening.