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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Apr 17 • 5 tweets • 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The horses--t is being piled high and deep by the Biden Administration regarding the provision of F-16's to Ukraine.😲

1/5
And I called it Utter Horses--t in April of 2022.

This is the magic word term of art that tells you US Deputy Secretary of Defense Colin Kahl is peddling lies:

CONTRACTOR LOGISTICAL SUPPORT.

2/5
The solution has sat there for a full year, but the Biden Administration still denies its existence.

3/5
What I tweeted on twitter 10 April 2022 still applies on 17 April 2023.

4/5
The marker I laid down on 10 April 2022 cashed in on 17 April 2023 shows the "De-Escalation faction" inside the Biden Administration is functionally pro-Russian.

They don't want Putin to fall for fear of the unknown.

Pray for their immortal souls.🙏

5/5

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 17
This is one of the reasons I love the Twitter platform.👏👏👏

People share what they know and we get confirmation that the Ukrainian drone strike in Belgorod electric sub-station did indeed take down power to the "Belomestnoye-Tyagovaya" railway substation⬇️

Ukraine Drone🧵
1/7
This will be repeated at scale for all Russian electrical railway logistics when the Ukrainian counter-offensive kicks off.

It is no secret that many Ukrainian drone startups are in Poland designing & manufacturing drones for Ukraine.

2/7
 reuters.com/world/europe/u…
And some of these drones will have a 3,000km flight range.

The made in Poland drones mentioned in this article carry 'useful' payloads.😈

"The D-80 Discovery can carry up to 80 kg of cargo, and the E-300 Enterprise - up to 300 kg."

3/7
 wnp.pl/przemysl-obron…
Read 7 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 17
I said this would happen.

That Ukraine would start using its drones to strike vulnerable Russian electrical infrastructure in retaliation for Russia's strikes on Ukraine's power grid.

1/
I said that back in October 2022.

In that context, I think this was a test for a future Ukrainian mass UAV strike/shaping operation aimed at Russian logistics.

Russian Army logistics are rail logistics.

2/
Belgorod is a major electric powered railway logistics hub for the Russian Army.

At a guess, that electrical substation sent power to local Russian Railways serving depots feeding Russian Army units in the LPR/DPR.

3/
Read 13 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 16
There are reasons you are seeing this besides Ukrainian shaping of the battlefield prior to a counter-offensive.

Read the whole @ChrisO_wiki thread below⬇️

Ukraine vs American EW skill🧵
1/9
I've talked about some of the technical reasons jammers and radars are easy to 'geo-locate' for destruction.

I haven't talked about the organizational ones reflecting why Ukraine is better at having EW better integrated with its maneuver forces.

2/9
The Ukrainians never had the complete destruction of its electronic warfare capability.

It was degraded like the rest of it's military, but it never was defenestrated to the levels of the US.

Russia's EW capabilities since 2014 made Ukraine good.

3/9
Read 9 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 15
The mass destruction of encrypted RuAF radios that filled out only part of the now destroyed RuAF less than 20 year old armored vehicle park leaves Mobiks vulnerable to Ukrainian radio Psywar Ops⬇️

1/5
There are reasons for this.

2/5
Digitally encrypted RuAF radios in 2023 really stand out from the background of standard Russian radio traffic per 'Electronic Warfare 201.'

3/5
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 13
This @pati_marins64 thread has a very useful set of observations on tank and artillery barrel life for Russian and Ukrainian Soviet era weapons.⬇️

1/6
The weaponssystems -dot - net website has a very useful page on all the three different generations of Soviet/Russian 2A46 125mm barrels plus foreign users.

weaponsystems.net/system/1509-12…
2/6 ImageImageImage
On point to Ms. Marins thread:

Brand new 125mm effective full charge (EFC) barrel life:

- 800 EFC for 2A46 and 2A46M

- 1,200 EFC with regular ammo for 2A46M-4/M-5

- 600 EFC with long rod ammo for 2A46M-4/M-5

3/6
Read 7 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Apr 5
The long term operational patterns of the Russo-Ukrainian War can be seen here in this tweet⬇️

"Lanchester Square Law Collapse"🧵
1/
Ukraine has more mobilized manpower in formed units.

So it can rotate units out of the line, add replacements, train them up and then move them back in the line.

The use of the Ukrainian National Guard in the line is so heavier units can be placed into an offensive reserve
2/
Russia's 1st line army units at the start of the war have, in many cases, been destroyed multiple times.

Historical 20th century casualty data* shows a unit losing 1/3 of its at start manpower quickly becomes "combat ineffective" & needs to be rotated out of the line

*See⬇️
3/ ImageImage
Read 14 tweets

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