🧵 1/ Despite PMC Wagner's reputation for heinous crimes and brutal tactics, certain aspects of their activities have received limited coverage. This thread illuminates the far-reaching influence of PMC Wagner and the significant security risks it poses to the global community
2/ The occupation of Soledar in the Donetsk region by the Wagner mercenaries provided the russian media with a significant success story, enabling them to shift the focus away from the army's major operational failures and loss of control over the Kherson and Kharkiv regions.
3/ As the reputational bubble of Wagner continued to inflate, and the "PMC" was granted exceptional rights to recruit criminals, its head, Prigozhin, accused Defense Minister Shoigu and Chief of the General Staff Gerasimov of "treason" due to the lack of support and ammunition.
4/ To consolidate his power, putin relies more on conventional forces, which is why he has recently taken measures to curb Wagner's internal influence. The NYT reported that putin attempted to resolve the conflict by calling for a meeting between Prigozhin and Shoigu on 22.02
5/ Wagner's loss of ability to recruit from prisons has led to a growing dependence on the Ministry of Defense, as they now rely on conscripted soldiers who are forced to sign contracts with them amidst high mortality rate among convict mercenaries
6/ While some of you may be familiar with Wagner's involvement in the russia's invasion of Ukraine and Syria, their operations extend beyond these theaters. Wagner's activities have been observed in Mali, Sudan, Libya, the Central African Republic, and Burkina Faso.
7/ PMC Wagner's flexibility surpasses that of the russian army, thanks to their separate budget and unconventional methods. For instance, US Assistant Secretary of State for EAP, Daniel Kritenbrink, reported that Wagner obtained satellite images from the Chinese company, Spacety.
8/ Over the past decade, PMC Wagner has expanded its influence in Middle Eastern and African countries by filling power vacuums left by European nations and exploiting natural resources such as gold and precious stones. PMC's annual income can be several billion US dollars.
9/ "Wagner" has been generating revenue from illegal mining and selling of gold and precious stones in the CAR, with an estimated annual income of around one billion dollars, according to Politico. The company began exploiting gold in the CAR in 2018 with around 2,000 mercenaries
10/ In 2023, the departure of French troops from Burkina Faso paved the way for the Wagner group to gain access to the country's raw resources, including precious materials. The Wagner group has also attempted to establish a foothold in Mozambique and Madagascar.
11/ Given the evolving situation in Sudan, it is crucial to keep in mind that PMC Wagner has a vested interest in securing gold mines there and maintains connections with the RSF. Although there is currently no evidence of Wagner's direct involvement, the situation can change
12/ Since 2021, UN experts in Mali received reports of executions, torture, rape, pillaging, detentions, and enforced disappearances. These atrocities were reportedly committed by the Malian armed forces and their allies such as Wagner in the Mopti area and other locations.
13/ Collaboration with Wagner should be strongly discouraged. While some countries have already imposed sanctions on the company's mercenaries, such as freezing of assets and travel bans, more stringent and consolidated efforts are necessary to mitigate security risks from Wagner
14/ The designation of the "Wagner" as a transnational criminal organization by the US and Lithuania is a step that could lead to its international recognition as a criminal organization. Cooperation with Wagner will result in political and economic costs for participants
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PMC Thread🧵: 1/ In my recent thread, I discussed a new "PMC" and promised to provide more information when possible.
This group is known as the "Wolves" and it is involved in an assault, scouting, and sabotage missions. But their story is more complex than that:
2/ Rather than gaining notoriety for their effectiveness, the Wolves have become the center of a brewing scandal. Hundreds of soldiers mobilized by the Ministry of Defense last year, unexpectedly found themselves as members of the PMC, of which they had no prior knowledge.
3/ In a video published by the Telegram channel "Astra," dissatisfied soldiers from military bases 11048 and 61899 claim that they were misled into moving from the "Postoyalye Dvory" training ground in the Kursk region to the city of Rostov. Upon arrival, their IDs were taken.
1/ As the coup in Khartoum, the capital of Sudan continues to unfold, satellite imagery is providing new insights. Recent imagery shows that the number of damaged or destroyed airplanes at Khartoum International Airport is greater than previously reported.
2/ It's worth noting that the ongoing conflict in Sudan primarily involves General Hemette, head of the Rapid Support Forces, and General Al-Burhan, both of whom came to power as a result of a coup.
3/While Al-Burhan is generally perceived as being an official government, both individuals represent different factions of the same military junta.
Given the ongoing discussions regarding the Ukrainian counter-offensive, it's crucial to understand russia's echeloned defense system along the frontline, particularly in the south. These defense lines are composed of multiple obstacles that Ukrainian forces will face
2/ To help paint a clearer picture, we'll be using satellite imagery from Feb 2023 to analyze a section of the enemy's fortifications located south of Vasylivka, Zaporizhia oblast. Although some changes have occurred since then, the general idea of the defenses remains the same
3/ One key feature of russia's defense lines are famous dragon's teeth, pyramidal anti-tank obstacles that can effectively impede or slow down mechanized or motorized units during an attack. These obstacles can be particularly effective in combination with other defense measures
I obtained a russian document titled "Regulation on Storm Units Z of the 8th Combined Arms Army." This document outlines the objectives, organization, and logistical requirements of 'Storm Z' units. After analyzing its contents, I have distilled the main points.
2/ The document defines "Storm Z" Company as an independent, joint, tactical, combined-arms company temporarily created outside the regular army corps unit structure for immediate operational use in performing particularly complex combat missions.
3/ The document outlines a request to establish 'Storm Z' companies within the following units:
Separate Motorized Rifle Brigades: 1st, 9th, 110th, 114th of the 1st Army Corps
Motorized Rifle Regiments(150th division): 102nd, 103rd
1/ Yesterday, a public announcement was made regarding the formation of a group called the "Club of Angry Patriots." To gain insight into the gravity of this group, I recommend briefly examining their backgrounds and reviewing the summary of their "manifesto."
2/ This group consists of several terrorists, extremists, and political activists. Among its members are Pavel Gubarev, Vladimir Grubnik, Igor Strelkov, Viktor Alksnis, Maxim Kalashnikov, Maxim Klimov, Mikhail Aksel, and Evgeny Mikhailov.
3/ Pavel Gubarev is known as the "People's Governor" of the Donetsk Region in 2014. Western audience may recognize him for his statement: "But if you don’t want to be convinced, we’ll k*** you. We’ll ki** as many as we have to: one million, five million, or exter**** all of you."
1/ A well-known pro-Russian channel called "Поздняков 3.0" with over 240,000 subscribers recently uploaded a video that allegedly shows members of the "Wagner" group torturing a man who is tied up.
2/ According to the channel, the man is a "Georgian mercenary." The video shows an unidentified man with his arms and legs tied, with the word "Georgian" written on his forehead.
3/ The man appears to be semi-conscious and is being held by another masked individual while a third person plays the violin next to him. The act of playing the violin is a reference to the Wagner group, who are often referred to as "musicians."