For those unfamiliar with IBCS (Integrated Air and Missile Defense Battle Command System), it's the U.S. Army ADA's (Air Defense Artillery) new integrated C4ISR system.
With the appropriate integration kits, the IBCS EOC (Engagement Operations Center) will be able to provide C2 to any and all Western radars and SAMs that Ukraine operates, bypassing their organic C2 centers. It's open architecture, so integration kits can be developed as needed.
This is meant to enable an "any sensor, any effector" capability, where any integrated sensor (e.g. radar) can provide tracking and targeting data to any integrated effector (e.g. SAM launcher).
It also features IFCN (Integrated Fire Control Network) relays, which enable individual radars and launchers to be deployed 150+ km from the EOC. This can greatly increase the geographic area a fixed number of assets can defend.
It should also enable Ukraine to more directly integrate with US/NATO AEW&C aircraft and other sensors. IOW, it should automate the process through which NATO is able to pass tracking and targeting data to Ukrainian AD assets.
With that in mind, there was a line item from a prior US aid package about integrating Ukraine's legacy Soviet AD systems with Western systems. One wonders if a bootleg IBCS integration would be practical... (Apologies for not linking the package, don't have it on hand)
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The following is an English summary of an interview with @TarasChmut by @mil_in_ua on 4 MAR for the first anniversary of the 🇷🇺 invasion of 🇺🇦. @magictouch190 kindly translated and prepared this summary which I have edited into this 🧵.
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1. Prior to 24 FEB, a project was approved for @backandalive to perform minor upgrades/repairs to the Tochka-Us of the 19th Missile Brigade (19 RBr). These were expected to enhance the system’s precision and speed of deployment.
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This project was later partially completed. During the invasion, a new idea was also implemented. Specifically, the creation and provision of a new type of command post to the 19 RBr.
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Looks like it's time for a short Sapsan/Hrim-2 update. Disclaimer: the linked thread is the summary of a 🇷🇺 TG post. I don't know whether Sapsan is actually operational or not. I would treat this claim with caution as with all 🇷🇺 claims. So let's begin this 🧵.
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This is an incredible achievement for 🇺🇦 and an monumental failure for 🇷🇺. Now that the worst seems to have passed, it's time for a another 🧵 on 🇷🇺 standoff munition inventory and production capacity going forward.
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Per this graphic from @oleksiireznikov, as of Jan. 3 🇷🇺 had 59 Kalibr SLCMs and 118 Kh-101/555 ALCMs for a total of 177 units plus 52 9M728/9M729 GLCMs and 116 Kh-22/32 AShMs.
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For production, Budanov (Director of GUR) indicated that 🇷🇺 was producing 20 Kalibrs and 30 Kh-101s (50 total) per month as of Jan. 8. Based on the graphic, we find a production rate of 3-4 9M723 ["Iskander-M"] SRBMs and 2 9M728/729s per month.
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As there seems to be confusion about 🇵🇱 HIMARS, here is a short 🧵to clarify. 🇵🇱 is ordering 18 M142 HIMARS plus 468 HIMARS Launcher Loader Module (LLM) kits from 🇺🇸. The LLM "IS" HIMARS, it is literally the launcher assembly. They will be installed on a 🇵🇱 domestic chassis.
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This means 🇵🇱 is buying 486 HIMARS, 468 of which will be indigenized. The chassis will likely be the Jelcz P882 that is being used for the indigenization of the K239 Chunmoo from 🇰🇷. 🇵🇱 will also presumably install their TOPAZ FCS to enable it to launch their 🇰🇷 missiles.
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For 🇺🇸 missiles, 🇵🇱 is purchasing 521 GMLRS-U/IMPS (3,126 M31A2), 461 GMLRS-AW/IMPS (2,766 M30A2), and 532 ER GMLRS-AW (3,192 XM403) guided missiles plus 45 M57 ATACMS tactical ballistic missiles (TBMs).
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Some thoughts and comments on this 🧵. The conclusions presented are frankly excessively pessimistic IMO in their estimation of 🇺🇸 relative capabilities. Let's go through point by point.
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Korea:
-🇺🇸/🇰🇷 have the capability to eliminate 🇰🇵 in a conventional conflict, barring direct 🇨🇳 intervention.
-🇰🇵 is nuclear weapon state and the logic of MAD applies.
- 🇰🇷/🇰🇵 status quo is both sustainable and highly unlikely to change.
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Iran:
-The threat from 🇮🇷 is largely asymmetric.
-🇮🇱 is a reliable and capable partner.
-🇺🇸/🇮🇱 can leverage overwhelming joint fires in a conventional conflict.
-🇺🇸 IAMDS capabilities are continually evolving to mitigate 🇮🇷 fires, their most directly threatening capability.
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Option A: 🇺🇦 will receive new build Abrams.
These would likely be M1A2 SEPv3s, the latest Abrams variant, as it is currently the only Abrams variant the Lima Tank Plant has a new build production line for AFAIK. 2/5
Option B: 🇺🇦 receives M1A1 FEPs.
The U.S. Army currently has ~320 M1A1 FEPs inherited from the USMC. USAI could be explained by the need to first remove/replace the FEP's HAP (Heavy Armor Plate) modules, which house the Abrams' depleted uranium armor, prior to delivery. 3/5