Albert Pinto Profile picture
May 12 11 tweets 7 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Is it costly?Will it work? Keynesians sitting at the Dept of Energy are the not so secret engine of the energy transition in the US.

Terrific Jigar Shah profile on how to take measured risks with public risk-bearing capacity crowding in private sector
nytimes.com/2023/05/11/cli…
We mention in our talk how Dept of Energy is secret engine of #EnergyTransition. IRA supercharges its authority to put full faith & credit of US govt behind pvt projects for the public good.
Jigar Shah on Odd Lots ht @tracyalloway
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/odd…
3/ idea we proposed a year ago is now secret engine of the energy transition buried inside Infrastructure Reduction act.

Dept of Energy now has authority under 1706 to issue $250 Billion (with a B) of credit subsidy in a notional $369 Billion bill.
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/ratin…
4/ Thread on how the IRA's Public Finance could retire Coal faster while saving ratepayers money! "Oh, someone needs to lend to utilities at low rates to replace coal? How about the US govt." $250B in lending from DOE's Loan Guarantee makes this possible
5/ "Shah says the loan program’s role is not to take a leap of faith on chancy projects but to back promising clean energy deals that can’t get conventional financing because commercial lenders lack the capability to vet them"

2 yrs to get money out door nytimes.com/2023/05/11/cli… Image
6/ "Other projects currently backed by the loan office include a novel plant in Rochester, N.Y., that harvests lithium from old electric vehicle batteries and a giant salt cavern in Utah that will be converted into a hydrogen battery as a backup for wind and solar" Image
7/ Private sector won't take the risks that the public sector can take (after throughly vetting technology and making sure they can repay loan!)

A giant salt cavern in Utah that will be converted into a hydrogen battery as a backup for wind and solar
nytimes.com/2023/05/11/cli… Image
8/ “The failed projects of the past clearly wouldn’t get through the office this time around...we can look at our portfolio of $38B worth of loans & say, actually, we have been pretty good stewards of capital,& we actually make money for the federal govt”
energy.gov/lpo/loan-progr… Image
9/ If you are interested in the nuts and bolts of the Inflation Reduction act, our talk and slides are here:
<tinyurl.com/IRATimTed>
10/@jerometenk gets ChatGPT to write 500 word essay making claim that Jigar Shah is Biden's green reconstruction era's equivalent of FDR's Jesse Jones reconstruction in Great Depression!
US developmentalist state @NMaggor @arielronid
@TiltingatM3 @humford

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More from @70sBachchan

May 11
open question: why is the White House doing this?

“The president frankly doesn’t love everything in the bill, but we support it because that’s what compromise means,” Mr. Podesta said.
nytimes.com/2023/05/10/cli… Image
300 environmental organizations sent a letter to Biden & Dem leaders urging them to reject Manchin’s plan, saying that although it would “marginally” help the development of RE it would be “massively dwarfed” by expedited O&G letter:biologicaldiversity.org/programs/energ…
I personally dont think the permitting bill will happen in these GOP debt ceiling negotiations. But a compromise will eventually happen because the WH and climate dems want one .

@LPDonovan has a good scenario analysis:
lpdonovan.substack.com/p/everything-y… Image
Read 5 tweets
May 5
Washington Consensus? S Korea is on edge with threats  of N Korean & Chinese retaliation to Washington Declaration. The peace that knit together the growth miracle for billions of people could end in a bang. @kmac
Our newsletter, thanks to @WonkVJ book
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/the-e… Image
2/ Now that North Korea has demonstrated ICBM ability to strike US homeland,71% of S Koreans want their own nukes “New York for Berlin” was extended deterrence dilemma of old cold war. The new question: Would the Americans really trade “Seattle for Seoul?” phenomenalworld.org/analysis/the-e… Image
3/ Does Asia have a “peace interest” (a transnational social & economic constituency opposed to war) @adam_tooze?ft.com/content/5e38ee…

S Korea,Japan, & China's finance ministers think so
phenomenalworld.org/analysis/the-e…
While their naval commanders met on a US nuclear sub SSBN in April Image
Read 5 tweets
Apr 21
.@POTUS Biden - Negotiate a free trade agreement with Indonesia and Jokowi before it is too late. Making a standalone deal with EU and Korea makes no sense as firms VW, Tesla, LG are all patterning with Chinese firms in Indonesia to get battery nickel
foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/17/chi… Image
Western firms are playing catchup with Chinese firms. Ford, Tesla, VW etc all licensing tech and knowhow of CATL, BYD, mining firms.
@rachman_joseph is doing great reporting on the battery + metals rush in Indonesia. Jokowi's strong arming is working! foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/17/chi… Image
You get Java Coffee. But you'll know Indonesia has arrived when u order Sulawesi nickel battery for EV. Thats what VW,Tesla,CATL do

"For some time yet, companies scrambling for nickel may find that Chinese companies in Indonesia are the only game in town"
foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/17/chi… Image
Read 7 tweets
Apr 14
full tragic absurdity of the current system.

"for every dollar that the IMF provides to a poor country for social spending, it requires the country to cut four times more through austerity measures." ht @eurodad @Oxfam
eurodad.org/springs_reacti…
85% of worlds ppl will live in grip of austerity. Since 2020, the IMF has provided nearly $300 billion in financing to 96 countries. In 2023, it wants "fiscal consolidation"

Decades of evidence that Austerity kills. It stunts lives & destroys potential
medium.com/@OxfamIFIs/soc…
Read 4 tweets
Apr 3
Political Rhetoric versus Economic Reality on BRICS currency.

Brazil's RMB Share of foreign exchange reserves has dropped over last year
Mar 2022: ~5 %
Feb 2023: ~2 %

Will it actually change with Lula visit to China? @MonaAli_NY_US @davidrkadler data.imf.org/regular.aspx?k…
“”The US dollar will likely continue its 70 year reign as global reserve currency” doesn’t get clicks or sell papers, and so it doesn’t get written or shared. But that doesn’t make it any less true.”
Nice argument by @JosephPolitano
apricitas.io/p/sanctions-on…

Read 4 tweets
Mar 27
"The end result of this interaction bw our strategic autism and the response functions of our allies, adversaries and third parties, is that we're running a substantial risk of losing the Cold War we've started outright"

US is now at the find out stage of fucking around. Thread Image
Read 5 tweets

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