In today's #vatniksoup, I'll be introducing a bank well-known in both Austria and Russia: Raiffeisen Bank International and its Russian subsidiary, AO Raiffeisen. It is one of the few foreign banks that still continues business-as-usual in Russia.
1/12
The Russian branch of Raiffeisen was founded in 1996 and was expanded massively after the takeover of Russia's Impexbank in 2006. A year later they had become the largest bank that deals with foreign capital (seventh largest overall) in Russia.
2/12
During the early 2000's Raiffeisen was opening new branches around Russia, including St. Petersburg, Samara, Yekaterinburg, Novosibirsk and Krasnodar. After 2018 they focused on digital expansion, and in 2021 they had digital presence in over 300 cities.
3/12
The customer satisfaction at Raiffeisen is also high - in 2021, the American Forbes called it the "best bank of Russia", and in 2018 Euromoney magazine referred to it as "The best bank for private banking services for wealthy customers in Central and Eastern Europe".
4/12
After Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in Feb 2022, many Western companies and banks decided to leave the Russian market. In general, when banks leave a country en masse, it can have devastating consequences on its economy, ...
5/12
...which is why Putin has been doing everything in his power to disrupt these departures. Nowadays all big exits have to be signed by Putin himself.
Many Western banks left Russia actually already in 2014, after the annexation of Crimea.
6/12
But some European banks, including Raiffeisen and Italian Unicredit, saw the opportunity to make some money from the war, and decided to stay.
Staying and continuing business-as-usual in Russia has been a pretty profitable deal for Raiffeisen: around 60% of its profits,...
7/12
...a total of 2 billion EUR, came from Russia. The bank holds more than 20 billion EUR of Russian money.
Raiffeisen's stay in Russia has faced some challenges lately, though - recently Russia started granting loan payment holidays to their troops who fight in Ukraine.
8/12
The banks that grant these loans must write off the entire debt if these soldiers are either maimed or killed on the battlefield. Between Sep and Dec of 2022, these write offs were worth 800 million EUR. By granting these loans, both Raiffeisen and Unicredit are complicit..
9/12
...in funding Russia's barbaric invasion. In Jan 2023, US Treasury launched an investigation concerning potential breach of Western sanctions. In addition, The European Central Bank has been pushing Raiffeisen to leave the profitable Russian market.
10/12
On 30 Mar 2023, Raiffeisen called its critics "morally arrogant", and the moralizing from a "risk free zone of comfort". It's worth noting that one of the most sound critics of Raiffeisen has been President Zelenskyy, who hardly operates from a "risk free zone of comfort".
In today’s Vatnik Soup REBREW, I’ll reintroduce an American political commentator and pro-Kremlin propagandist, Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson). He’s best known for his promotion of crazy conspiracy theories and for his support of authoritarian regimes around the world.
1/24
Tucker’s career spans decades, but he’s also been very active in recent years, so a lot has happened since our previous soup on him, which can be found here:
Once described as “the most powerful conservative in America”, Tucker has now fully transformed into a grifting conspiracy theorist and propagandist willing to work for whoever pays him the most. It’s unclear whether Tucker truly believes his endless conspiracy theories or…
3/24
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll cover the agenda-setting and flood of disinformation that spread on X and other platforms right after Charlie Kirk’s assassination. It’s far from the first or last time a tragedy has been weaponized for political purposes.
1/18
Every major political event, especially those involving violence, attracts massive attention. In the immediate aftermath, reliable information is scarce, making it highly vulnerable to both coordinated and improvised disinformation campaigns.
2/18
As I’ve mentioned in my previous soups and lectures, in disinformation campaigns, being first with a narrative is crucial, as people often remember the first version best — psychology studies show it sets the mental schema, and later updates rarely overwrite it.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce American social media personality David Freeman, AKA Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman). He’s best known for spreading political disinformation on X and shamelessly sucking up to Trump, Putin, and other authoritarian leaders.
1/22
David is a textbook example of someone profiting from MAGA grievance politics. He uses extreme, provocative language to farm engagement on X and never hesitates to flatter anyone who might give him more exposure — or money.
2/22
But David wasn’t always like this. At some point, in his mid-40s, he even tried a real job: he trained to become a cop. He spent three years with the Metro Transit PD, but after that he either got fired or quit, and never looked back.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Russian-Estonian businessman, Oleg Ossinovski. He is best-known for his deep ties to Russian rail and energy networks, shady cross-border dealings, and for channeling his wealth into Estonian politics.
1/14
Oleg made his fortune via Spacecom Trans & Skinest Rail, both deeply tied to Russia’s rail system. Most of this is through Globaltrans Investments PLC, a Cyprus-based firm with 62% held via Spacecom and tens of millions in yearly profits.
2/14
Ossinovski’s Russian-linked ventures made him Estonia’s richest man in 2014, with an estimated fortune of ~€300M. His business empire stretched across railways, oil via Alexela shares, and Russian bitumen imports from Help-Oil, a supplier to the Defense Ministry.
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Swiss/French writer, Alain Bonnet, aka Alain Soral (@officielsoral). He’s best known for his rabid antisemitism and for his pathetic support for all the worst authoritarian regimes from Russia to North Korea.
1/22
Alain’s childhood was problematic, as his father has been characterized as a “narcissistic pervert” who beat his children and did jail time for fraud. Alain himself has said he was “programmed to be a monster.” Born Alain Bonnet, he took the stage name of his sister,…
2/22
… actress Agnès Soral. She wasn’t too happy about this, commenting “How would you like to be called Agnès Hitler?”. Like many grifters, he became a pick-up/seduction artist writer, à la late Gonzalo Lira, writing books and even making a B-movie, “Confessions d’un dragueur”.
3/22