Bloomberg reported Sunday, "Bed Bath Begins Three-Week Countdown to Possible Bankruptcy". I'd like to celebrate our final days to April 26th w a daily discussion of various topics hinting at the latest corporate raid of @Carl_C_Icahn
"On or around January 13, 2023, certain events of default were triggered under the Company’s Credit Facilities (as defined below) as a result of the Company’s failure to prepay an overadvance and satisfy a financial covenant, among other things."
Why didn't JP Morgan seize assets right then? What kind of sophisticated investment bank issues default on a company with a 'Going Concern' and doesn't immediately collect on it's loans? Bed Bath owed JPM $550m on its Asset-Backed Loan as of Nov 26th (as reported in the default)
with another $375m due on its FILO Facility. The company didn't later secure financing until their Feb 7th securities offering.
Are we supposed to believe JP Morgan wishfully waited 25 days for Hudson Bay to come along and save their loans? I would call that improbable.
*Among Other Things*
Pitchbook also had something to say about Jan 13th, that silly Morningstar subscription database. Rumor/Speculation of a Leveraged Buyout, only 8 days after the company terminated their bond exchange offering. That almost makes a ton of sense.
"a Change of Control" is defined as an Event of Default in Article VII of its Credit Agreement with JP Morgan from August of 2021, page 123. Math is beginning to add up.
Given the passive approach to reclaiming payment on their loans in default by JP Morgan, it's more likely the bank has non-public information of a leveraged buyout than it would of an upcoming bankruptcy, or else they might've acted much differently with Bed Bath in January #BBBY
Huge thanks again to @STOCKMASTERJAY for the insight on this one.
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I'd Like To Solve The Puzzle:
A 12-Page Report Exploring Strategic Acquisitions with GameStop CEO, Matt Furlong,
🍎 GameStop Achieves Near-Term Profitability
📙 Mathematical Analysis of Acquisition
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At Q2 FY22 earnings, Furlong announced a transition of focus, "on a new set of priorities that include achieving profitability". He mentions a 14.3% reduction in SG&A as they, "right-sized corporate expenditures and headcounts."
I'd Like To Solve The Puzzle:
A 60-Page Report detailing the Marriage of Carl Icahn and Bed Bath & Beyond,
🍎 WHAT: Leveraged Buy-Out, Spin-off BABY
📙 HOW: Bond Exchange, The Team & Kastin
🌲 WHY: Merger with WestPoint and Newell
🫐 WHEN: Filings, Earnings, Bond Payment
🍎 WHAT: Leveraged Buy-Out, Spin-off BABY
On Jan 13th, an input into Pitchbook indicates a rumored leveraged buy-out was negotiated. The same day, certain events of default were triggered with the JPM loan. The ABL mentions a change in control is considered an event of default.
GM $bbby tomorrow is finally here! Sunday, February 5th, today is a FULL MOON!!🌝
I'm going to share insight on what happened 2/1 and why I believe today (or very soon) we may see @Carl_C_Icahn tweet, "IEP has acquired Bed Bath in a majority-equity transaction for $45/share."
In case you missed Friday's post, here's a brief introduction of the general conditions surrounding $bbby indicating a hostile bond takeover has been in the works for several months now.
2/1 was an interesting day. The WSJ reported bond payments had been missed, but the stock price remained green. Bond prices rose that day and over the week; 24s from 1.20c to 6.50c (!), 34s from 2.01c to 4.56c, 44s from 3.41c to 4.79c. Large volume too, particularly the 44s.
Here's what's on my mind about the $bbby bonds situation.
If you've been following along w me since Oct, you'll know that the big move I'm expecting is a take-private acquisition via hostile bond takeover. On Oct 18th, the company offered to exchange all its senior notes.
Per this SEC filing, the exchange offered second/third lien notes for their unsecured notes. If holders of the 24, 34, or 44 bonds expect bankruptcy, it would be attractive for them to accept the secured notes before the company fails to pay the bonds at par value plus interest.
This bankruptcy waterfall analysis from u/BiggySmallzzz goes into greater detail about the nature of the exchange and these conclusions.