Thread by @Fantasypaedia

Fantasypaedia contributor @FPL_Architect is back with his weekly thread.

In this thread, he will be covering all your #GW32 Free Hit dilemmas:

- Robertson vs Jota vs Gakpo?
- Odegaard vs Jesus?
- Maddison vs Olise/Eze?
- Kane or no Kane?

🧵👇

RT if you like it ♻

#FPL #FH32

🔴Robertson vs Jota vs Gakpo:

Assuming that Salah & Trent are locked in in most FH teams, picking Robertson means a defensive double-up. That in itself is fine, Liverpool have a 54% chance of a CS, but the fixture (NFO) screams goals, so there could be more upside in attackers.

Diogo Jota is back from injury and returned a 16-pointer (2 G, 1 A) vs Leeds. The upside with him is very, very high but the main issue is that he’s a minutes risk and could get benched/taken off early for Darwin Nunez. He also takes one of the three valuable forward spots.

Cody Gakpo’s upside is, just like Jota’s, high. He has 2 double-digit hauls in his last 5 starts and should also be a bit safer this week xMins-wise, as Nunez is mainly a threat to Jota on the left and not Gakpo. A nice, low-owned, pick for the 4th midfielder spot.

I’m personally leaning towards Gakpo as my third Liverpool pick, I prefer him over Jota for xMins reasons, and there are lots of other strikers I want. I’m still very tempted to double up on the defense, but I can definitely see Forest score so it’s a bit risky to double up.

⭕️Odegaard vs Jesus:

Saka and Martinelli are easy picks for many, but a third Arsenal player is tricky to choose. Odegaard has been very consistent this season, with 19 attacking returns and points per 90 average of 6.0. He’s just all-around a very solid and safe pick, low-risk.

Jesus has a points-per-90 score of 5.97, extremely similar to Odegaard’s. In his 3 starts since returning from injury, he’s scored 4 goals in just 204 mins and averaged an xG/90 of 1.6. He’s a big chance magnet and a high-upside pick. Very explosive FPL asset.

Personally, I’m pretty set on Jesus as my third Arsenal attacker. Hopefully, we get some news on the starting XI before the deadline. If he starts, I like his explosiveness and upside as a pick. Free Hit means zero commitment, so he’s pretty much just a fun one-week punt.

🦊Maddison vs Olise/Eze

Maddison only has one assist in his last 8 games, and his form is far from good. He did accumulate an xGI of 0.70 vs City though, showing positive signs (a lot of that xGI came after City had subbed off key players, so it might not be very indicative).

Palace have scored 9 goals in 3 games since Hodgson took charge, and both Eze (3 G, 1 A) and Olise (3 A) have delivered well, with Eze the main goal scorer and Olise the creator. It’s worth pointing out though that Eze has overperformed his xG, so it might not be sustainable.

At the moment I don’t have any of these 3 midfielders, but if I end up getting Robertson I’ll have to pick one. I would likely lean towards a Palace midfielder as I trust their attack more than Leicester’s right now, and Eze probably comes out on top given his goal threat.

⚪️Kane or no Kane?

Harry Kane has been very consistent this season, with 23 goals and 6 assists in 31 PL games this season. However, despite the impressive number of total returns, he has only scored a brace in 3 games this season and is perhaps not the most explosive FPL asset.

Newcastle have only kept 1 CS in their last 10 games, but before that, they had a run of 6 clean sheets in a row so it’s by no means a bad defense. It’s also worth noting that Newcastle are generally better at home than away, & their last 3 games (0 CS) have all been away games.

Kane is a very safe pick, going without him could hurt due to his high ownership, but on a Free Hit, it’s definitely viable to ignore him and go for other picks with higher upside and better fixtures. Players like Jesus, Watkins, Toney, Solanke, Jota, and Isak are all options.