Sreevidya Balasubramaniam Profile picture
Apr 16 16 tweets 5 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
#DMKFiles analysis:

1. I know for a fact that @annamalai_k has only updated his dossier on TN corruption which he has been building since 2018.

2. What is out in public is just the tip of the iceberg.

3. He has a clear game plan, but we will know the rules only as we play on.
4. Every reaction to #DMKFiles has been expected and counter actions already mapped - we will see this unfolding in the coming days.

5. He has shown absolute courage by straight-hitting Stalin so that there is no doubt about his intentions, also shows how he positions himself.
6. By adding "this is Modi's direction", he has sent a message to old world politicians including those in BJP that his path is what BJP will walk, not the other way round.

Annamalai wanted to do the Nadai Payanam soon after Assembly elections. He had that plan for some time.
6. Something I completely applaud is Annamalai revealing his personal accounts and facts.

This achieves the following:

~ He has declared himself clean, and has challenged his opponents to come clean - this is saying "I am OK, you are not OK".

This confidence sets the tone of
what people will eventually take as future 'norm' of politics.

Meaning, you can't call out others unless you are clean.

This is new as both Ks did this in the election year creating the swing to alternate between them. This is reason why people say 'corruption charges won't
work with TN people'. This is because no one was clean to follow through and bring a change.

The election year spars always hid a conjoined twin beneath.

~ With declaring personal account, he has invited DMK leadership to play outside of their comfort zone, to his own turf.
~ Being transparent will help him preempt counter-charges by DMK which has the power to trap him in myriad ways.

~ This will build Brand Annamalai - Brand Clean politics, Brand Non-Dravidian politics for TN.

Remember, this was the foundation for Modi politics as BJP had
corruption issues not only in Gujarat, but also other states.

Annamalai is taking Modi's politics a notch higher.

7. He has promised to spare no one, making this entire action unquestionably credible.

This is necessary for building "system change" campaign that transcends
usual TN politics.

8. I wrote a few weeks ago that the reason Annamalai talked about AIADMK alliance was to create a package to offer to TN people through his Nadai Payanam.

8. The core of Nadai Payanam is this system change.

It will offer a steady crusade which the fickle,
dishonest, and confused Seeman could not offer. In fact, this will negate NTK, and the possibility of any third front.

9. Reaction to #DMKFiles and the impact as I see it:

a. No surprise, MSM giving a cold shoulder and blackout
b. SM journos sticking to their script:
~ Why no action from those in power at the centre?
~ Assets ≠ corruption
~ These assets were acquired long ago
~ TN is hopeless, this is not going to make any impact
~ Some MSM raising uncomfortable questions to R S Bharathi and Senthil Balaji
10. I see the impact differently:

~ This is what I call an outcome model which starts with a SPLASH event and ends creating a WAVE.

The direct impact of SPLASH: even though MSM blacked this out, DMK and AIADMK were forced to come out and defend, which is great achievement. Image
~ Coming months, @annamalai_k and team including the senior leaders will deepen and broaden the narrative - I call this RIPPLES.

This will be the heart and soul of Annamalai's #Nadaipayanam #EnMannEnMakkal

Every mention of #DMKFiles is a ripple. This will also involve actions
of enforcement and investigative agencies.

~ Corruption alone won't cut the ice with TN people, so the Payanam will focus on unpacking Brand Modi in a big way.

With EPS, it was difficult to claim the due credit, but now BJP will freely own the beneficiaries of various schemes.
~The RIPPLES will go on, and intensify closer to 2026 and it will reach every household - we need to change the system, and this is what I call a WAVE.

11. As many think, this is not aimed at 2024 alone, the clear focus is 2026.

Anyone wanting to join Annamalai's walk, here is
is the link.

enmannenmakkal.com

Even if you live in a different state, or are NRI, you could join him for a short stretch. Lots of BJP supporters here will help you plan your stay and food.

Supporting Annamalai is creating history.

Don't miss being part of HISTORY.

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More from @BaluSreevidya

Apr 14
Seeing the comments below this tweet, looks like most are new to my views.

To clarify, I believe L Murugan will be CM of Tamizh Nadu in future. Annamalai has said he will not be CM.

But he may become CM, but may not be here for long as he is needed at the centre.
Those who follow my views know that I have been saying all this for some time.

I have always said that Murugan and Annamalai work together.

Those who give me unsolicited advice think they both are in different camps.

If you believe that, you know little about BJP.
In fact, all that I have said about leaders have come true over the years.

In August 2020, soon as Annamalai joined BJP, I welcomed him as future CM of TN and later said he will be PM. Many criticised or advised me.

Just like how I got responses in the mid-2000's when I said
Read 5 tweets
Mar 19
Here is my take on @annamalai_k 's latest press meet.

The debate is not about BJP going solo vs BJP going with AIADMK, it is about whether or not to place national interest above Tamizh Nadu being freed from the clutches of the Kazhakams.

What is important? What will happen?
As I have said many times in the past, alliance with AIADMK is the choice of the central @BJP4India in the larger interests of the country -

to ensure Congress Mukth Bhārath, and ensuring strength in Rajyasabha.

Alliance with AIADMK is key as every number is precious.
Why Congress Mukth Bharat?

Congress is the only party that still has a pan-India root. Even in the remote villages, Congress is a familiar party, and there is always a risk of resurrection.

It only takes a young vibrant leader to revive the party.

However, for LS elections,
Read 16 tweets
Mar 17
I view this issue seriously.

While some of the victims of the sting don't deserve my time, I do care about the ones I respect.

Urge you not to judge by what the sting selectively revealed. There is a broader issue behind.

This is about how a counter narrative is broken.

1/6
Karunandihi started controlling the narrative in TN by giving free Television and the the cable network through his nephews.

After two decades, for the first time some journalists started to counter the DK narratives through SM.

These voices were independent and unrelated.
It takes time, money and enormous risk to counter this evil deep state (TJ,LT,EC,Communist,DK).

Just when they were getting successful, something like #Madan happens that will shake their confidence.

It was false premise, offering rewards for consultancy for election strategy.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 11
TN Politics - Note 10

In response to questions on my thread about Nirmal Kumar's exit, here is detailed view of BJP-AIADMK relationship.

~ As I said in Jaipur Dialogue in Jan 2021, EPS had everything to lose in 2021 Assembly Elections. He was seeking re-election as sitting CM.
~ EPS was a good administrator. Given time, he will rise to the stature of JJ and even MGR. He has the cunning, patience, skills, determination, and genuine wish to serve people.

His biggest weakness was L&O. His drawback is that no matter how effective he was, he still was the
product of the DK ideology and ecosystem. So, he let his party's (shared) revenue model allowing his district/ward level leaders to continue to live on extortion, commission, and corruption at the grassroot.

~ Until 2019 LS Elections, EPS did not realise that
Read 19 tweets
Mar 9
EPS is not that low on political acumen to poach BJP leaders. Some people leaving TN BJP isn't the issue.

Focus should be on what they are saying when they leave. There is a pattern.

They are all forced to say the same things which didn't exist until a day before.

1/8
Reason?

Create an impression, and further the narrative against @annamalai_k and make it appear that there is an internal resistance against him.

As I have said before, there is no such plot. It is just some people who have expectations of various kinds that don't align with
the new BJP culture led by @narendramodi and @AmitShah

I don't know if some SM influencers genuinely got deluded or have played their part knowingly,

but the lobby that goes beyond EPS/DMK think consistently beating the drum will get Delhi believe the Goebbelsian narrative.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 5
I respectfully disagree with most views on BJP's position wrt 2024 and 2026 in TN (also Kerala).

Here is my reason:

~ The old world political view of seeing elections as opportunities to grow the party is partially gone. In the Modi-Shah era, growing party is BAU.
~ As I have said many times in Spaces and threads, for LS elections, allies, seats or candidates are decided by central BJP to align with its national plan

which is Congress Mukth Bhārath

~ In TN, this means give maximum scare to Stalin and prompt him to ask all allies to
contest under DMK symbol. This will reduce Congress' seats in LS.

~ To do this, Stalin must believe that his opposition is strong. For that, AIADMK, BJP and other allies should all come together and identify winnable seats and candidates.

~ This naturally means @annamalai_k 's
Read 12 tweets

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