Samuel Bendett Profile picture
Analysis of military robotics, drones/UAVs, AI and Russian military weapons development. CNA, CNAS and CSIS. Opinions my own. @sambendett.bsky.social
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Jan 3 8 tweets 2 min read
1/ QUICK THREAD: Russian concerns about being left behind in the military AI race: "Against the backdrop of China's, US' and Israel's leadership in #AI, #Russia faces a number of challenges that limit its capabilities in this technology race." t.me/mil_hub/92494Image 2/ "Firstly, Russia lacks large companies capable of competing with Anduril or Palantir. Developments are carried out mainly at military research institutes, but access to advanced technologies, such as powerful AI algorithms and modern computing power, is limited."
Jan 2 27 tweets 7 min read
1/ QUICK THREAD: Russian mil bloggers on a Ukrainian USV destroying a Rus helicopter in the Black Sea (below), trying to come up with proposals on dealing with such threats: "...the issue of using anti-aircraft missile launchers (on USVs) was only a matter of time." Image
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2/ "This is a consequence of the proven effectiveness of Rus forces intercepting USVs with helicopters. While they were just kamikaze USVs, (our tactic) was extremely effective and allowed us to eliminate the USVs (let's keep quiet about why they (Rus MOD) didn't start doing this back in 2022, because the words that come to mind are mostly obscene)."
Dec 31, 2024 17 tweets 7 min read
1/ THREAD on some of the key drone and unmanned systems developments in Ukraine war for 2024 - I quoted my end-of-year 2023 thread (below), which in turn quotes my end-of-year 2022 thread for comparison. Main points below: Image 2/ First, the sheer numbers of drones delivered by both sides in this war this year - at least 1.3 million Ukrainian and around 1.4 million Russian UAVs. Such numbers are unprecedented for modern conflicts and have greatly impacted tactical picture at the front. Image
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Dec 30, 2024 15 tweets 3 min read
1/ QUICK TAKE: Over the past two years, I have highlighted the work by one of Russia's key volunteers - Aleksey Chadaev, an organizer behind "Dronnitsa" meet up and the facilitator of "Vandal Novgorodsky" fiber-optic drone development (see quoted thread). He recently spoke... 2/ ...with Russian media about his fiber-optic drone and the "Ushkyinik" effort that made it happen. His main points below: "Ushkyinik is a new organization that currently has more than 40 resident companies - universities, large defense enterprises, laboratories, and "garage teams."
Dec 26, 2024 12 tweets 3 min read
1/ QUICK TAKE on the Russian mil bloggers' thoughts on drone swarms in 2025, translated from a TG channel: "The main combat UAV technology in 2025 will be swarm systems. In September 2023, I published a forecast of which combat UAV types would be most in demand in 2024." Image 2/ "In general, everything came true. Moreover, I would like to especially note the emergence of high-volume production of FPVs, the expansion of tiltrotor aircraft, the emergence of interceptor drones, and the beginning of work on the civil certification of heavy drones."
Dec 19, 2024 9 tweets 7 min read
1/ Russia's Project Archangel just published the following EW manual for volunteers and soldiers. I quickly ran it through machine translation - some interesting details in the images below. t.me/projectArchang…Image 2/ Image
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Dec 17, 2024 4 tweets 1 min read
1/ Ukrainian Military Reports Acquisition of Over 1 Million Drones in 2024: Kyiv’s combat units received 1.1 million FPV kamikaze drones through the State Special Communications Service this year. thedefensepost.com/2024/12/13/ukr… 2/ The country also has 40,000 multirotor reconnaissance drones, including over 12,000 designed for nighttime missions, and 5,000 fixed-wing reconnaissance UAVs, such as the Shark, GOR, and Furia.
Nov 28, 2024 8 tweets 2 min read
1/ QUICK THREAD describing Russian comments on the future of FPV drones: "Drones with target lock are not 100% protected from electronic warfare, they are protected from it only at the moment when the operator has already selected the target. And..." t.me/rusengineer/59…Image 2/ the most interesting characteristic of the system... is that until the moment of target identification, the drone is also vulnerable to electronic warfare on its control channels. Therefore, there is no absolute and ultimate solution against electronic warfare yet..."
Nov 19, 2024 18 tweets 4 min read
1/ THREAD: Ukraine's Mariia Berlinska, one of its top volunteers and the nation's "Mother of Drones", on why Ukraine did not predict and prepare for the ongoing "technological war." Translated points below: t.me/VictoryDrones2…Image
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2/ "I will now say something for which hundreds of influential and high-status people in our country may be offended. But I will still say it. Not in order to humiliate someone, but so that we as a society learn this terrible lesson. Do you know what unites all the leaders...?"
Oct 15, 2024 18 tweets 10 min read
THREAD: Attending #AUSA2024 expo today - below are a few samples of autonomous and robotic systems on display. Image
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2/ At #AUSA2024
Oct 11, 2024 19 tweets 6 min read
1/ QUICK TAKE - The Russian military is systematizing the experience of using UAVs in combat. DefMin Belousov recently visited "Rubicon" - MOD's first Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies formed in August 2024 in one of the functioning UAV combat units. 2/ Belousov was given a report on the work of the Center's detachments in combat, the latest UAVs and UGVs were shown, along with the work of operators and the analytical department that summarize information on the use of unmanned forces and assets.
Oct 5, 2024 9 tweets 2 min read
1/ QUICK TAKE on the Russian complaint that the forces do not have enough cheap tactical strike means: "There is a catastrophic lack of cheap high-precision means of destruction at a depth of up to 30 kilometers in our tactical contour..." Image 2/ "In our tactical contour of medium observation UAVs (Zala, Orlan, etc.) and strike UAVs like Kub and Lancet. Lancets are expensive and there are few of them, so the authorities give the go-ahead to destroy only "fat" targets. I will keep quiet about Kub..."
Sep 23, 2024 4 tweets 2 min read
1/3 Ukraine's Robert "Magyar" Brovdi, talking with The Economist: During the next 6-8 months, humans will no longer be needed to control drones in Ukraine - the war will become truly unmanned. The evolution of such technologies will... unian.ua/weapons/bezpil… 2/3 "...lead to the fact that artificial intelligence will be the main tool of warfare, since already 50% of all "strike activity" is formed by drones. Hundreds of AI systems are currently being developed at the same time, and they are being tested in experimental modes."
Sep 19, 2024 6 tweets 2 min read
1/ QUICK TAKE on the possible evolution of FPV/quadcopter drones from a Russian drone commentator - key point below: "First, a combat quadcopter will be comparatively large: it is key to fly it further and stay above the target longer." Image 2/ "Accordingly, the "gray zone" will grow, and mortar crews and enemy logistics will often be in the area of ​​active drone use. Second, practice has shown that a drone should work "out of the box": fixing it right there in the trenches is extremely difficult..."
Sep 5, 2024 31 tweets 9 min read
1/ On September 6, Russia will host a third annual "Dronnitsa" meet up organized by KCPN, a pro-Russian volunteer movement in Donbas. This year, the event will build on the previous two years to delve deeper into tech used in Ukraine. This year, the topics will include...
Image 2/ ...trends in the development of electronic warfare systems and FPV-type strike multicopter UAVs; tactical experiments as a refection of limited combat experience; studying Ukraine's experience in managing the "Drone Army"; myths and misconceptions about swarms; and a view from abroad at the SVO: visible problems, proposed solutions.
Aug 25, 2024 5 tweets 2 min read
1/ Telegram emerged early on in the Russia's invasion of Ukraine as the key source of open and largely unobstructed conversation and critique of the Russian military and its technology. So much so that the Russian government... finance.yahoo.com/news/telegram-… 2/ ...eventually tried to suppress, or at least significantly influence such critique by intimidating and coopting many key bloggers and correspondents. It remains a key platform and a source of data and information about this war.
Aug 23, 2024 20 tweets 4 min read
1/ QUICK TAKE: Russian deliberations on the "People's VPK" vs. traditional VPK (VPK stands for defense-industrial complex), a continuation of debates that I highlighted earlier from various Russian experts and volunteers. Main points below: Image 2/ "It so happened that in recent years I (Aleksey Rogozin) have been communicating daily with both private developers - startups, small design bureaus and inventors - and with the heads of Russia's large industrial enterprises supplying products under the state defense order."
Aug 19, 2024 19 tweets 4 min read
1/ QUICK TAKE: A Russian TG commentary on how historical and personal interpretation of WW2 is affecting Russians society's and its military leadership's views on Ukraine combat. Main points translated below: t.me/russ_orientali…

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2/ "Many problems of a military and political nature are directly related to the cult of the Great Patriotic War (WW2). About 20s ago... I would not have said this, but now, from the height of my current experience, it is obvious."
Aug 10, 2024 4 tweets 1 min read
1/ QUICK THEAD: Russia’s Aleksey Chadaev, a key promoter of “people’s VPK” on the “valley of death” for domestic volunteer drone development: “The problem is not that the “devils in uniforms(generals)” just want one drone supplier since…” t.me/chadayevru/3097 2/ “..,that is all they can handle and manage (a swipe at the Sudoplatov effort) - the problem is that domestic “garage manufacturers” cannot provide a technological ecosystem to support their drones that has the full cycle of technical, developmental…”
Aug 9, 2024 4 tweets 1 min read
1/ Russian military bloggers' continued attempt to understand Ukraine's successful "EW offensive": "What did our enemy do based on the knowledge of our modest capabilities in low-altitude air (drones, etc) and EW (on the Kursk border)? First, he developed a strategy ..." Image 2/ "...for the step-by-step advancement of his armored columns under his own EW coverage, while perfectly understanding that our drones in this direction would be few in numbers. Second, he did what we had only planned (but not executed)..."
Aug 6, 2024 60 tweets 42 min read
1/ The Russian government and the MOD are making significant changes to its annual ARMY military forum and expo - the event will no longer feature regular visitors, but will be limited to the military, industry and foreign visitors from other countries' MODs. The event will...
Image 2/ ...also run for just 3 days rather than a week-long expo in years past. Unsurprisingly, ARMY-2024's main topic will be the war in Ukraine and technologies and systems deployed there or developed for this invasion. The Aug 12-14 forum will also feature volunteer R&D. Image