Jayant Shilanjan Mundhra Profile picture
May 3 15 tweets 6 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
An avg #Rapido rider does ~3 trips a day, earning just Rs 200! 😮😮

What’s his persona & motivation? What does @rapidobikeapp earn out of it?

Here’s all that the company’s data reveals! A thread 👇 Image
This morning, @livemint published a great data-rich story on #Rapido by @sumantbanerji. What did it show? A lot of things. But some key numbers are all that probably matters.
🔆 No of riders: 7.5L

🔆 Total monthly rides: 3cr

🔆 Avg rider's monthly earnings: Rs 6k (Rs 200 daily)

🔆 Full time rider's (10-12hrs) monthly earnings: Rs 20k (Rs 666 daily)
Now, let’s say, a full-time rider rides for not 10 or 12, but avg 11 hrs a day.

👉 That gives us Rs 60 earned per hour

👉 That’s in line with the founder’s claim of nearly Rs 70 per hour earnings. Also, that’s about an avg of one ride’s money
That tells us, Rapido’s platform has grown big enough, to be able to provide an avg rider with a ride worth about Rs 60 per hour

So, we now know two things.

🔆 Avg rider earns Rs 200 daily
🔆 And he makes ~Rs 60 an hour
This means, an avg Rapido rider only engages on the platform for about 3 hours and 20 mins a day! 😮😮

And that’s the factor that differentiates a bike taxi rider from #Rapido, #Ola, or #Uber from a cab or auto driver.
An avg rider doesn’t do this to run his house. He has another earning stream, where he spends the most time. That’s the big difference in persona.
👉 He is just a man, looking to earn some extra bucks, to buy that toy his kid wanted but he could not afford. Or that saree that his wife had been yearning for. Or that watch that he wants to gift his father
👉 It is about those little extras in life for which a man who already has a bike, decides to drive for Rapido an hour or two before and after work
Now, what did we just do up there? We took up a bunch of big numbers, and broke them down to a human & his persona 😅

Now, let’s get back to the big numbers to understand how much Rapido, Ola & Uber make out of this.
As per the Livemint report:

👉 Ola, Uber & Rapido together do ~1.2cr rides a week

👉 That’s ~17L daily rides (Rapido alone does 10L)

👉 At Rs 60 per ride, that’s Rs 10.2cr of biz per day (Rapido does Rs 6cr)
👉 But, this is the biz for the riders, who then pay 15-25% of this to Rapido, Ola & Uber as commissions

👉 Thus, the 3 players together make Rs 1.5-2.5cr a day (Rapido: Rs 90L-1.5cr)
That’s a monthly earnings of sum of Rs 45-75cr for all 3 players 💰💰

Of this, Rapido nets a share between Rs 27-45cr!
But, do note that this is after the biggest market, Maharashtra banned bike taxis recently. It alone used to record ~1m rides a day across all players 😓😓

With that, the biz would have been way higher. But, it is what it is.
Biz News+ WA group: openinapp.co/9mioi

PS: I post one such deep-dive daily 11am. If interested, do follow!

Tags: @bhash, @Olacabs, @rapidobikeapp, @Uber, @Uber_India | #BikeTaxi #CabHailing #Mobility #Rapido

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More from @jshilanjanm

May 2
Indian smartphone sales drop to lowest in 4yrs! That’s the catchy headline they report 😅😅

The important truth comes out only when one breakdown the numbers 👇 Image
Smartphones sold in India (crore).
’19: 15.2
’20: 15.0
’21: 16.1
’22: 14.4

This is what media circulates, calling it stagnancy.

But, a deep dive by segments shows, nothing’s stagnant at all:
<$150 📛:
👉 Vol -24% YoY
👉 Mkt share: 46% vs 54% last year

$150-300 🚀:
👉 Vol +15%
👉 Mkt share: 38% vs 36% last year

$300-500 🚀:
👉 Vol +20%
👉 Mkt share: 10% vs 8% last year

> $500 🚀🚀:
👉 Vol +55%
👉 Mkt share: 6% vs 2% last year
Read 14 tweets
May 1
Rs 420cr wrongly charged by @atherenergy & @OlaElectric to scooters owners? 📛📛📛

This wild & unethical play has got the Govt up in arms against them!

Here’s all you should know 👇 Image
As per Govt’s Vahan portal, the number of scooters sold by Ola & Ather to date (as per Vahan) stand at 1.72L & 1.25L.

But Vahan portal doesn’t yet include sales from Telangana & Lakshwadeep. Thus, let’s round up the sales to account for some of that:

🔆 Ola: 1.8L
🔆 Ather: 1.3L
But, what really drove those big numbers?

🔆 Govt’s FAME scheme which has been massively subsidising electric scooters

🔆 In layman terms, the scheme says that after subsidy, the ex-showroom of a price of a scooter should be <Rs 1.5L. And this subsidy could go up to Rs 60k!
Read 13 tweets
Apr 30
#GujaratGovt’s directives on dividends & buybacks is a big bad negative for the state’s 7 PSU stocks! 📛📛

Here’s why I booked profits in 2 of those, with no plans to reinvest 👇 Image
Here's how the share prices surged in the last week 🚀🚀

📈 Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers and Chemicals Limited (11%)
📈 Gujarat Industries Power Company Ltd - India (23%)
📈 Gujarat State Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd (29%)
📈 Gujarat Alkalies and Chemicals Limited (9%)
📈 Gujarat Mineral Development Corp (18%)
📈 Gujarat State Petronet Limited (8%)
📈 Gujarat Gas Limited (3%)
Read 14 tweets
Mar 22
Puma's India sales in FY22 > Adidas + Nike + Reebok + Skechers + Asics combined 👏👏

But, that domination is about to change, courtesy of Metro Brands, which is gearing up to bring in some disruption in the premium athleisure segment with FILA.

Let’s start with the basics 👇
Metro Brands is India’s most profitable (net margin wise) and fastest-growing listed footwear retailer in India.

It operates brands like:
Metro Shoes, Walkway, daVinchi, Cheemo, Fitflop, Mochi & Crocs.
But, hey! That was the list until Oct ’22 when it acquired Cravatex Brands, with which it bagged the sale & distribution rights of FILA across all physical and online channels in India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, Nepal & Bhutan.
Read 23 tweets
Mar 21
Amazon's priming pursuit to buy @MXPlayer MX Player is a masterstroke! 🙌🙌

Here's why it wants a 3rd streaming platform. Let’s start from the start 👇
Basics:
🔰 MX was developed by Korea’s J2 Interactive to play downloaded videos on smartphones

🔰 By 2018, it had 175m MAU globally. In VC parlance, most users hailed from Bharat (not India)
🔰 Mostly android users from beyond Tier-1 & 2 cities, with less money, but more knack for entertainment

🔰 They would download pirated content & watch over MX
Read 14 tweets
Mar 20
I sliced & diced Delhivery’s biz & financial metrics for last 8yrs.

And what I learned is what every investor should know 👇👇 Image
Sahil Barua led Delhivery’s journey can be divided into 3 phases:

1️⃣ From start to a year before IPO (Until FY21 end)
2️⃣ From then to the IPO, particularly FY22
3️⃣ Post IPO
It primarily earns from 5 separate businesses. Here is the wtd avg yearly rate at which they grew during the 1st phase:

🔰 Express Parcel: 54%
🔰 Partial Truck Load (PTL): 93%
🔰 Full Truck Load (FTL): 81%
🔰 Supply Chain Services (SCS): 52%
🔰 Cross Border Services (CBS): 18%
Read 13 tweets

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