Highly classified docs give significant insight into US spying on allies as well as new revelations on the Ukraine war
There are reports of 100s of leaked documents, setting the stage to significantly more damaging findings
(LIVE thread)
The leaked documents were published by username Luca on Discord.
He claims to have found it on another discord server before he leaked onto Telegram, followed by other social media platforms, before it was picked up by the NYT.
No one knows the original source of the files. /2
Leak #1: Depleted Air Defense
Ukraine’s medium to high range air defense is almost depleted.
SA-10 and SA-11 make up 89% of Ukrainian air defense.
SA-11 were depleted on 31 March 2023 and SA-10 will run out on 02 May 2023. /3
There are limited quantities of much-needed advanced defense systems in Ukraine
The Russians have a greater volume of these systems and Ukraine is unable to match their supply. /4
Ukraine has limited to no air-to air defense (A2AD).
This means there is a major need for the replenishment of these defense systems.
Since there's been serious issues with the supply of ammunition, things are looking bleak. /5
Leak #2: Military casualties
The leaked documents show Ukraine losing 4x more soldiers than Russia, contradicting most Western reports.
Some people argue this specific data was doctored before the leak, and in reality the Russian and Ukrainian losses are estimated at 2:1. /6
Leak #3: Front Line Donetsk
The document provides information about the size of the armies at the front lines in Donetsk.
Russia has 91 battalions with around 23,000 total personnel.
Ukraine has 8 brigades and 40 battalions, with 10,000 to 20,000 total personnel. /7
Leak #4: Israel’s Support to Ukraine
Israel has not overtly supported Ukraine, but the US devised 4 pathways that can induce Israel to send offensive weapons.
Israel is in a tricky position, wanting to please their US ally while not harming relations with Russia. /8
The 4 scenarios which can cause Israel to send weapons:
1. Similar to Turkey, Israel can SELL Ukraine defense systems, or provide it through 3rd parties.
2. Russia upsets Israel by transferring strategic systems or expands assistance to Iran’s missile/nuclear/space programs. /9
3. Russia continues to allow Iran access to advanced conventional weapons through Syria, forcing Israel to respond by further supporting Ukraine.
4. Russia incurs casualties from Israeli strikes in Syria, and then targets Israeli aircrafts, forcing Israel to support Ukraine /10
Leak #5: US Spies On Allies
Leaks also show the US was spying on France, Israel and South Korea, leading to renewed worries about US intelligence operations.
This surveillance showed South Korea were concerned that ammunition they supplied to the US would end up in Ukraine. /11
The leaked documents also show the US has been spying on Zelensky.
Sources close to Zelensky described the situation as "unsurprising," but Ukrainian officials are said to be frustrated about the leak. /12
Leak #6: Mossad & Israeli protests
The leaks also indicate that Mossad, Israel’s intelligence agency, may have had a role in the protests in Israel, advocating for people to protest the proposed judicial reforms.
Mossad is not meant to wade into domestic political matters. /13
Leak #7: US infiltrating Wagner
The leaked documents show the US was heavily penetrating Russian military planning, including the internal plans of the Wagner mercenary group.
This may now cause suspicion in the Wagner group about whether there is a spy amongst their ranks. /14
Leak #8: 2014 War
The leaks show that Russia was providing weapons, training, and strategic guidance to separatists in Ukraine in 2014
It also shows that Ukraine knew about Russia's involvement but chose to downplay it for fear of provoking a larger war with their neighbor. /15
🧵 THREAD: THE 10 BIGGEST BLUNDERS IN THE 2025 SPENDING BILL
The 2025 Continuing Appropriations & Disaster Relief Act was drafted to avoid a shutdown, but it’s jam-packed with questionable spending that makes you wonder, “Wait, they’re paying for what?!”
Here are 10 of the wildest uses of taxpayer dollars in this bill. ⬇️
1. $30.78 BILLION FOR CROP & LIVESTOCK LOSSES
Disaster relief for farmers is essential, but this massive allocation for “necessary expenses” is so loosely defined it feels like a blank check.
It includes $2B for livestock losses, block grants to states, and even compensation for timber and poultry.
Sounds good, right?
Here’s the problem: there’s little oversight or clarity on how states will use these funds.
With $30.78B on the line, shouldn’t we know where the money is going? Feels like a recipe for inefficiency.
2. $42.5 MILLION FOR USDA RESEARCH BUILDINGS
In the middle of a spending crisis, the USDA gets $42.5M to upgrade research facilities.
Is upgrading labs important?
Sure.
But during a stopgap budget bill to avert a shutdown?
Maybe not the best timing.
When people hear "emergency spending," they probably think disaster relief or healthcare, not a new coat of paint on agricultural buildings.
This allocation could’ve waited—unless there’s some groundbreaking corn research we don’t know about.
🧵🇸🇾 10 MOMENTS THAT HAVE SHAPED SYRIA'S MODERN HISTORY
As Syrian history is being written with the advancement of Damascus, let’s dive into the 10 defining events in Syrian history leading up to this pivotal chapter in the nations history.👇
1/ The Sykes-Picot Agreement (1916)
France and Britain secretly carved up Ottoman lands during WWI. Syria was handed to France, despite promises of Arab independence made to local leaders.
This betrayal planted the seeds of distrust toward Western powers and set the stage for borders that still fuel conflict today.
2/ Independence from France (1946)
After years of colonial rule, Syria became independent.
But instead of unity, political instability reigned, with 20 coups in 24 years. Nationalism was strong, but finding a leader everyone could agree on?
Not so much. Independence came at the cost of cohesion.
🧵ELON AND VIVEK LAY OUT THEIR VISION FOR DOGE: A BOLD PLAN TO REFORM GOVERNMENT
In a thought-provoking WSJ op-ed, Elon and Vivek outline their ambitious agenda for the newly formed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).
As the leaders of this unconventional initiative, they aim to cut costs, slash regulations, and streamline the federal bureaucracy.👇
1/ 🎯 DOGE's Mission: Cut Costs, Slash Regulations, Streamline Government
Elon and Vivek outline a three-pronged approach to reforming the federal government: regulatory rescissions, administrative reductions, and cost savings.
Their goal is to eliminate the need for DOGE's existence by July 4, 2026, delivering a leaner, more efficient government.