Ukraine must be ready soon for an offensive. Europe understands the urgency but doesn't have the stockpiles. The US has the necessary ATACMs and F-16s gathering dust but refuses to provide them. Why? The answers are disturbing. 2/7
Putin hopes for another long, frozen conflict that doesn't put enough pressure on his domestic problems to crack his regime. That offers him hope of offramps and negotiations that only empower him, as has happened for the past decade. 3/7
Tragically, influences in the Biden White House also seem to want this. Sullivan, Burns, Kerry, treating this like the Cold War where the evil they know is better than the uncertainty of victory, even if it means undermining the counteroffensive against a war criminal regime. 4/7
Ukraine needs long-range fires and jets to free all its territory and people and end this war. Everyone understands this, including SecDef Austin, who has been trying his best. But the politicians don't want to burn figurative bridges with Putin--or real bridges to Crimea. 5/7
Sullivan can be a moral idiot, but here it's costing many thousands of lives. The US must declare its strategic and political goals for this war. At Ramstein they again were unwilling to provide the decisive advantage Ukraine needs, dragging out the war as Putin desires. 6/7
The national security of the US can be served in no better way than Ukraine defeating Russia decisively. Any result with Russia still occupying Ukraine will be a huge loss for the US and all democracies. Don't negotiate with terrorists. Give everything now for Ukraine to win. 7/7
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Amid the welcome attention to the sentencing of my friend and colleague Kara-Murza, the sentence itself reveals much about the Putin regime true nature. Merging treason & speech against the state was done previously only in Stalin's USSR and Nazi Germany.
Even with Navalny's blatantly political persecution, the regime went to some effort to make up charges, from embezzlement to murder. That final mask has dropped, and @vkaramurza was sentenced explicitly for criticizing the state. It's a message.
When I started warning the world of Putin's desire to return Russia to totalitarianism, Condoleezza Rice was among many "experts" whose response was "Well, it's not as bad as the USSR". Now it's persecution beyond Brezhnev's day, not seen since Stalin.
My friend, colleague, and a hero of the dream of a free Russia, @vkaramurza, was just sentenced to 25 years in prison for the worst crime in any dictatorship: speaking the plain truth.
Kara-Murza will be free. Russia will be free. Ukraine will be whole and free and safe. It will all happen only when Putin and his murderous, imperialist mafia are destroyed. Victory, accountability, liberty, peace.
25 year for telling the truth about Putin's genocidal war, just barely longer than the dictator has been in power. Follow and support Vladimir's wife @ekaramurza, who is continuing his work and pursuing every avenue for his freedom and that of Russia.
The free world disengaging points of leverage with China is long overdue, as it was with Russia. But political corruption and influence via lobbying and international orgs are far more of a threat than social media data they can buy legally from US brokers anyway.
I have little doubt that TikTok is as toxic as its critics say, or that it is a surveillance app. Unfortunately, it's not unique to Chinese companies. Social media & privacy regulation are way behind the tech and a public always happy to trade data for services.
I've written a lot on this intersection of tech and human rights at my blog for @Avast , including many interviews with privacy & security experts. The innovation-regulation-privacy balance is difficult, going back to the invention of the telephone.
Emperor Xi Jinping paid a royal visit to Pu Tin, regional governor of the northern Chinese province of Ruxia.
That's what it looked like, because that is what is happening. Xi was beaming and Putin looked the servant that he is. This was the greatest humiliation Russia has ever seen.
This isn't an alliance, it's boss and lackey. Xi isn't talking about fighting NATO or the US. He'll take Russia first. Putin is trying to buy extra hours in power by selling Russia to China.
Is the Chinese leadership so eager to see if the free world is as readily able to do without its manufacturing as it has been able to do without Russian energy? Even small boycotts would create social chaos.
The year since Putin’s re-invasion of Ukraine has demonstrated, if slowly and incompletely, that the free world can unite and fight for its values and interests after 30 years of engagement that only strengthened its authoritarian enemies.
That story had many villains, plus the appeasers who kept meeting evil halfway and losing ground. Now the story is different, because it finally has a hero: Ukraine, its people, and its president. They have led heroically, first by simply saying “No more.”