Lev Akabas Profile picture
Apr 15 β€’ 4 tweets β€’ 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Historical #NBAPlayoffs Trends πŸ“ˆπŸ§΅

1) The pace slows down Image
2) Teams run more isolation offense in the playoffs Image
3) Teams shoot more threes in the playoffs (possibly because of selection bias) Image
4) Counterintuitively, refs actually call more shooting fouls in the playoffs than the regular season (true in 19 of the past 22 years)

I discussed this in my recent article on exploding offenses:
sportico.com/leagues/basket…

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More from @LevAkabas

Apr 13
I think officiating hasn't been mentioned enough as a factor in the NBA's offensive explosion this season

16.6% of all 2-point shot attempts drew fouls this year, a massive increase from 15.2% last season, which was already the highest mark of the 21st century Image
Before the 2021-22 season, the NBA announced a crackdown on β€œnon-basketball moves'' by offensive players to draw fouls. The new guidelines were strictly enforced at first, but then frequency of shooting fouls started to go WAY up, and that trend carried into 2022-23 Image
There's been a huge increase in the number of and 1 finishes this season, which to me indicates that softer fouls are being called Image
Read 6 tweets
Jan 4
3-part hypothesis for why we're seeing so many insane stat lines in the NBA:

1) More heliocentrism ==> stars' usage rates are higher than ever
2) More smallball lineups and fewer rim protectors ==> easier finishing at the rim (and stars can get to the rim better than anyone else to take advantage)
3) More parity ==> every team has a competent offense and most have a player (or two) capable of exploding on any given night
Read 5 tweets
Nov 5, 2021
Each day for the next two weeks, I'll add an #NFL fun fact or stat to this 🧡

🏈 Fun Fact #1: Teams favored by >7 points are 23-1 outright thru Week 8 (only loss is Cincy losing to Mike White & the @nyjets last week). Teams favored by <7 points are only 43-44 (a losing record!)
🏈 Fun Fact #2: Read this one carefully...

The 2021 Seahawks have allowed just the 22nd most points per game of any team in the NFL this season, even though they have allowed the 22nd most yards per game of any team in NFL HISTORY!!!
🏈 Fun Fact #3: There were three 33-22 games in October 2021. There were three 33-22 games in NFL history before that

Read 8 tweets

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