Thread by @EnemyInAState

The usual nonsense is being wheeled about the new Indian #xbb116 #sars3 #ArcturusCovid strain being 'no more severe' than any other strain: our time machine here shows us that's exactly what they said about Delta as well, while bodies piled high In India:

B.1.617 is Delta… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

In May 2021 as Delta spread widely through India causing 3 million plus deaths (most of which went completely unrecorded by official records) the public was being told there was no evidence of the strain being more severe: scmp.com/news/asia/sout…

Delta variant was first discovered in October 2020: many months before it turned into the global beast it would become:

It would take until October 2021 for the studies to be published showing that Delta is much more severe:

By this time it has basically burned out and Omicron BA1 was already spreading, and about to blow:

The same old tricks always apply: tell the public there's 'no evidence of more severe disease and death' by ignoring the evidence that there is more severe disease and death: until the whole thing has basically burned out, then admit it when nobody is really paying attention

Delta killed millions globally and nobody knows the real number: it's only dead people after all, many of which are in poor countries anyway, so WHO cares? twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

It's all part of the eternal Covid groundhog day really: you could set your watch to it, they said the same about Alpha and of course Omicron BA1 went one better: and rebranded millions of death and millions and millions of people being disabled as mild

So we're currently at the it's mild and 'no more severe than mild' juncture off in the mainstream lalalalalala land of complete fantasy

How bad is the new strain? it does remain unknown currently, the only reasonable data we have shows that it's not mild by any stretch of the imagination: how severe it actually is remains hard to tell: we just don't have enough information from India:

https://twitter.com/EnemyInAState/status/1653567155785408513

theSome have questioned how reliable the case fatality rate and severe disease rate is given that so many cases are going untested: fair enough, but we have nothing else to go on:

Say they undercounted cases by 10x so there's actually 3k cases in he study and 7 deaths...

...which makes the fatality 0.2% so 1 in 500: which is still high.

Say they missed deaths by 5x undercount: 35 deaths

3,000 cases 35 deaths = fatality rate 1.1% so just over 1 in 100 etc etc etc

if they are undercounted by 10x: severe disease becomes 3% so 1 in 30 roughly need oxygen etc.

Whatever way you want to look at it, it's bad news

https://twitter.com/EnemyInAState/status/1653568117287661573

case in point:

https://twitter.com/Saffiya_Khan1/status/1653828064315318281

If people are waiting around to be told what to do by the government then I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO SAY: have you learned nothing at all from the last 3+ years?

India has 1.4 billion people but has claimed throughout this whole thing to have just a few deaths a day:

https://twitter.com/EnemyInAState/status/1638682321812353026