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More from @RALee85

Rob Lee

@RALee85

Apr 27

https://twitter.com/MMazarr/status/1651583202576809984

The timeline doesn't really fit:
March 2021: Russia begins buildup near Ukraine, including units from Siberia that would not return
April: Biden announces AFG withdrawal
August 3rd: First reports of new BARS reserve system (decision likely made in July)
August 15: Kabul falls

https://twitter.com/MMazarr/status/1651583202576809984

That doesn't mean the AFG withdrawal had no effect, but Russia's leadership likely decided to make all preparations for the invasion in July.

Putin thought it would be easy and there would be minimal resistance. Hard to deter a leader with such a fundamentally incorrect understanding of the situation.

Read 4 tweets

Rob Lee

@RALee85

Apr 26

Sladkov says that the biggest surprise from the war is probably the role of infantry. Because Russian infantry rely heavily on armored vehicles, they had smaller squads and fewer heavy weapons. So Russia has relied on naval infantry, VDV, and spetsnaz.
t.me/Sladkov_plus/7…

As mobile infantry. This worked in local conflicts, but was insufficient for such a large war. And the intensity of the war led to heavy losses in these units. In particular, he says that VDV and spetsnaz are not organizationally suited to this use in a combined arms fight. 2/

He says a review of the role of transport and armored vehicles is needed. He says spetsnaz need to be used in their intended role, and that more can be done in terms of performing sabotage missions and improving the correction of artillery fire and aviation. 3/

Read 7 tweets

Rob Lee

@RALee85

Apr 20

The Russian MoD said that a Russian Su-34 bomber caused the damage in Belgorod tonight.
tass.ru/proisshestviya…
vk.com/milinfolive?w=…

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1649318357538045953

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1649318357538045953

The Fighter Bomber says this was probably a UMPK FAB-500M62 glide bomb, but the wings didn't initiate for some reason so the bomb just fell. He says the fuze was set on delay, and detonated as it should (for targeting an underground target). 3/
t.me/fighter_bomber…

Read 4 tweets

Rob Lee

@RALee85

Apr 2

twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

Russian channels are saying there was an explosion in a cafe in St. Petersburg where well-known Russian mil blogger/combatant Vladlen Tatarsky was holding an event. There are reports that he was killed.
t.me/milinfolive/98…
t.me/ENews112/13273
t.me/milinfolive/98… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

https://twitter.com/riabreakingnews/status/1642558877420994561

RIA Novosti confirms he was killed. 2/

https://twitter.com/riabreakingnews/status/1642558877420994561

The cafe was reportedly owned by Yevgeny Prigozhin. 3/
t.me/fontankaspb/37…

Read 4 tweets

Rob Lee

@RALee85

Mar 28

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1610937610481827841

The Ukrainian Air Force said it shot down 12 of 13 Shahed/ Geran-2 UAVs launched last night and a Granat-4 UAV. They also said Russian Su-35S fighters
dropped two guided bombs, possibly UPAB-1500B.
t.me/milinfolive/98…
t.me/milinfolive/78…
facebook.com/kpszsu/posts/p…

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1610937610481827841

The spokesman for the Ukrainian Air Force, Yuriy Ignat, said that Russia is using guided bombs more frequently.
unian.ua/war/kerovani-a…
unian.ua/war/rosiya-vse…

Reportedly, the remains of Russian FAB-500M62 UMPK bombs. 3/
t.me/milinfolive/98…
t.me/milinfolive/97…
t.me/milinfolive/98…

Read 4 tweets

Rob Lee

@RALee85

Mar 24

One of the reasons I’m skeptical when people say the tank is obsolete is that technological advances, such as in thermal optics, UAVs, more accurate and longer range artillery and machine guns, have also made light vehicles and infantry more vulnerable.
t.me/adamtactic/104