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🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
@ncdave4life
Apr 5 • 8 tweets • 8 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
@omgnasa @Daniel_Marbella 1/8》That's incorrect, Josh.

Satellite altimetry is incapable of measuring sea-level near the shore. Comparisons between satellite altimetry and tide gauges are necessarily comparisons between measurements taken far apart from each other.

@omgnasa @Daniel_Marbella 2/8》There's been no rapid acceleration in the last 30 years. Some sites see periodic variation in sea-level trend, e.g., with AMO, but most have seen little or no long-term acceleration.

An exception is the SE USA, where the Gulf Stream skirts the coast.
@omgnasa @Daniel_Marbella 3/8》It is nonsense to claim that sea-level rise accelerated in the last 30 years, so it isn't evident in 100 year records. That is EXACTLY what quadratic regression would have detected as acceleration.

sealevel.info/acceleration_p…

@omgnasa @Daniel_Marbella 4/8》If the tide gauges had recorded "rapid acceleration in the last 30 years" in coastal sea-level trends, then the graphs would look like hockey sticks, instead of like this.
sealevel.info/MSL_graph.php?…
sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@omgnasa @Daniel_Marbella 5/8》The best studies of coastal (tide gauge) sea-level measurements vary only slightly. Some show negligible acceleration in sea-level trend over the last century, and others show none at all. Houston (2021) summarized ten of those studies:
sealevel.info/Houston2021_Ta… Image
@omgnasa @Daniel_Marbella 6/8》The largest acceleration reported by any of those ten studies was only 0.0128 ±0.0064 mm/yr². 0.0128 mm/yr² acceleration for 150 years would add just 5.7 inches to global (average) sea-level.
google.com/search?q=%280.…
@omgnasa @Daniel_Marbella 7/8》Without huge acceleration, the supposed sea-level threat disappears. The current trend is so miniscule that in many places it's dwarfed by local factors, like erosion, sedimentation, or vertical land motion. Greta's hometown of Stockholm is one such:
sealevel.info/MSL_graph.php?… Image
@omgnasa @Daniel_Marbella 8/8》The bottom line is that the sea-level scare, like the rest of the climate scare, is much ado about almost nothing.

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More from @ncdave4life

🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Apr 6
@dennishoening @theAGU 1/8」There is no evidence that "with increasing cumulative CO2, land and ocean carbon sinks become less effective (in relative terms)."

You might have been misled about that by Wang et al (2020). I discussed it here:


Compilation:
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1486764…
@dennishoening @theAGU 2/8」There's no reason to think that marine sinks will diminish. As I pointed out, it will be a thousand years before carbon absorbed at chilly high latitudes reemerges in the tropics.
@dennishoening @theAGU 3/8」Moreover, as CO2 levels rise, marine biological sinks are accelerating even more dramatically than expected.

sealevel.info/feedbacks.html…

sciencedaily.com/releases/2016/… Image
Read 8 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Apr 5
@theNASEM @SciCommAwards 1/5》Good grief. Someone pointed out to me this muddled mess from the NAS, which seems designed to confuse teachers and students about what science is:
nap.nationalacademies.org/read/13165/cha…
@theNASEM @SciCommAwards 2/5》The NAS's authors not only apparently don't understand what science is, they explicitly reject it. They wrote:

“A focus on practices (in the plural) avoids the mistaken impression that there is one distinctive approach common to all science—a single 'scientific method.'”
@theNASEM @SciCommAwards 3/5》That's completely wrong. Feynman must be spinning in his grave.

Read 5 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Apr 3
@nidhi123413 @NBCNews 1/23」The reason so few conservatives fret about #ClimateChange is that the best scientific evidence shows that manmade warming is modest & benign, and CO2 emissions are net beneficial, rather than harmful. Learn more here:
co2coalition.org
@nidhi123413 @NBCNews 2/23」If you didn't know that, it means you're not getting balanced or accurate information. Climate change is a highly politicized topic, so, as for any politicized topic, if you want to understand it you need information from BOTH sides of the debate.
@nidhi123413 @NBCNews 3/23」Scientists (except for climate industry shills!) call the periods of warmest climate "climate optimums," because they're objectively BETTER than cold periods. That includes periods much warmer than now.

Here's a literature search:
scholar.google.com/scholar?as_sdt…
Read 23 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Apr 2
@1Objectivist @dwallacewells @TimDugganBooks 1/21」I don't think David Wallace-Wells @dwallacewells understands your graphs.

His book is 100% nonsense. Scientific evidence is compelling that manmade #ClimateChange is modest and benign, and CO2 emissions are highly beneficial, as Arrhenius predicted.
@1Objectivist @dwallacewells @TimDugganBooks 2/21」None of the hypothesized major harms from manmade climate change are actually happening.

Sea-level rise has not significantly accelerated.
sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@1Objectivist @dwallacewells @TimDugganBooks 3/21」Hurricanes, nor'easters, and tropical cyclones have not worsened.

sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
Read 21 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Apr 2
@pjholloway I have very good news for you, Paul: David Wallace-Wells @dwallacewells's book is 100% nonsense. The scientific evidence is compelling that manmade #ClimateChange is modest and benign, and CO2 emissions are highly beneficial, just as Arrhenius predicted.
@pjholloway @dwallacewells None of the hypothesized major harms from manmade climate change are actually happening.

Sea-level rise has not significantly accelerated.
sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
@pjholloway @dwallacewells Hurricanes, nor'easters, and tropical cyclones have not worsened.
sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
Read 20 tweets
🇺🇦 Dave Burton ❌ Profile picture
Apr 2
@PeterMayfitz @provaxtexan @Mr_Magoo5 @SoiferErica @mcfunny @CoralBlob @Top_Muppetries @dave_odo @xyzfredsmith @SkepticalMutant @LiamKav @TonyBaduy @crabb_vicki @hauxton @_mamadeb @Monstercoyliar @onairpharmacy @FUDyou2 @volpiranyas @katieorourke78 @Sc_ott @Mchael21592783M @MutzUk @FionnMacCool @TakethatCt @greenboat @carlsmythe @markoftec @ghoppe @doritmi @jarbot15 @FrankDElia7 @DoctorFeelg00de @i_am_joli_anne @JonInTn1 @Alaskacryptogi1 @tenebra99 @AGoldsmithEsq @swedishchf @clownworld_bobo @docstardust @JustPlaying2Win @DCGreenZone1 @EstesPga @gobantwo2 1/11」My point was subtle. I didn't think most would "get it."

It was an analogy.

As Andrew mentioned, the chart you shared proves vaccination saves lives. Most anti-vaxers can't understand that, due to innumeracy. But that's not why I'm sure most anti-vaxers are innumerate.
@PeterMayfitz @provaxtexan @Mr_Magoo5 @SoiferErica @mcfunny @CoralBlob @Top_Muppetries @dave_odo @xyzfredsmith @SkepticalMutant @LiamKav @TonyBaduy @crabb_vicki @hauxton @_mamadeb @Monstercoyliar @onairpharmacy @FUDyou2 @volpiranyas @katieorourke78 @Sc_ott @Mchael21592783M @MutzUk @FionnMacCool @TakethatCt @greenboat @carlsmythe @markoftec @ghoppe @doritmi @jarbot15 @FrankDElia7 @DoctorFeelg00de @i_am_joli_anne @JonInTn1 @Alaskacryptogi1 @tenebra99 @AGoldsmithEsq @swedishchf @clownworld_bobo @docstardust @JustPlaying2Win @DCGreenZone1 @EstesPga @gobantwo2 2/11」Fear of mRNA vaccines is foolish. Calling mRNA vaccines "gene therapy" is foolish, too. But the main reason I'm confident that most anti-vaxers are too innumerate to understand Andrew's point is that most AMERICANS are too innumerate to understand it
captive.com/articles/how-n…
@PeterMayfitz @provaxtexan @Mr_Magoo5 @SoiferErica @mcfunny @CoralBlob @Top_Muppetries @dave_odo @xyzfredsmith @SkepticalMutant @LiamKav @TonyBaduy @crabb_vicki @hauxton @_mamadeb @Monstercoyliar @onairpharmacy @FUDyou2 @volpiranyas @katieorourke78 @Sc_ott @Mchael21592783M @MutzUk @FionnMacCool @TakethatCt @greenboat @carlsmythe @markoftec @ghoppe @doritmi @jarbot15 @FrankDElia7 @DoctorFeelg00de @i_am_joli_anne @JonInTn1 @Alaskacryptogi1 @tenebra99 @AGoldsmithEsq @swedishchf @clownworld_bobo @docstardust @JustPlaying2Win @DCGreenZone1 @EstesPga @gobantwo2 3/11」Do you recognize the analogy?

Vaccination greatly reduces risk of death from Covid-19, yet most elderly who die of Covid-19 were vaccinated. Do you understand why those 2 facts are perfectly consistent?

If you do, then you should also understand Andrew's point.
Read 11 tweets

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