Fill a dead depression with seawater
With more moisture, rains follow
Desert flowers blossom
As water accumulates, early on it turns pink
Then it turns blue and green
Plants appear
Animals appear
An economy follows
Where can we do this?
There are many hellholes on Earth that look exactly like the Med when it was dry:
• Below sea level
• So high pressure
• Very hot
• Very dry
• They concentrate salts brought by rivers that die in these hellholes
You probably think of one already: the Dead Sea
It's 200-600m below sea level and there's not much there: some salt harvesting, a bit of tourism... It's mostly a desert
You could bring water from the sea and flood it. This would mean:
• Electricity generation, given the huge depression
• Which could be used for desalination. Fresh water. Irrigation. More life.
• The area would get more moisture, with more plants & animals
• More tourism
So why don't we do it? Well, we want to!
Jordan had the Red-Dead Water Conveyance project, bringing water from the Red Sea to the Dead Sea.
But they shelved it just a few years ago.
Why?
It's on the border with Israel, but Israel didn't show much interest.
Why?
Because Israel had its own plan! The Med-Dead Canal would benefit from a shorter distance for the pipelines, along with a lower mountain range to go through
But Jordan is wary of more dependence on Israel
And this would have to go through the West Bank
➡️Nothing gets done
What if there was a similar hellhole that doesn't depend on any other country? There is! Let's just travel a few hundreds of km to neighboring Egypt and its Qattara Depression
The Qattara Depression sits in the middle of nothing, in the Sahara.
Sand, salt, and sorrow.
The Egyptian gov had the idea of seaflooding it
This would have the additional benefits of:
No international discussions
A much bigger surface
In a much more desertic & desolate region
It would reduce ocean levels by 3mm
And 6% of global warming-induced sea level increases
Not only that, but it would dramatically reduce Egypt's food scarcity—and hence political instability
Ecological impact studies have been carried out, finding no real downside. There are few local animals, they can be displaced, and + animals would come
Egypt should do it!
I've gone into much more detail in this week's article
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Never bet against the US:
Ppl think its biggest strength is its institutions, the dollar, entrepreneurship... But one of its biggest assets is its geography 🧵
1. Size
The US is the 4th largest country. It spans an entire continent, reaches two oceans, and is big enough to be a geographic heavyweight in the world
2. The Mississippi Basin
It's the 4th largest drainage basin in the world and occupies 40% of the contiguous 48 US states, touching 32 of the US’s 50 states. 11 US states directly take their name from it.
Climate caused the US Civil War, because: 1. Slavery was the main cause of the war 2. Different crops were the main cause of slavery 3. Climate caused different crops in the North vs South
This is terribly important to understand the US today and how to heal it
🧵
1. Slavery was the main cause of the war: the Abolitionist North & the Slavery South were competing to expand westward to increase their political influence
But the North grew & expanded faster, to a point where it could force abolition on the South, which then seceded
In 1790, the Free & Slave states had the same population, and there were many more Slave States (8 vs 5), so Slave States controlled the Senate.
By the eve of the war in 1860, the North had 50% more population and 4 more states, giving them control of both the House & Senate
Moscow is one of the weirdest capitals:
• Biggest European city
• Extremely cold
• Little farmland
• To Russia's extreme west
• Not on a coast or main river
How did it create the biggest country on Earth?
It involves horse archers, human harvesting & tiny animals 🧵
The first shocking fact is that Russia is so far north it's at the edge of arable land. How can you create a capital with so little food? Why not in the middle of the most fertile area on Earth?
This far north is extremely cold
Moscow is the 3rd coldest capital in the world and by far the biggest: with 20M ppl, its metro population is 8x bigger than the 2nd biggest cold capital, Stockholm!
This map tells you how a seemingly innocent difference, like wheat vs rice eating, can have dramatic political, economic, and cultural ramifications:
🧵
The areas that harvest wheat vs rice are different. Why?
Because of climate
Rice needs heat and lots of water. Ideally, flooding the fields to also kill weeds. Rice dies with frost.
Wheat resists it well, prefers cooler temperatures, but dies when it's flooded
Did you know the West's trade deficits to China are not recent, but started 2000 years ago? This is the story of how silk, porcelain, tea, opium, and silver have determined the history of the world 🧵
The Romans already complained about deficits to China! Mainly because of silk
Back then the Chinese already preferred manufacturing and selling products than consuming foreign products. Chronicler Solinus ~200 AD: The Chinese "prefer only to sell their products, but do not like to buy our goods."
Why did 🇮🇱Israel strike 🇮🇷Iran now, and not months or years ago or in the future?
A unique combination of a dozen factors converged to make the moment unique for 🇮🇱Israel: 🧵 1. No Hamas to its southwest 2. No Hezbollah to its north 3. No Assad threat to the northeast
4...
4. No more Syrian army to attack 🇮🇱Israel's planes: As the new forces of HTS took over Syria, Israel bombed all the existing Syrian military. No more fighter jets or surface-to-air missiles to threaten 🇮🇱Israel
5. Ability to fly over Syria to refuel
This is critical, because 🇮🇷Iran is ~600-1000 miles away from 🇮🇱Israel, so 1200-2000 miles round trip
The range of Israel’s stealth F35 is only about 1,350 mi
To operate inside 🇮🇷Iran, 🇮🇱Israel needed refueling over Syria