The ringgit is currently trading at 4.391 against the dollar.
It is up by over 3% in the past 35 days from a 4-month low of 4.529.
Here’s why this is happening. 🧵
1. The biggest reason for the ringgit’s strength comes from the downtrend in the dollar.
The Dollar Index (DXY), which compares USD to a basket of other currencies such as euro, yen, and yuan, shows that the dollar has declined significantly since its peak in September.
2. Why is the dollar weakening?
Released on Apr 12, the latest US inflation data came in at 5.0%, well below forecasts of 5.2%.
The declining pace of inflation is a signal for the Fed to adopt a more lenient monetary policy, which is bad for the dollar and good for the ringgit.
1. The voluntary contribution limit for the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) will be raised from RM60,000 to RM100,000 per annum, according to PM Anwar Ibrahim.
The date for the implementation will be announced soon, he said.
2. Anwar explained that 55 y/o retirees must have at least RM240,000 to cover their expenses for 20 years.
He hopes that the voluntary contributions, apart from the mandatory 11% employee contribution, will help to ensure that citizens have sufficient retirement savings.
3. Anwar said that the tax relief of RM3,000 for life insurance premiums will be expanded to cover voluntary EPF contributions from YA 2023.
This is to encourage members to save for retirement.
It gives the US unrivaled economic and political control over the world due to its status as the world’s reserve currency.
But the dollar’s reign is soon coming to an end.
This is the story of its epic rise and inevitable downfall. 🧵
1. Let's travel back to the year 1915.
The world was in chaos due to the First World War.
The United States, however, remained neutral during the early stages and traded munitions, food, and necessities to Europe and other warring nations for gold.
2. Similarly, during the WWII in 1939, the US emerged as the primary supplier of weapons and goods to the Allies.
These two wars, when combined, significantly displaced other global powers such as Britain and Europe, resulting in the US becoming the largest holder of gold.
1. China and Brazil have agreed to ditch the US dollar and trade in their own currencies, the Brazilian government announced on Wednesday.
This move marks the significant shift away from the dollar as nations look for alternatives to reduce their dependence on the United States.
2. The deal will enable both nations to use the Chinese yuan and Brazilian reais interchangeably for financial transactions instead of going through the dollar.
To date, China is Brazil’s largest trading partner, recording a whopping $150.5 billion in bilateral trade last year.
3. The deal is but one of many between China and other nations as Beijing picks up the pace in de-dollarization.
Similar agreements have been struck with Russia, Pakistan, India, and several other countries.