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david D. Profile picture
@secretsqrl123
May 10 • 3 tweets • 1 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
not cheer leading, not saying that the counter offensive will be easy..
but my feed again has got to have at least 200 dead russians on it (getting killed).
this is a slaughter now, it has to happen, and its going to get worse.. what we are seeing is the death if a country IMO
i would be shocked if some russian commanders are not on the phone with ukr commanders cutting deals right now to be bypassed or trenches not manned in return for giving up.
this did happen in both iraq wars... units were phoned and told that if they moved they would get targeted, and would pick a unit and destroy it to prove a point. in 2003 the irq army for the most part refused to move to baghdad to defend it due to being warned by B52 strikes

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More from @secretsqrl123

david D. Profile picture
May 11
the more trump talks the more he is shown to be a POS. and im a con / rep.
here is why
the US does not devaluate equipment or ammo..
50 year old M113s are valued at new production costs.. even though we are cutting them up. this means we are looking like we are giving far more.
the EU does not value scrap metal or values 30 year old fighting vehicles as current value or no value at all..
for instance the EU / nato has given over 2000 military vehicles including 300+ tanks.
US has given 0 tanks
nato 2.5 patriot battaries
US 1 battery
it is a european war, but WE in the US should be happy to help, we could do 2-300 bradleys (not many more).
and we could do 100 tanks, not 31.
but there needs to be a common valuation of donations.
germany sucked, but now they are doing the right thing.
Read 5 tweets
david D. Profile picture
May 10
funny thing.. im probably one of the few here with 4 combat tours, been both a trigger puller and strategic planner, combat force commander, and OPFOR, worked a combat breach in 1991, and had a small part in the planning of bosnia and serbia...
and wishing i could be at the upcoming breach... just to help out or watch... its like a drug.. getting old and broken sucks!!! but at least i can watch in near real time and help educate, change minds, and smack around some trolls... mehhh im ok with that i guess
many are cheerleading right now, im trying to use math, my training and skills to TRY and predict what will happen (without breaking opsec).
but cheerleaders need to understand when the counter attack will happen truly horrific things will happen.
Read 9 tweets
david D. Profile picture
May 8
title 42 is ending..
if you live in the north get ready for over 100K of new undocumented people with no skills or money hitting your streets. elpaso is expecting 30K in the first few days alone. the cartels have streamlined everything, and nothing is stopping them
MSNBC just flashed "border emergency", and CNN just did a story called "border crisis". mayor bragg has stated that his city has spent 5 billion in extra costs just this year so far on housing.
here is the thing. texas is FULL. they will be processed and sent north
this is NOT texas sending them north this is the DHS paying NGOs to move them out of shelters and giving them bus tickets th where ever they want. again NOT TEXAS. the main places they are going NYC, chicago, and LA.
Read 8 tweets
david D. Profile picture
May 8
i have been war gaming this in my head over and over. putting myself in the seat of the russian military high command. there is no way to hold on to everything, and no way to supply the current front.
IF russia wanted to build a winning hand this COULD work Image
it would shorten supply lines, force ukr to get into ru artillery range, concentrate its best ground forces, make shifting forces along a front easier, and make it harder to get past the defensive lines.
but lets face it.
the russian high command is stupid, and keeping military district commanders control there areas without a strong GHQ will only make the end come sooner.... IMO
Read 4 tweets
david D. Profile picture
May 7
if during the parade ukr sends 100 drones to moscow and 20 get through to hit the kremlin. ukr wins, if they send 100 and 100 get shot down, just the sight of a air war over moscow will shake the population, ukr wins. Image
why i think they would is that if you read local news in russia, local newspapers the "not" war is nearly off the pages, most news has nothing to do with he war. the government is blocking. most people in st pete and moscow think the war is going well... this would shake them
having the "bad guy" show up at your party would have the people start to ask questions about what is really going on and how the hell did this happen if we are winning.
Read 4 tweets
david D. Profile picture
May 7
like i have been saying for the last 2 days. watch this space. looks like its locked down now. nothing in or out till probably after the evening of the 9th or 10th. this is going to hurt shipping Image
looks like in the north side everything is headed back to port. only seeing 1-2 boats headed south, may be turning or just facing. Image
to be clear i do not know what is going on, im just war gaming it, in 2 days (or less) the ukr forces will probably hit "something". if i was the local RU commander i would be crapping bricks. you have a huge multi km target that a entire army, navy, and air force want to hit.
Read 5 tweets

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