Now that profits (and not wages) have been established as the key driver of inflation, it might be worth thinking of more subtle, non-price, ways in which firms are exploiting “supply disruptions” and “labor shortages” to exercise power over consumers. THREAD
Others have noted that companies are can achieve higher effective prices by reducing the quantity in the package. Another form of #HiddenInflation could take the form of cutting back on services, reducing the quality of the product, and increasing the quality-adjusted price.
Here’s an example travelers know too well: Hotels have cut room cleaning since the pandemic. But hotel rates have continued to skyrocket. On a quality-adjusted basis, inflation in hotel services is even higher than the price-based inflation numbers suggest.
Servicing, support, or repairing a durable good is expensive. It would make sense that firms would always prefer to skimp on these offerings, so long as they can protect their reputations. But the pandemic potentially gave them license to skimp on support even more.
This is purely anecdotal, but on Friday I had three firms basically leave me in the lurch over malfunctioning equipment—brakes on a car, a piece of exercise equipment, and a cooling unit. The service station had my car since Monday, but still hadn’t called me by Friday.
It was as if they could care less that I couldn’t use their products. Consumers are already vulnerable for aftermarket support services, as undoing the transaction in the primary market is difficult if not impossible.
But I suspect that “supply shortages” and consumers’ willingness to accommodate such “dislocations” have given firms license to cut support even more than usual. I’m curious if I just had a bad day, or whether cutting corners this way is endemic in the economy.
Measuring support services seems daunting. But perhaps one could measure the number of complaints to the FTC or the Better Business Bureau to learn if consumers are feeling the shaft at a heightened level that coincides with inflation (a price-based form of shafting consumers).
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I have new piece up on The Sling that summarizes the findings of a new paper of mine, co-authored by Jacob Linger and Ted Tatos, that explores the connection between rental inflation and concentration of ownership of rental properties in Florida. Short 🧵 thesling.org/the-rent-is-to…
We used Florida property tax roll data to construct the footprint of property owners in each census tract. Here is an animated map of the South Shore neighborhood of River View from 2015 to 2022. You can see how these five owners built up a cluster of rental properties over time.
We calculate the Herfindahl Hirschman Index (HHI) among owners in a given census tract. Here's a map of tract-level HHIs in 2022 based on unit shares of non-owner-occupied housing properties. Lower HHI areas are colored lighter yellow, while higher HHI areas appear in dark red.
And don’t let the door hit your butt on the way out!
Does The Economist think Trump’s tariffs on steel, or Trump’s massive subsidy of Covid vaccines were exemplars of laissez faire? Or can only a Democrat reject laissez faire? Newsflash: Laissez faire is dead, and it died long ago. There is no constituency for it, in either party.
This is some cutting-edge data analytics right here. The Economist should raise its subscription price for all the extra statisticians they must have hired!
The OECD just released a new paper on the nexus between competition and inflation, and the takeaway is that we are making major inroads in the economic debate. 🧵
The paper spells out all the ways competition could contribute to inflation, including through "feedback effects," such as when inflation is used as pretext or facilitating mechanism by firms in concentrated industries to raise prices further.
The paper reviews the econ lit showing how markets across the globe have become less competitive over time, citing De Loecker, @jan_eeckhout and Unger’s seminal work on margins. It notes rising concentration could be an “amplifying factor” in the current inflationary environment.