I try all sorts of whacky stuff on weekends. Most of it ends up being totally useless. I waste far too much of my life on this stuff!
Currently backtesting over the last 2 weeks with my day-to-day trend algos. Decided to break my order into parts and spread it over 100 nq pts 1/
Result? A mediocre profit turned into a much larger profit 🤔
The same risk control and stop were used. Only the initial entry size was much reduced. A much higher profit was attained. A sizeable one-way drive over 100pts would probably hurt 2/
But, not I think that much. Still cuts if the trend changes. More testing to do, but throwing the concept out there, into the wind, as I tend to do. Maybe you algo guys are interested. I am sure it's been around for a while, and perhaps someone here has already tried this?3/
Mkt slow - Made coffee money, so just doing research.
An idea share (just been working on it). Physcology-based trades (the best!)
Take fav oscillator (this is StochRSI / 60m chart).
Mark Ray on bar H/L when entering extremes (where mean traders start counter-trading). 1/
Realise how often they get killed (at least in the short term). This should be a lesson for you in itself!
Realise how often price retests those levels for a bounce.
Makes sense, no? They get out when they are in back profit. Orange lines are examples. Try it. Let me know... 2/
BTW - I do not advocate fading these trends. A sure way for you to get killed also, but realising there is a possibility of a reversal and a good potential (swing) target, should get you drawing those trend lines, etc., right? 3/
Back at home and reading some DM's (long thread warning!)
I'd like to make it clear - I do not have a magic strategy to sell/offer/give. I cannot 'tell' you how to be profitable. I can share some stuff I do on here, and you can use it how you see fit 1/
I can share some of the tools I use/built, that I could not make money without (and I do!).
I can share levels and ideas (I do!).
But _you_ have to turn that into something you can execute because it is different for us all.
I have spent many years staring at screens. 2/
I built a lot of stuff to help me take advantage of things I have seen. I do a lot today that I probably don't even realise (something I think a lot of experienced traders have forgotten). I cannot explain some of what I do in a way that a third party can replicate it. 3/
Went out and left NT8 to process the month-to-date date (replay). Takes a bunch of hours! Retrained 1st network and get this now. Red/Green is NN bias. It seems >70% accurate predicting a 10pt move within the next 8 bars forward. A few couple pages from the chart. Interesting...
I find it interesting how it waits a bit, like many traders, and does not take the first pullback...
Shorter term chart, looking for 10 points within 5 next bars. It looks messy (and it kind of is), but these are not buy/sell signals, but maybe entry confirmations. Statistically, they are, I think, from what I can see, and edge in your favour if you align with them