Teams to target 🎯 (stats for the last 4 matches in the PL)
1. BHA:
- DGW 34, 36, 37
- Top for xG (11.52)
2. MCI:
- DGW 34 and 37
- 2nd for goals scored (12), 2nd for xGc (3.31) and 3rd for xG (10.02)
3. Liverpool:
- DGW34.
- 3rd for goals scored (11) and 4th for xG (9.88)
4. MUN:
- DGWs 34 and 37.
- 8.57 xG
5. NEW:
- DGW 36
- Top for goals scored (13) and 5th for xG (8.97)
Must have players:
1. Erling Haaland:
He is the best captaincy option until the end of the season with 2 DGWs on the horizon. He's top for goals (5) & 2nd for xGi (4.17) among forwards with 15 shots, 14 itb, 4 BC facing ARS next having conceded 13 big chances in their last 3.
2. Mohammad Salah:
The Egyptian has been in hot form in recent weeks providing a genuine alternative to Haaland for captaincy. He's top for shots in the box (16) and big chances (6) among all midfielders having scored 4 goals during this period - also potentially being on pens.
3. BHA Mids
March v Mitoma v Mac Allister
Shots: 12 v 8 v 15
SiB: 8 v 7 v 5
BC: 2 v 2 v 2
CC: 18 v 7 v 6
BCC: 4 v 1 v 1
xGi: 2.81 v 2.46 v 1.82
The sheer volume of fixtures with 3 DGWs make the BRI double up a no brainer in midfield.
Our rank: March > Mitoma > MacAllister
4. TAA
Although LIV have been horrendous defensively this season, TAA should be back in our FPL teams with his new midfield role claiming 4 assists in the last 3 PL games. Top for BCC (4), 2nd for CC (10) among all def and on all setpieces with DGW34 and favorable fixtures.
5. Rashford:
Rashford is back from injury ahead of the 2 DGWs in 34 and 37 for MUN. He has 15 goals and 4 assists so far this season in the PL whilst being the talisman for the Ten Haag's men. If Bruno is ruled out due to the injury in the FA cup, he should even be on pens.
Differentials:
1. Alexander Isak:
The Swede has been in red-hot form with 7 goals in his last 7 games. NEW have favourable fixtures until the end of the season with a DGW in 36 - owned by just 6.5% of FPL managers.
2. Diogo Jota:
The 8.8m FWD has 4 goals in his last 2 games having started all of the last 5 matches for LIV. Owned by just 3.2% of FPL managers, he looks like an attractive prospect alongside Salah.
Our Wildcard draft:
The WC team has triple BHA and MCI - having three and two DGWs respectively. We've gone Ederson as the defensive pick due to the security of starts. Watkins can be moved on to Jota if funds aren't an issue.
(cont.)
Triple NEW for their plum GW33 and 34 fixtures along with their DGW in 36. Although there could be some benching headaches ahead, this looks like the optimal WC33 team.
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Nobody missed the incredible KDB performance vs Arsenal, with the midfielder recording 2G, 1A and 19 points haul. He’s now up to 25 attacking returns this season but is still a differential (due to his price tag).
With 2 excellent fixtures in GW 34 and a decent enough chance of KDB starting both games, he’s an incredible differential pick at the moment. His ceiling is extremely high and he’s reliable as well. If you can afford him, KDB is the differential to go for if you’re chasing.
Arsenal assets have been template picks all season, but with a perhaps slight drop off in performance recently, and tough fixtures ahead, is it worth considering selling some of them?
Before we begin, let’s take a look at some stats from Arsenal’s last 6 PL games.
🛡️Arsenal defence (last 6 PL games):
Goals conceded: 9 – (1.5 per game)
xG conceded: 9.35 – (1.56 per game)
📊Martinelli vs Odegaard vs Saka (last 6 PL games):
Goals: 4 vs 3 vs 3
Assists: 3 vs 1 vs 2
xG: 2.0 vs 1.6 vs 1.6
xGI: 4.2 vs 2.7 vs 2.9
FPL points: 47 vs 34 vs 36
Assuming that Salah & Trent are locked in in most FH teams, picking Robertson means a defensive double-up. That in itself is fine, Liverpool have a 54% chance of a CS, but the fixture (NFO) screams goals, so there could be more upside in attackers.
Diogo Jota is back from injury and returned a 16-pointer (2 G, 1 A) vs Leeds. The upside with him is very, very high but the main issue is that he’s a minutes risk and could get benched/taken off early for Darwin Nunez. He also takes one of the three valuable forward spots.