Nobody missed the incredible KDB performance vs Arsenal, with the midfielder recording 2G, 1A and 19 points haul. He’s now up to 25 attacking returns this season but is still a differential (due to his price tag).
With 2 excellent fixtures in GW 34 and a decent enough chance of KDB starting both games, he’s an incredible differential pick at the moment. His ceiling is extremely high and he’s reliable as well. If you can afford him, KDB is the differential to go for if you’re chasing.
2️⃣ Andrew Robertson (6.8) – Liverpool
Fixtures: TOT (H), FUL (H)
A lot of FPL managers will bring in Trent this week, but not many will go for the double-up with Andy Robertson. I know, Liverpool’s defence hasn't been great this season, but they’re a better team at home...
…and their next 3 games are all at Anfield. Robbo’s attacking threat is also a big factor, he has 2 assists in his last 2 games and with a constant attacking presence he’s a high upside defender. A Liverpool defensive double up is risky and expensive, but the upside is there
3️⃣ Evan Ferguson (4.6) – Brighton
Fixtures: WOL (H), MUN (H)
Ferguson isn’t a pick for the people already on a BHA triple-up, but if you only own 2 & need to buy a cheap striker in order to fund a Salah move, Ferguson should be considered. De Zerbi has said that he thinks…
…Ferguson will be fit for DGW 34 and even though his xMins are a bit of a doubt he still has decent upside. A striker that plays for a team as good as Brighton and only costs 4.6m is an option in FPL. The midfielders are better picks on paper, but Ferguson could be worth a punt.
4️⃣ Julian Alvarez (6.0) – Man City
Fixtures: FUL (A), WHU (H)
If you expect Pep to rotate in DGW 34, that means Alvarez should get a start. It’s by no means guaranteed, but it’s a possibility. He has a very high ceiling as a pick, but obviously the xMins are the problem.
City have a very tight fixture schedule going forward and if Alvarez gets a few starts and some cameos against tired defences in the next weeks, then he could return enough to be worth the risk. High risk pick with a potentially high reward if you get lucky with his minutes.
5️⃣ Andreas Pereira (4.4) – Fulham
Fixtures: MCI (H), LIV (A)
Andreas is a budget pick, possibly interesting for bench boosters that need to free up funds for a solid 15-man squad. Unfortunately, the fixtures in the double (MCI, liv) are extremely tough for Fulham…
…but you’re not really taking any risk with such a low-price pick & there’s always the potential for a penalty or a late consolation goal for Fulham. The upside isn’t as high with Andreas as for some other picks, but he frees up funds that could enable upside chasing elsewhere.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Arsenal assets have been template picks all season, but with a perhaps slight drop off in performance recently, and tough fixtures ahead, is it worth considering selling some of them?
Before we begin, let’s take a look at some stats from Arsenal’s last 6 PL games.
🛡️Arsenal defence (last 6 PL games):
Goals conceded: 9 – (1.5 per game)
xG conceded: 9.35 – (1.56 per game)
📊Martinelli vs Odegaard vs Saka (last 6 PL games):
Goals: 4 vs 3 vs 3
Assists: 3 vs 1 vs 2
xG: 2.0 vs 1.6 vs 1.6
xGI: 4.2 vs 2.7 vs 2.9
FPL points: 47 vs 34 vs 36
Assuming that Salah & Trent are locked in in most FH teams, picking Robertson means a defensive double-up. That in itself is fine, Liverpool have a 54% chance of a CS, but the fixture (NFO) screams goals, so there could be more upside in attackers.
Diogo Jota is back from injury and returned a 16-pointer (2 G, 1 A) vs Leeds. The upside with him is very, very high but the main issue is that he’s a minutes risk and could get benched/taken off early for Darwin Nunez. He also takes one of the three valuable forward spots.