Def Mon Profile picture
May 11, 2023 15 tweets 5 min read Read on X
There's starting to be a slight uncomfortable feeling in the Russian telegram channels. The last few days there have been reports about a "river" crossing close to Velyka Novosilka. There are also some local counter attacks with success in the Bakhmut area. ImageImage
In addition to that, there are very recent Russian telegram reports of Ukrainian offensives in the Soledar and Mayorsk area.
It seems units of the RU 3rd Army Corps have been holding the line in the area SW of Bakhmut. These are rapidly trained personnel which were recruited last summer. Their losses are now being replaced by mobik regiments. I think it's likely Azov will eat them for breakfast. Image
I think it's likely we are seeing UA shaping operations to force a reaction from the Russians. I find it unlikely Bakhmut direction will be the main effort of a UA offensive.
We will most likely see pretty heavy preparation once Ukraine is ready to start their main effort.
There was reported fighting on the border of Belgorod peoples republic this morning. Image
Kots must be the Russian version of JR:
" Tanks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine go along the Kharkov bypass towards the border with Russia."
t.me/sashakots/39713 Image
"The breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of Bogdanovka, unfortunately, was successful. Units of the 9 SMEs of the RF Armed Forces have lost several more square kilometers."
t.me/brussinf/5964 Image
The feeling in the Russian channels have gone from uncomfortable, to worrying. t.me/notes_veterans… Image
Please this thread is not a confirmation about what is actually happening, I'm just enjoying the increasing Russian panic.
Funny thing, when the Russians started their winter offensive. It took 3 weeks for people to notice.

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