One thing that people probably forget when building launch pads is that there is gas pressure pushing up from under the pad. Dirt has air pressure in it. If rocket exhaust finds a crack, it pressurizes the dirt under the launch pad far more. This can lift concrete slabs. /1
2/ If a slab starts to lift, it creates a bigger crack, and the gas that hits its edge comes to a full stop, converting its kinetic energy to super high pressure. This pressure is right at the crack so it drives even more gas to the space below the slab, lifting it even more.
3/ Every disruption of the gas flow also creates high temperature. Concrete gets eaten away by high temperature. The sand grains and gravel thermally expand in random directions creating micro cracks that grow, so material fractures and sluffs off the surface at some rate.
4/ As concrete is eaten away it creates more paths for the gas to get through and under the concrete, and more disruption of the flow converting more kinetic energy into heat and high pressure, accelerating the process. This can run away in an uncontrolled pad failure.
5/ We studied these processes during the Morpheus lander flight tests at KSC. After every flight we examined the concrete and took data.
6/ The GMRO Lab at Swamp Works built the hazard field. We spent some long days in the Florida sun hauling concrete rubble by hand to build up the simulated lunar boulders. Fun times 😅
7/ The simulated lunar soil was actually crushed rock from the NASA KSC Crawlerway. The Crawler pulverized the river rock that makes up the crawlerway and these “crawlerway fines” as we called them have to be periodically removed and replaced with fresh rock.
8/ The Crawlerway fines don’t much look like lunar soil, except in a certain wavelength. The Morpheus lander used a laser system to map the terrain. The lasers were 1.57 micron wavelength and the Crawlerway fines reflected that wavelength exactly the same as lunar soil.
9/ We measured that at the Swamp Works, and after proving we had a material that was (A) abundantly available and (B) matched lunar soil in this way, we selected it for building the hazard field.
10/ In one of the early meetings, I told the Morpheus team that they do NOT want to land their lander on the Crawlerway fines here on Earth. If you land on regolith on the Moon, it is a lot safer than landing on regolith on Earth. Moon plume shown below:
11/ Because on the Moon in vacuum the gas spreads way out and does not dig a hole on centerline, whereas in Earth’s atmosphere is is focused like a “post hole digger” that can create a geyser of dirt and rocks shooting right back up at your rocket.
12/ So I recommended that we “hide” concrete slabs just under the surface of the Crawlerway fines everywhere we want to land Morpheus. That way the plume will blow off the fines making dust and ejecta horizontally like a lunar landing but without a geyser shooting the rocket.
13/ Here is a super cool Morpheus flight video. Watch how the laser system scans the Hazard Field. It finds the safest landing zone and flies to it for landing. We hid the concrete pads under the two safest locations so it would always find them.
14/ During every landing we collected videographic data on the plume effects — some of which was included in that video, and after the vehicle was safed we went to the landing pad to measure and document the damage to the concrete slab.
15/ On the topic of Morpheus, in that video (13th tweet) notice how the plume during *launch* shoots out on only one side. It wasn’t that way for the earliest flights, but we had an accident that required us to modify the launch operation.
16/ On launch, the vehicle slowly turned upside down then drove itself into the ground and exploded. This was a failure of the Inertial Measurement Unit, probably because a connector shook loose during the heavy acoustic vibrations from launch. Flat pads are bad that way.
17/ So among other improvements we made modifications to the launch pad to reduce the plume acoustics. I was PI of a sub-project to design and build a portable flame trench to duct the acoustic energy away. Here I was inspecting it.
18/ We made it from steel, designed so you could cut a hole in the concrete & drop it in. That’s why the plume during launch shoots out only one side, but in the landings the plume and the ejecta blow out in all directions.
19/ We had other cases where we had to study launch pad failures. On STS-124 the rocket exhaust stripped away thousands of bricks from the side of the flame trench, shattering them and spewing them over a couple kilometers. Fortunately the pad was designed to duct them away.
20/ But we were not sure if the Orbiter may have been struck. We had to find out if it was safe for the astronauts to land. We started doing plume simulations to see where the fragments would blow. We needed to know the sizes of the fragments to use in those simulations.
21/ @Ryan_N_Watkins was my intern in the GMRO Lab (not quite yet the Swamp Works). I asked her to set up an “archeological dig” site at the launch pad and measure the size and mass of every fragment in her site. This is Ryan taking the data with our collaborator John Lane.
22/22 Launch & landing pads are touchy. Any little thing that goes wrong can cause a zipper effect that createsa giant problem. That’s because you’re trying to safely dispose of enough super high energy gas to shoot a rocket into the sky. I hope this history made it interesting🙂
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The thing is, at such an early time in human (pre-)history, they did not have standardized number systems. This led to the very long ages of kings that we see in the Sumerian King List. A few details on how this happened… 🧵/1
2/Today, most cultures in the world use base-10, and we use it for every digit in a number. The first digit is ones. The second is 10s. The third is 10x10s. The fourth is 10x10x10s, and so on.
In early Mesopotamian number systems, they did not use the same base for each digit. This example uses ones, then sixes, then 10x6s, then 3x10x6s.
3/ Making it more confusing, they had a different number system for each type of thing they were counting. So they had one system for counting people, another for counting sheep, another for counting bushels of barley, another for counting years, etc. The concept of “numbers” had not been generalized as an abstract concept. Numbers existed only as “numbers of sheep” or “numbers of bushels”. It is analogous to the English system of liquid measures, where the number of teaspoons, tablespoons, cups, gallons, etc., is a different count in each higher measure.
2/ The first part of this story was likely embellished during the Qing dynasty but it is based in truth. When the Ming dynasty fell in the 1640s, a ruthless general of the peasant rebels, Liu Zongmin, took the concubine Chen Yuanyuan hostage and treated her abusively. Her lover (or husband), Ming general Wu Sangui, was of course humiliated and enraged!
Well, Wu Sangui was the general defending the Shanhai Pass at the eastern end of the Great Wall, responsible for keeping out the barbarian Manchu.
3/ Rather than stay loyal to the failing Ming or join with the ascendant Chinese peasant rebels, Wu Sangui was driven to seek swift retribution against those who abused his beloved concubine. He made a personal pact with the Manchus and let them through the wall. They swiftly conquered Beijing during its time of chaos and established the long-lasting Qing dynasty.
Sui Tang Yanyi (a later Qing-era novel) probably exaggerated Chen Yuanyuan’s role in this, saying that “the empire fell for her beauty.” Nevertheless, she became legendary for causing the downfall of the Ming and the establishment of the Qing. But how does this relate to Alaska?
1/ Let’s walk through a mining competition cycle. The students take their robots to the judge station for inspection and weigh-in. (More points awarded for lower-mass robots.)
2/ They set their robots on the forklift platform to lift into the arena.
3/ Robots are placed on the regolith in an orientation chosen randomly by the judges (so the robotic autonomy can’t be cheated).
@bobster190 @DJSnM @WilliamShatner The paper has all the citations to other work inside it. I linked the paper because it wouldn’t make sense to duplicate that in a tweet. The paper wasn’t about Pluto. It was only about asteroids. We wrote a second paper that discusses Pluto and I think answers your objections. /1
@bobster190 @DJSnM @WilliamShatner 2/ That 2nd paper is here (no paywall so it is accessible):
It does discuss the arguments surrounding the IAU’s vote in 2006. I think we did a much better and more complete review of the issues than any other publication on the topic. Most other papers…sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
@bobster190 @DJSnM @WilliamShatner 3/ …include patently false information about why Pluto was voted down by the IAU. For example, the claim that asteroids were demoted because they share orbits is utterly nonsensical. Even a cursory review of the publication history shows this. Also the claim that the Moon…
Here is something that hints strongly at how human scientists and engineers are already doomed by AI. 🧵
I noticed this tonight while using Grok for technical research. I asked it a complex question and Grok understood it completely and gave a sophisticated and highly believable answer, but when I asked for specific references so I can write it into a paper for a journal, none of the references Grok provided exactly support the answer it gave me. Instead, they hint at something deeper.
In this case, I am quantifying the loss of signal margin in a Moon-Earth communications link as a function of how many times you landed near the communication system so the rocket plume sandblasted the electronics' thermal coatings, causing them to operate hotter than designed. There is a real cost to sandblasting your hardware on the Moon, and I am trying to quantify it.
Grok gave me many quantified effects, including that the frequency oscillator will drift about 10 to 50 ppm per deg C of temperature rise outside its operating range and that the Signal to Noise Ratio of the overall communications link will drop about ~0.1–0.5 dB for small drifts (<10 kHz) in particular modulation schemes. This is a great result that I can use to quantify sandblasting damage on the Moon, and the result is totally plausible, but it doesn't appear in ANY reference that Grok provided. Nothing discusses this.
So I suspect Grok actually derived that relationship itself during the LLM training. I think the relationship is probably correct, because the many references hint around the edges of this relationship in the right magnitude. I think Grok noticed the patterns of many performance metrics including temperature, input power and frequency, outputs, etc., for many devices and how they are connected in typical systems, and it stored as a higher-level symbol the result that you get 10 to 50 ppm per deg C performance loss. I think it solved that during training as it sought the higher-order symbols to store everything it had learned. IOW, its learning process included a heckuva lot of valid inference on these technical issues, and it now knows more about the performance of communications equipment than even the published literature knows.
I asked Grok if this is true, and it says it is correct (screenshots).
/1
2/ I then asked Grok to derive this relationship the same way it probably did during the LLM training, and it did. So now, if I want to use this key result in my paper, I have to use the many references that Grok used when it derived the relationship, and I have to show the derivation explicitly in the paper, or I can't publish it per the rules of scientific publishing (which of course were created in the days before reliable AI, and we still don't have totally reliable AI, but we can see it is coming fast).
3/ So here is the derivation, which it says replicates the process it did during its LLM training, which led it to believe in the quantified relationship between frequency shift and signal to noise ratio. I'm including this just to show its character.
I think it’s likely the Outer Space Treaty will be voided within the next few decades as nations will claim (effectively) national territory on the Moon and Mars.
Here’s why I think this…
/1
2/ The OST is part of the International Rules-Based Order that emerged post-WW2. The IRBO was originally multipolar with the US-led NATO and Soviet-led Warsaw Pact. The collapse of the latter left the US as the main power wanting to keep the IRBO. China/the CCP hates this. theguardian.com/world/2023/oct…
3/ The CCP claims the rules-based order was set up when China was weak so it is unfair and needs to be replaced. They are aggressive at claiming territory in their national interest, disregarding the existing rules-based order by rejecting rulings of the international court. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…