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May 1 7 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
🧵 How I mastered 90% win rate option trading.

DJ Khaled - They don’t want you to win.

Success is not given overnight , it is a mindset.

Basic overview, strategies & guidance , most common mistakes!

Education ⬇️
Gamma: (GEX) , which is a dollar-denominated measure of option market-makers' hedging obligations.

Things to remember/bookmark:

▪️High GEX env = lot of hedging needed = liquidity is added(+ GEX) or subtracted (- GEX)

▪️+ GEX = + gamma = Long calls go 1.0(delta) as they… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Delta: Measurement of change in option price as stock moves ⬆️ or ⬇️

▪️Between -1 and 1 for every option
▪️-1 to 0 for Puts
▪️0 to 1 for Calls
▪️More “in the money” the strike moves to option, more value it gains, closer it gets to -1 for Puts or +1 for Calls
▪️>90% options… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Theta: ⏱️. Think of it as time

▪️ Represents the risk of time and the loss of value of an option
▪️Not linear!
▪️Factors that influence it to change: IV , time to expiry, strike price
▪️”When you hear swing traders say I bought 6-8 weeks out, 2-3+ months”- They are buying time
Vanna: second-order derivative that measures the change in delta for any change in the implied volatility of an option!

▪️Vanna tends want be “0” or close to highest value interest - as IV changes & hedging occurs throughout 0DTE options and others
▪️0DTE swings vanna daily.… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
IV strategies:

▪️HIGH IV- sell options (calendars, spreads, condors). Collect theta (premium) in your favor

▪️Low IV- buy OPTIONS with time for hedges. Less delta impact , & if IV up- works in your favor if direction is correct.

@AlphaPicks : Great IV strategies & threads.
My A+ setup parameters

▪️Gamma environment stable- NOT (+/- flip) intraday
▪️Vanna target identified and stable (IE 1 price and growing)
▪️IV skew(decrease or increase) consistent
▪️Bullish/Bearish environment consistent across #IWM #SPY #QQQ
▪️Option selling 1st hour… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

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More from @astocks92

Apr 4
🧵Combining World Macro, Market Positions to spot trends/trade: Small thread

Please ♥️ & share/comment for more:

Weekend snapshot, 4/2/23:

* Friday close, US equity was a net buyer +580 Bps vs 30d avg of -74bp sell skew

*Assest Managers: +15% buy skew(Highest 1st week Jan)
🧵/2:

HFs +3% buy skew --> covering of shorts
- Non profitable tech, 12M Losers and Most Short all squeezing 3+%

TMT net selling(Interactive Media & Services, Semis & Semi Equip, and Software)

CTA(Trend traders): NET BUY >4103. $22b. Will get even more >4103
🧵/3:

CTA(WTI /OIL): mkt short ~$10 bn each in Brent/WTI and the medium threshold triggers in the $83/$79

**OPEC NEWS ON WEEKEND HELPED FUEL SHORTS COVERING**

Source: Bloomberg

S&P Sector Performances

Where is the rotation next, if so?
Read 7 tweets
Feb 27
Market overview, key $SPX level to watch and info this week, CTA position info, general trends market, economic calendar, and various other info.

A short thread 🧵

Please ❤️ and 🔄 if you like this education information.
$SPX: As mentioned many times in previous tweets, 3950 has been held as a support from gamma, vanna, & as well as being 200 SMA. It all adds up from TA & PA perspective.
🔑 level to watch: $VIX- >22, bearish. 22-21 is chop. <20.60 for squeeze to 4040/4080.
RES @ 4065.
#SPY:

This is gamma (GEX) total profile for the next 2 expirations- mark 🔑 levels.
How to read this: MOST $$$ at $400 spy. (C/P). This means most hedging by MM.

Surprise? No. Major psych level & major 🧲 months!

Predominately bearish 395-390.
Read 11 tweets

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