🧵Russian May 9th Parade 2023 vehicle composition thread. Now we finally get to compare this year's parade to the previous years'.
This year I have not seen an official lineup released for the first time.
Last year 131 vehicles took part, down from over 200 the previous years
I am expecting under 100 vehicles, with a distinct lack of MBTs compared to other years. Overall numbers will be pumped up by an increase in Tigr-Ms and similar.
First we have to get wait for the troops to leave Red Square before the vehicles come through.
As per tradition, the parade opens with WW2 era T-34-85s.
This year it is again just a single T-34-85.
This is immediately followed by 7 Tigr-Ms
(Total Vehicle Count: 8)
Getting an accurate count of the next set of vehicles was hard due to camera angles changing, but there are 6 VPK-Urals
(Total Vehicle Count: 14)
These were followed by 10 Remdiesel Z-STS Akhmat MRAPs which are only used by Chechen forces.
(Total Vehicle Count: 24)
Immediately followed by 6 Iskander-M lead by a BTR-82A meaning we skipped the entirety of the IFV and MBT section from last year
(Total Vehicle Count: 31)
Followed by 6 S-400 TELs lead by a BTR-82A skipping the short range air defense and entire VDV section from last year.
(Total Vehicle Count: 38)
The parade then skipped right to the end with the 3 RS-24 Yars lead by a BTR-82A and flanked by 6 Tigr-Ms. This skipped their usual display of their unmanned ground vehicles. (Total Vehicle Count: 48)
Finally the 3 VPK-7829 Bumerang IFVs closed off the parade. (FINAL VEHICLE COUNT: 51)
The flyover is expectedly cancelled. As no rehearsals had taken place, this was a guarantee.
Since the invasion the amount of vehicles in the annual parade has plummeted into a pitiful display:
2021: 197
2022: 131
2023: 51
No reason for Ukraine to do anything at the parade. The Russian military is perfectly capable of embarrassing itself.
I am amazed they couldn't even drag one of the T-14s to the parade.
To even get to 51 vehicles, the Russian military had to "borrow" 10 Remdiesel Ahmat Z-STS from Ramzan Kadyrov.
Now we know why they did not release a line up ahead of time.
Putin when the drone attack on the Kremlin wasn't enough to get this shitshow cancelled and spare him the embarrassment.
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🧵Analysis of footage from the Trump assassination attempt shows that Trump and David Dutch were hit in Crook's initial 3 shot volley. Corey Comperatore and James Copenhaver were struck by Crook's follow-up volley a few seconds later. (1/8)
This wide angle recorded by the Right Side Broadcasting Network shows the entire event unfold and shows all 3 bystanders get struck by Crook's bullets. (2/8)
The first round fired by Crook's impacts the railing visible in the video quoted here causing a puff of smoke after grazing Donald Trump. (3/8)
Dali starts billowing smoke at 01:25:39 EDT and then loses power for 30 seconds at 01:26:37. This is the exact point when the ship begins to alter course towards the bridge pillar.
The vessel only drifted about 75 meters south west of where it should have passed under the Francis Scott Key Bridge.
It appears very likely that a malfunction on the vessel caused it to briefly lose power, which caused it to drift slightly off course impacting the bridge.
🧵After looking at all the currently available data on the al-Ahli Arab Hospital explosion, I have made two discoveries.
#1: The "rocket" in this video is in fact a Tamir interceptor missile launched by Iron Dome and not directly related to the explosion.
#2 : Two of the videos thought to show the explosion at the hospital, which have been used in many analysis, do not show that blast, but another explosion in Gaza that happened approximately 20 seconds prior.
The second is the video posted by Channel 12 News. Both these videos show the same event, which took place just prior to the hospital explosion, but end before we see the explosion or launch of the Tamir interceptor from Iron Dome.
The building burning in the video is the hospital.
Note the distinctive shape and solar panels on the roof of the building in the foreground.
(31.5051383, 34.4612642)
H/T @COUPSURE + @ELINTNews
@COUPSURE @ELINTNews The blast at the hospital happens less than 20 seconds after a large volley of rockets is launched at Israel with a trajectory over the hospital.
Diana B. was born in Uzbekistan, moved to Kerch in 2001, and has Russian citizenship. She still lives in Kerch and moves around freely inside Russia, posting images of herself on social media.
She has also worked for the Pro-Russian authorities in Crimea.