🧵of the #SudanClashes timeline

As western coalition forces prepare their extract & evac of personnel in Sudan, let’s have a quick time line review of how we got here from an IR lens:

Sep 28, 2022: US warns Sudan of consequences if it hosts Russian military base.

Feb 12, 2023: Sudan agrees to host Russian naval base on the Red Sea.

Mar 10: China negotiates peace between Saudi Arabia and Iran.

Apr 4: Saudi Arabia’s MBS states they are “no longer interested” in “pleasing the US”

Apr 11: Leaked reports of Egypt plans to arm Russia against Ukraine

Apr 15: SAF is attacked by the Rapid Support Forces, killing 56

Apr 15: RSF rebels capture Egyptian Air Force MiG-29M2 jets

Apr 16: Official representative of RSF rebels announces defection

Apr 16: Numerous Twitter bots supporting RSF appear

Apr 17: Sudanese Army confirms it took control of all of its bases, refutes RSF's claims of taking the presidential palace, heavy fighting

Apr 17: RSF capture Jabal al-Awliya Air Base, south of Khartoum

Apr 17: US, New Zealand, others call for Sudan ceasefire; RSF agrees, SAF gives mixed signals, apparently convincing US media they would adhere to it

Apr 18: UH-60 Blackhawks spotted flying low in Sudan

Apr 18: Former CIA agent discusses the crisis in Sudan on CBS News

Apr 18: Sudanese Army raids RSF base in Marawi/Merowe

Apr 18: General Abdel-Fattah al-Burhan announces the blocking of RSF bank accounts

Apr 18: Evgeny Prigozhin denies PMC Wagner presence in Sudan

Apr 18: Several Mil Mi-24 destroyed in airbase captured by RSF

Apr 18: Sudan Civil Aviation Authority closes airspace

Apr 18: RSF calls for international military intervention

Apr 18: US State Department establishes Special Task Force for Sudan conflict

Apr 18: EU's top humanitarian aid officer in Sudan shot in Khartoum

Apr 18: Sudan rejects US Secretary of State's plea for a 24-hour humanitarian truce

Apr 18: Media reports false 24-hour ceasefire agreement in Sudan

Apr 18: Sudanese army accuses foreign belligerents of supporting RSF via landings at Meroe airport

Apr 18: Yasir Salih, Sudanese presidential hopeful, calls for foreign military mission to protect Sudan's capital and diplomatic missions

Apr 19: Japanese military deploying to Sudan to evacuate citizens

Apr 19: Egypt supports SAF with airstrikes, destroys the MiG-29s that were captured

Apr 19: Ethiopia attempts ground attack in the southeast of Sudan, SAF repels it

Apr 19: Egyptian military sending combat aircraft to support Sudanese Armed Forces, destroys their own MiG-29s captured by RSF

Apr 19: Weapons and support for RSF reported to be coming from Libya

Apr 20: 16,000 Americans trapped in Sudan amidst fighting

Apr 20: US, French military forces deploying to Djibouti for staging into Sudan

Full article and link here:

veryvirology.substack.com/p/were-about-t…

By @veryvirology

Gives a great analysis on the current sit. from an international relations lens. More info on his website.

Correction.

“Mi-35 Hind E* flying low in Sudan”
Since RSF do not have aviation vehicles, safe to assume this was SAF.