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🚨 #FOMC Trade Thread 🚨

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

THIS STRATEGY IS 96% ACCURATE PAST 26 FOMC’S (Only One Non-Event Move) 💰

Please ❤️ & ♻️
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF!

There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
👇🏼HOW TO TRADE #FOMC 👇🏼

You FADE the INITIAL REACTION on $SPY at 2PM EST once the Rates are given out and you PLAY the opposite when Powell Speaks at 2:30PM EST.

ITS THAT SIMPLE.
Read 11 tweets
🚨 #FOMC Trade Thread 🚨

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

THIS STRATEGY IS 96.1% ACCURATE PAST 26 FOMC’S (Only One Non-Event Move) 👇

Please ❤️ & ♻️
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF!

There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
HOW TO TRADE #FOMC

You FADE the INITIAL REACTION on $SPY at 2PM EST once the Rates are given out and you PLAY the opposite when Powell Speaks at 2:30PM EST.

Example: If initially the market falls at 2PM you would go long at 2:25-2:35 once he starts to speak &this can be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 12 tweets
🚨 #FOMC Trade Thread 🚨

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

THIS STRATEGY IS 96.1% ACCURATE PAST 26 FOMC’S (Only One Non-Event Move) 💰

Please ❤️ & ♻️ 👇🏼
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF!

There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
👇🏼HOW TO TRADE #FOMC 👇🏼

You FADE the INITIAL REACTION on $SPY at 2PM EST once the Rates are given out and you PLAY the opposite when Powell Speaks at 2:30PM EST.

Example: If initially the market falls at 2PM you would go long at 2:25-2:35 once he starts to speak &this can be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 9 tweets
🧵 How I mastered 90% win rate option trading.

DJ Khaled - They don’t want you to win.

Success is not given overnight , it is a mindset.

Basic overview, strategies & guidance , most common mistakes!

Education ⬇️
Gamma: (GEX) , which is a dollar-denominated measure of option market-makers' hedging obligations.

Things to remember/bookmark:

▪️High GEX env = lot of hedging needed = liquidity is added(+ GEX) or subtracted (- GEX)

▪️+ GEX = + gamma = Long calls go 1.0(delta) as they… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Delta: Measurement of change in option price as stock moves ⬆️ or ⬇️

▪️Between -1 and 1 for every option
▪️-1 to 0 for Puts
▪️0 to 1 for Calls
▪️More “in the money” the strike moves to option, more value it gains, closer it gets to -1 for Puts or +1 for Calls
▪️>90% options… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 7 tweets
The anatomy of a successful $SPY trade in a choppy day like today:
A thread 🧵 #SPY #SPX
1a- Contextual understanding
#Macro level
I posted this last night. The rotation from tech to Financial sector was the intervening variable pushing spy & QQQ down. QQQ bottomed at $308 that's when $SPY started to move up:
1b- Knowing confluence levels, major points of interest, and support and resistance. I posted these last night for twitter super followers. Draw lines for yourself of price rejection and bounce for one week, the highs and the lows. Image
Read 6 tweets
This is the start of Drip Drops Knowledge!

Remember to hit that follow button if you like the content.

#SPY #SPX $ES_F #QQQ #futurestrading #OptionsTrading #options Image
The first official Knowledge Drop. $GME reported earnings last night and is up over 50% this morning. A short float of 24% (as reported by #Ortex) might have something to do with that. Breakdown in slide, follow me for weekly Knowledge Drops!

#GME #ShortSqueeze Image
Last week, I discussed the concept of a “short squeeze.” This week let’s look at the dynamics of dealer hedging and the concept of a “gamma squeeze.”

#ShortSqueeze #GammaSqueeze #SPY #SPX $ES Image
Read 9 tweets
Somehow our pinned tweet disappeared, so here it is again

This is a thread with information we think valuable:

1) Our Compact Guide to Understanding #Gamma
2) $SPX $Gamma structure Cheat Sheet
3) Our Compact Guide to Options Strategies
4) 2023 Options Calendar... and more
🧵
Version 1.0 of the $SPX #Gamma structure cheat sheet.

Developed in partnership from
@TradeVolatility, great tools for great trades

#SPX #ES_F #options #Futures #trading #Daytrader #VIX #VVIX #Gamma $Gamma #GEX $GEX $SPX $SPY #SPY $QQQ #QQQ #NDX #NQ_F

Our Compact Guide to Options Strategies

According to the teachings of Sheldon Natemberg, 30 years Market Maker, Cboe Educator and author of the options Bible "Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques"

#SPX #ES_F #options #Futures #trading #VIX
Read 7 tweets
Market overview, key $SPX level to watch and info this week, CTA position info, general trends market, economic calendar, and various other info.

A short thread 🧵

Please ❤️ and 🔄 if you like this education information.
$SPX: As mentioned many times in previous tweets, 3950 has been held as a support from gamma, vanna, & as well as being 200 SMA. It all adds up from TA & PA perspective.
🔑 level to watch: $VIX- >22, bearish. 22-21 is chop. <20.60 for squeeze to 4040/4080.
RES @ 4065.
#SPY:

This is gamma (GEX) total profile for the next 2 expirations- mark 🔑 levels.
How to read this: MOST $$$ at $400 spy. (C/P). This means most hedging by MM.

Surprise? No. Major psych level & major 🧲 months!

Predominately bearish 395-390.
Read 11 tweets
Here's a thread of (6) charts 📊 that are worth nothing from this last week's @MorganStanley Global Investment Committee (GIC) Weekly Report (01/30/23)... 🧵/👇🏼

#macro #economy #earnings #stocks #StockMarket #bonds

morganstanley.com/pub/content/da…
1/🧵 "In the short run, flows, sentiment, positioning & technicals can be powerful drivers, while over the longer term, fundamentals like growth, profitability & productivity are critical, as are earnings surprises." @MorganStanley

#macro #earnings #stocks #StockMarket #bonds
2/🧵 "But sometimes, & for extended periods, markets can settle on one particular thesis, no matter how narrow or implausible." 📊h/t @MorganStanley @GoldmanSachs $MS $GS @Bloomberg

#macro #earnings #stocks #StockMarket #bonds $SPY $SPX
Read 12 tweets
How can I explain this #SPY chart with 280 characters. I will try in a thread. $SPY $SPX #VIX Image
The regular flat grid chart is misleading to retail. The big money uses diamonds. It works on any minute chart and on a daily as well. that is how they communicate/coordinate beating retail. I discovered this 3 -4 month ago and it never fails.
The fight is now on the downward channel the bulls wanted to stop the cycle of down trends pushing it artificially higher to prevent $300. A downtrend channel is inevitable but what channel is the important question. because the next bottom moves higher.
Read 10 tweets
🧵 #FOMC Trade Thread 🧵

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

🚨THIS STRATEGY IS 100% ACCURATE PAST 22 FOMC’S🚨
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF! 🚀
There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
Read 10 tweets
My Strategy Rules in a Tweet...

#1 Short Below VWAP Long Above VWAP.

The VWAP is a great tool to always be aware of the trend even during the pull back are we pulling back to VWAP or breaking below? Little things here and there with the VWAP can save you a lot of issues
#2 3 Minute Chart Setup

3 Minute Time frame with 3 EMAS.

8EMA 21EMA 51 EMA

We are looking for these 3 EMAS to be spaced/fanned out nicely showing the overall trend. Would love for Price to stay above 8EMA during a move higher and stay above 21 EMA during pull backs.
#3 MACD

The MACD is on my 3minute Chart. I am looking at MACD cross for Bullish/Bearish Bias. A downward move with a Bullish MACD normally results in choppy action. Same with Upward Bearish MACD. This can save you from buying a failed break out!
Read 6 tweets
BULL TRAP THESIS 🧐

Read this comprehensive thread so you understand why this is the BIGGEST BULL TRAP that we have ever seen

#thread 🧵 Image
Let's start with JPOW & Interest Rates

Currently, Fed has been raising interest rates to battle inflation which puts downward pressure on the #StockMarket

So if Fed keeps raising rates, it's #bearish for #stocks & #crypto.

Raising Camign → Pause → Decreasing Campaign

2🧵 Image
We are in a #BearMarket and this recent rally has sparked a lot of enthusiasm from #investors and #traders.

Bear Market Rallies are a common phenomenon during the Bear Market and usually have multiple selling climaxes and declining volume on the rallies.

3🧵 Image
Read 11 tweets
Interested in learning about a new BACKTESTED metric with an edge?

We've produced one at GammaEdge (GE) we know you'll like.

Our traders think it's one of the most powerful & actionable metrics we provide.

Ready to learn how it can make you money?

Let's get to work🧵👇
1/ Before we get going, here is what you'll be able to answer by the end:

· What is Gamma?
· What is Gamma Exposure (GEX)?
· What is the GammaEdge GEX Ratio (GR)?
· How is the GR different from Put-Call Ratio (PCR)?
· How to make the GR actionable?

Sound good? 👇
2/ A common gauge of fear in the market is the Put-Call Ratio (PCR).

However, this gauge is flawed.

Why?

Because it does not have a time component.
Read 36 tweets
$SPX has been trapped in a Noise Box for the past 14 days

As at other times patience pays: whichever side SPX breaks out of the box will be followed by a big move

A great trading opportunity

👁️👁️Volume has been higher on bullish days and SPX closed above 20DMA

#SPX #ES $SPY
We should look at the indices that have led the recent moves up and down: $DJI, $IWM, $DJT, #S5TH.

The #DJI has a more defined Noise Box. It broke out of it last Friday, and did so on higher volume, closing above 50DMA and 20DMA. Bullish, DJI should continue up on Monday
$SPX
$DJT has as $DJI a more defined Noise Box. It broke out of it yesterday in higher volume, closing above 20DMA, and like $SPX rigth at the 50DMA

The general look of this chart is bullish short term, so a continuation rally is on the menu for next week

#DJT #XTN #DJI #DowJones
Read 5 tweets
Price Relationship to Gamma Levels: What does it Mean, How to Watch, & Where Should We Pay Attention?

We know there is considerable noise and confusion regarding gamma, and we work hard to clear the fog for you.

We provide a high-level answer to those questions here in this 🧵
1/ By the end of this thread, you'll have answers to the following:

· What is gamma?
· What are some of the key levels tracked by GammaEdge?
· What % of the time are we above/below a given gamma level?
· How do I track these levels and price relationships?

Let's dive in!
2/ Gamma is a measure of how fast option delta changes when the price of a stock or ETF changes.

💡Delta can be thought of as shares of a stock or ETF, so if there is a large change in gamma (which directly impacts delta), your exposure to the market changes quickly.
Read 24 tweets
Market Commentary-
Disclaimer: I don't claim to know everything, as I have MUCH MORE learning left to do.
That said, I think beginners need to see bigger 🖼️ of markets instead of thinking ⬆️⬇️
#SPY , #SPX , #ES
ELI5 friendly. Info derived from @jam_croissant
See below:
1/
Market has gone essentially NOWHERE from November 10th onwards. We've been stuck in a range anywhere from 3850 - 4100 on $SPX (~385 - ~410 $SPY) for the past month. A day trader's dream.

A perma 🐻 and perma 🐂worst nightmare.
Indecisive, rangebound, sideways market.
⬆️⬇️?
2/
What if I told you that there's a structural "method behind the madness?"
That structure is 🦍 aka "Gary" aka Dealers/MM (and in this context: specific to implied vol positioning)!
Now, you may be asking:
"WTF does that have to do with markets being in a range?"
EVERYTHING.
Read 13 tweets
TODAY IN THE MARKETS
$SPX
A low #CPI triggered a 114-point jump that took it above the dominant trendline. At the open, sell orders above that level initiated a pullback that took it 126 points down to the 20DMA

Not what we would call a 1-day reversal, more upside to come
#SPX
$DIA
Same picture for #DIA, sell orders above Dec 1 high pushed the #DJI lower

It went down after an impressive initial rally
Bounced from 20DMA

#DJIA will continue to lead the rally

Not a pretty candle, but not exactly a 1-day reversal

#DowJones #trading #options #trading
$IWM

Same story

Perhaps an uglier candle, closer to a 1-day reversal than $DIA and $SPX.

$RTY looking much better

Bounced from important support in the trading channel

Big volume today.

#IWM needs to catch up with $DJI for accompanying leadership

$RUT #RUT #RTY_F #trading
Read 12 tweets
🧵 #FOMC Trade Thread 🧵

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

🚨THIS STRATEGY IS 100% ACCURATE PAST 22 FOMC’S🚨
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF! 🚀
There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
Read 10 tweets
Our weekly NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take is here

For more info read our newsletter coming out later today

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

• Rates, inflation, dollar, employment ↑
• Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX above TL and 20DMA
• All indices broke below 20DMA
• Negative #Gamma regime
• Dealers are now net short
•Quadruple witching: large negative stack at 3900
$ES_F $SPX $SPY
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Commodities/Oil/ $DXY are ↓
• Indexes on lower weekly volume
• Breadth indicators still holding
• Indexes are at important supports
• Seasonality favors ↑movement
• Lower #CPI would push the market ↑
• Market ↑ on 50 bps rate hike

#SPX
Read 5 tweets
🧵 #FOMC Trade Thread 🧵

How To Trade #FOMC $SPY $SPX

🚨THIS STRATEGY IS 100% ACCURATE PAST 22 FOMC’S🚨
This strategy has made 60-140+ POINT MOVES in $SPX which equates to around $5-$15 Moves in $SPY ITSELF! 🚀
There is 1 way on how to trade this strategy and to also state #FOMC is very risky to trade with #SPY #SPX #Options due to the #volatility
Read 10 tweets
The market today:

$SPX / $SPY / $ES

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its upward trending channel

It bounced from channel support

#SPX #ES_F #trading #options #futures #daytrading #TradingSignals Image
$DIA / $DJI / $YM

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its upward trending channel

It bounced from channel support

#DIA #DJIA #DowJones #trading #options #Futures #OptionsTrading #DayTrading #TradingSignals #YM_F Image
$QQQ / $NDX / $NQ

It closed below the key 20DMA in higher volume than yesterday

It's still in its short-term upward trending channel and its mid-term downward channel

It bounced near channel support

#QQQ #NASDAQ #IXIC #NDX #trading #OptionsTrading #Futures #NQ_F #daytrading
Read 7 tweets
Our weekly NEXT WEEK, The Bear's take, The Bull's take, Our take is here

For more info read our newsletter coming out tomorrow morning before the open

Subscribe for Free

pointblanktrading.substack.com

#SPX $SPY $ES $SPX #ES_F $GAMMA $GEX #GAMMA #GEX $QQQ #QQQ
$DIA $IWM #trading
NEXT WEEK

The Bear's take:

•High rates, inflation, dollar
•Powell, and 8 more FEDs are coming
•Geopolitical tensions
• $VIX, $VVIX extremely oversold
• $FAANG struggling with 50DMA
#Nasdaq rejected at 100DMA
• $RUT under 200DMA
• Short sellers at $SPX 200DMA

$ES_F
NEXT WEEK

The Bull's take

•Commodities/Oil/DXY are ↓
•Indices are above 50DMA
• $DJI to continue leadership
•Breadth indicators are very ↑
•Black Friday record sales
• Seasonality favors ↑ move
• $VIX and $VVIX in strong ↓
• $SMH $XLF $XTN $XLV $XLE ↑

#ES_F #SPX
Read 5 tweets

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