Samuel Ramani Profile picture
May 3 12 tweets 2 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Nikolay Patrushev just published a scarily unhinged interview with Izvestia

A look into the mind of one of Vladimir Putin's more influential advisors /1
Patrushev's interview begins with a discussion of post-Cold War geopolitics

In familiar fashion, he accuses the US and Britain of trying to create a unipolar order and claims that "Anglo-Saxons" are trying to finish the job now by kicking Russia off the UN Security Council /2
Patrushev followed by accusing Western countries of distorting World War II history by framing the Soviet Union as a co-aggressor

He also blasts efforts to conflate Nazi and Communist crimes, which is a criminal offence in Russia /3
Patrushev proceeds to accuse the Anglo-Saxons of trying to revive Neo-Nazi ideology

This is an inheritance from World War II-era Anglo Saxons who financially supported Hitler /4
Patrushev says the Anglo-Saxon powers are implementing McKinder's Heartland theory

A core element of that Heartland theory is to separate Ukraine from Russia in order to dominate Eurasia /5
McKinder's ideology took root after World War II

The US was emboldened by its impunity for nuclear strikes on Japan, and wished to do the same to the Soviet Union and China

NATO expansion is the latest incarnation, which mirror Napoleon, Hitler and Kaiser Wilhelm II /6
Patrushev attributes these aggressive actions to the US's lack of experience with war on its territory since the 1865 Civil War

And he accuses NATO of being a tool of US occupation of Europe with 60,000 US troops /7
Patrushev then pivots to describing US security threats to Russia

He starts with the Anglo-Saxon seizure of Russian Empire gold in the 1920s, then moves to the 1990s Chechen separatism and accuses the West of trying to destabilise Russia by creating "fifth columns" inside it /8
Patrushev accuses the US of "cultural aggression" against Russia, which is front-lined by $800 million in donations from George Soros and information warfare

This is paired with the seizure of Russia's resources including its water which will be shared globally /9
Patrushev finally shares his views on the environment

Energy cooperation with Russia (which is fossil fuel based) somehow is Europe's only path to avoid environmental destruction

This is his response to Germany closing nuclear plants /10
Aside from a rant about the superiority of Russia's Christian civilisation, Patrushev concludes with this:

Yellowstone Volcano will erupt, Eastern Europe and Siberia will be the only safe places. This is why the US needs to control Heartland Eurasia /11
You can read the interview in Russian here. A reminder that realist impulses do not guide thinking inside the Kremlin about vital security issues iz.ru/1504870/viktor…

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More from @SamRamani2

May 2
Russia just accused Ukraine of creating the Holodomor of the 21st century
Zakharova pushes back against Zelensky’s claims that Ukraine is a global food security guarantor with this logic: Ukraine is being depopulated, so it has surplus grain to sell to its “Western handlers” t.me/MariaVladimiro…
Although it defies logic (Russia’s invasion caused mass emigration and economic disruptions which led the West to purchase more grain), this will likely feature in Russian propaganda to justify any cessation of the Black Sea grain deal

And to win supporters in the Global South
Read 4 tweets
May 2
Leonid Gozman admits some hard truths about the Ukraine War on Rossiya-1

Gozman highlights how Russia's empowerment of criminals, such as Igor Girkin, and unqualified figures like Denis Pushilin and Alexander Zakharchenko needlessly dragged Russia into an unjust war with Ukraine
Gozman's stance is unsurprising as he has been making similar warnings since September 2014 and faced legal trouble for opposing the 2022 invasion of Ukraine

But its an extremely rare moment of dissent on a hardliner safe haven: Olga Skabeeva's show
For context on who Leonid Gozman is:

He's the president of the Union of Right Forces, which was previously led by Boris Nemtsov

Another former head of this group is Sergey Kiriyenko, who has directly helped oversee Russia's annexations of eastern Ukrainian regions
Read 5 tweets
Apr 24
Russia's position on the Sudan crisis is getting lots of attention

Here's what we should be paying attention to /1
Although there is evidence that the Wagner Group has offered Hemedti military assistance via Libya and/or the Central African Republic, it is unclear whether Hemedti has taken Russian arms

Russia has no hard alliance with Hemedti /2
Lavrov has negotiated with both military leaders (Feb 2022- Hemedti and Feb 2023- Burhan) on the Red Sea naval base

Russia wants to ensure that Sudan remains an arms client and a gateway to the Red Sea and Indian Ocean regardless of who is in power /3
Read 7 tweets
Mar 31
Chinese public opinion on the Ukraine War is more diverse than its state narratives suggest

There are signs that China's sympathy with Putin's NATO provocation narratives and admiration for Russia is fading
This article provides a fascinating window into how Chinese public opinion has pivoted away from Russia as the war drags on and its civilian death toll mounts aljazeera.com/news/2023/3/31…
A Carter Center poll from April 2022 showed 75% support in China for Russia

Japanese survey data from November 2022 revealed 50% of Chinese had criticisms of Russia's invasion

Ukraine remains a peripheral issue for most Chinese
Read 4 tweets
Mar 30
Shocked to hear about the detention of WSJ reporter Evan Gershkovich on espionage charges in Yekaterinburg

I had the pleasure to be interviewed by him at the Russia-Africa Summit in 2019. An insightful discussion with an excellent reporter.
The story that I spoke with Gershkovich for. He is now the first American reporter to be arrested on espionage charges in Russia since the end of the Cold War. Another sad step in Russia's descent into totalitarianism.
codastory.com/disinformation…
Gershkovich could face up to 20 years in prison if he is sentenced on espionage charges

I wish @evangershkovich and his friends and family strength in this time
Read 4 tweets
Mar 29
Saudi Arabia is set to join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization

Here's what that could mean /1
The most immediate consequence is tighter cooperation between China and Saudi Arabia

This will extend to the technical and vocational spheres, as King Salman already confirmed, and likely also to Red Sea security /2
This will lead to institutionalised engagement with Russia in the security sphere

Russia's Ambassador in Riyadh says security cooperation expanded in 2022 but there have been no arms sales and few concrete results. Symbolism will likely prevail again /3
Read 6 tweets

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