1/ Quick thread on the Russian May 9 Victory parade - quick because it was, in fact, over very quickly - the official video is less than 1.5 hours (1 hour 24 mins to be exact), compared to much longer parades of the past.
2/ Very few vehicles on display - just one T-34-85 tank leading the armored column, instead of several as in past parades. No other tanks at all, not even a single T-72. Several armored vehicles - Tigers, Kamaz, BTR-90, Boomerangs, plus Iskander, S-400 and Yars rockets.
3/ No aircraft flyover, usually one of the more interesting parts such parades. This time, the obvious empty spaces was filled with the military marching bands singing the song titled "Victory." (Btw, it was a BTR-82A and not the BTR-90 APC, correcting the previous post)
4/ President Putin spoke in person, and his speech did not offer any surprises, stating that victory will be Russia's against a global threat to his country. The short parade and the obvious absence of so many vehicles and systems indicated a nation under stress...
5/...that almost rushed through one of its key holiday celebrations. Other Victory parades across Russia were also greatly curtailed, and some cancelled altogether. Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Armenia and Uzbekistan leaders were present...
6/...displaying political and historical solidarity even as tensions simmer between Russia and some of these nations. This is usually one of the most-televised events in Russia, and tens of millions watching probably also noticed a very thinned parade lineup.
7/ A parade in Ulan-Ude in Buryat Region featured few vehicles as well - a few WW2 vehicles, lots of military trucks and some older armored cars, plus an Iskander unit. Buryat Region sent many of its fighters to Ukraine.
8/ Probably the more interesting parade was held in Verhnaya Pishma in Sverdlovsk Region - this annual historical parade featured only WW2 vehicles. Even here, there are major space gaps between each passing vehicle.
9/ Other useful threads about this parade, with data about previous parade lineups for comparison.
10/ In contrast with Moscow, the parade in Kaliningrad featured a T-72BM tank, along with Pantsir-S1 air defense system, Bal and Bastion anti-ship missile batteries, and a Grad MLRS.
11/ The parade in Perm featured MSTA and Nona self-propelled howitzers, and 2S31 Vena amphibious self-propelled mortar system, which were absent in Moscow. According to official Russian media, "some of these systems went directly to Ukraine after the parade."
12/ The parade in Novgorod featured lots of historical WW2 vehicles and systems, including GAZ-67 - a mass-produced Soviet "Jeep" equivalent.
13/ The parade in St. Petersburg also lacked an air show, and had a similar vehicle and systems line up as in Moscow: T-34 tank, Tiger vehicle, Iskander and Bastion missiles, and a S-400 system.
14/ The parade in Samara featured a mix of WW2 and modern systems, as did a parade in Tula. The parade in Volgograd featured a T-90 tank, along with WW2 vehicles.
15/ The airspace over Moscow was closely guarded, with many police and law enforcement personnel fielding CUAS rifles such as the one in the photo.
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1/ QUICK TAKE: Russia's Rybar, an active pro-Kremlin TG channel, is at it again - "What if "Geran-2 drones were launched at America from Cuba?": "Given the current US actions, the main question is not whether the US will strike Cuba, but when and how." t.me/rybar/77101x.com/sambendett/sta…
2/ "Cuba, along with Venezuela and Nicaragua, has been an anti-American stronghold in the Caribbean region, and after the overthrow of Maduro, US interest has increased. But what will the Cubans do in the event of a conflict?"
3/ "Let's hypothetically imagine that Havana decides to fight back against the Americans and wants to wage war. And this is where the now familiar "Geran" attack drones could come to the rescue. What targets could be threatened if these UAVs were deployed?"
1/ QUICK TAKE from a Ukrainian mil blogger on the formation of Russia's 50th Unmanned Systems Forces Brigade in Yeysk area, Rostov region. Its estimated active date is December 1, 2026. The brigade has the following units: t.me/zvizdecmanhust…
2/ The brigade will include the following number of UAV, UGV and USV crews:
- Forpost/Inokhodets UAVs – 4
- Orlan/Supercam UAVs - 150
- Lancet loitering munitions - 22
- Geran-type attack UAVs - 21
- aerial targets – 6
- FPV quadcopter type – 52
- FPV fixed-wing type – 52
1/ THREAD on the impact of the Ukraine combat on the Russian capacity to fight the emerging warfare style, described by Ruslan Pukhov, director of the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST). Main points below: kommersant.ru/doc/8380069x.com/sambendett/sta…
2/ "The events of the war in Ukraine have demonstrated a fundamentally new form of large-scale military conflict, characterized by a shift from the "mechanized warfare" of the industrial era to "drone warfare," or "digital" ("information") warfare of the post-industrial era."
3/ "In fact, we are now witnessing a new revolution in military affairs – the "drone revolution," and it is clear that this revolution will continue to develop and deepen, as the possibilities for expanding "drone warfare" clearly outweigh the possibilities and prospects for overcoming it."
1/ THREAD: Now that the Rus MOD has signaled that the Unmanned Systems Forces (USF) are established, here is a take from Rus mil commentators on what USF can mean for the larger force - main points translated in this thread below. t.me/gvZapad/17121x.com/sambendett/sta…
2/ "People: Without developing human potential, nothing will work. We need to change approaches, constantly improve UxS training, and, once again, learn to value the personnel in whom we've invested so much time and money. The quality of work improves with experience."
3/ "Mistakes are inevitable, and people must be unafraid to make them if progress is to be high-quality. We can't send drone operators to assault units, as some commanders do. Otherwise, the whole process becomes meaningless. Plugging (tactical) holes on the battlefield is a consequence of many problems."
1/ THREAD on the new "digital warfare" as seen in Ukraine, described Russia's Gen(ret) Yuri Baluyevsky, former Chief of the General Staff in 2004-2008, and Ruslan Pukhov, director of the Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (CAST). Main points below: globalaffairs.ru/articles/czifr…
2/ "There's every reason to believe that the "digital warfare" process will continue to expand and deepen, as the potential for escalating "drone warfare" exceeds the ability to effectively counter this type of weaponry."
3/ "The miniaturization and cost reduction of componentry, along with the development of networked solutions (specifically networked ones; the trendy artificial intelligence will likely remain a secondary factor for a long time to come) are leading to combat operations..."
Ukraine's @Textyorgua_Eng on the gray zone in the war - an area that stretches 25-30 km, and as much as 40km, "a chaotic kill zone riddled with trenches, dugouts, mines and rubble, constantly monitored and hit by drones, with both sides using a wide range of weapons." texty.org.ua/projects/11592…
The rotation in this gray zone is a difficult and dangerous: "Pickup trucks take the infantry 1–7 km to the trenches/dugouts. Then the guys walk the rest of the way, carrying 20–40 kg of stuff: ammo, gear, water, food, and tactical electronic warfare equipment."
"Sometimes UGVs are used for logistics and evac on the front lines. This type of technology is still in its infancy, and there are many problems with UGVs. But often they are the last straw that people grab onto when they need to make an important delivery or pick up a wounded soldier."