Ryan Burge 📊 Profile picture
May 16, 2023 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
For all the talk about how conservative Christians are the most involved in the political process, let me share some data.

Atheists engage in many political activities at 2x the rate of white evangelicals.

🧵 with graphs!

graphsaboutreligion.com/p/no-one-parti…
In political activities of every type, atheists are the most active or tied for the most active.

Most likely to donate money, contact a public official, put up a political yard sign.

But also score high on attending political meetings and volunteering for a campaign. Image
I took all six acts, added them up, and calculated the mean political activity score.

Guess who is at the top? Atheists, followed closely by Jews.

Then a huge gap.

Average atheist: 1.52 political acts.
Average American: .91.

Atheists are ~65% more politically engaged. Image
But maybe this is because atheists typically have higher education and higher income, right?

So I tested that in a regression.

At every level of education, atheists are at the very top end of political engagement. Jews are a little lower.

Christians are nowhere close. Image
This is crystal clear when it comes to making a political donation. This every election year from 2012 through 2022.

In every recent election cycle an atheist is TWICE as likely to donate compared to a white evangelical.

The narrative needs to change a bit. Image
But there are a lot more white evangelicals than atheists, obviously.

However, the gap is not as big as most people would guess.

In the 2020 data, 4.7% of the entire sample were white evangelicals who made a political donation.

But! 3.1% were atheist donors. Image
The Religious Right was easily the most important religion and politics story of the last 50 years.

What will more than likely dominate this part of the political world in the next 50 years will be growing importance of non-religious Americans.

They are activated and engaged. Image

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More from @ryanburge

Jan 28
The finding that young women are becoming a lot more liberal while young men are becoming a lot more conservative DOES NOT REPLICATE in the Cooperative Election Study.

In fact, the two lines have run in almost perfect parallel for the last 15 years.
Image
Great points from @dcoxpolls here.

It's nearly impossible to perfectly replicate a finding across two different surveys.

Face to face vs online, question wording, response options are never consistent across two instruments.

@dcoxpolls This is an adjacent measure:

It's % Democrats minus % Republicans. Again, 18-29 year olds by gender.

Women are more Democratic than men.

The difference for women is D+22, for men it's D+13.

But, no huge shifts on this metric in recent years, either. Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 4, 2023
If there's a graph that lives rent free in my head right now, it's this one.

For decades, there was a positive relationship between religious attendance and interpersonal trust.

More attendance <---> More trust.

That relationship flipped in the last decade.

🧵 Image
The American public has really never been that trusting.

Even in the early 1970s the share who said, "you can't be too careful" in trusting other people was higher than those who said people "can be trusted."

But the gap was widened.

1970s: 51% vs 45%
2021: 65% vs 26% Image
And here's something that I found interesting.

For Republicans in the 1970s, there were more trusters than distrusters.

That wasn't the case for Democrats - they've always been more skeptical.

In 2021, Trust vs No Trust:
Republicans: 28% vs 65%
Democrats: 31% vs 57% Image
Read 7 tweets
Jul 17, 2023
In the last fifteen years, American religion has become less about things like regular corporate worship and more about using religion as a cultural and political marker.

It's Christians who don't go to church fighting for "traditional" values.

🧵

graphsaboutreligion.com/p/religion-as-…
It's clear as day in the religious attendance of those who self-identify as evangelical/born-again.

16% of evangelicals attended never/seldom in 2008.

It's 27% in 2022.

Weekly attendance was 59% in 2008.

Now, it's 49%.

Weekly+ attendance is down 11 pts since 2008. Image
This is clearly a political phenomenon.

Among never attending Democrats, 4% were evangelical in 2008. It was 5% in 2022.

Among never attending Republicans, 7% identified as evangelical in 2008. In 2022, that had risen to 18%.

It's true for Reps at every attendance level. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jun 26, 2023
Religion in the United States has become a haven for those who have done everything "right"

College degree
Middle class income
Married
Children

That's the clear and unmistakable story from the data. And it's bad for democracy and religion.

graphsaboutreligion.com/p/religion-has…
There is something very clear in the data: educated people are more likely to identify with a religious tradition.

That's true in every single wave of the CES since 2008.

The idea that religion is a refuge for the uneducated is demonstrably false.
That's all the case when looking at religious attendance. The people who are the most likely to attend weekly are those with a post-graduate degree.

The least likely? Those with a high school diploma or less.

It's consistent in all the data I've ever looked at.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 19, 2023
New post today about something that social science has long believed to be true: women are more religious than men. A raft of studies have come to that conclusion.

But maybe, among the youngest adults, that's not true anymore.

🧵 w/graphs!

graphsaboutreligion.com/p/women-are-mo…
This is the share who are nones by gender and birth year from six waves of the CES.

For folks born in the 1960s, 1980s, etc., the lines run parallel. Men are more likely to be nones.

But look at the right hand side of each: the lines are not converging. Maybe even crossing. Image
Maybe this is just the CES - let's look at the GSS.

This is share of 18-25 year olds who are nones with data going back to the 1980s.

Young men have always been more likely to be nones. Until recently.

In the 2021 GSS, 50%+ of young women are nones. It's 40% of men. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 8, 2023
A new post about the state of vaccine refusal in a post-COVID world.

The @GSS_NORC added a battery about parental rights to refuse the MMR vaccine, and questions about vaccine safety and necessity.

Are religious folks more vaccine skeptical?

graphsaboutreligion.com/p/is-religion-…
I don't have religious affiliation but I do have attendance.

21% of folks who never attend say that parents should have to right to refuse the MMR vaccine for their kids.

It's 30% of those who attend weekly. Image
It's really interesting to me that very few Americans disagree that, "vaccines are important for children to have." It's 3-5% of the public.

However, 38% of weekly attenders don't agree that "vaccines are safe."

It's only 29% of those who never attend. Image
Read 5 tweets

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