The most amazing thing about this is not the fact that the largest percentage of excess pandemic deaths is in the 35-44 and 25-34 year age groups

But how much the wrong "COVID is mild in children" narrative was driven by successes in mitigating COVID in the first year Image
Notice how there were actually NEGATIVE excess deaths in the < 1 year & 1-4 year age demographics in 2020?

Why?

Because in the first year remote schooling, mask wearing, working from home, etc. all absolutely tanked deaths in the very young from things like influenza, RSV, etc. Image
Indeed, in the first year deaths from COVID in children were very low

But not because, as we were told, COVID is not a risk for children

But because of the same reasons that in 2020 deaths in children from RSV, influenza, etc. were very low

Remote schooling, masks, etc. ImageImage
Fast-forward to 2022, just after the Great Infection when we used contaminated school classrooms to force-infect over fifty million children with a deadly BSL-3 superpathogen

In 2022 pediatric excess death rates more than made up for the 2020 deficit ImageImage
And together with the wholesale dropping of any forms of protection for the children (masks, vaccinations, ventilation, etc.) guess what?

Influenza and RSV came roaring back as well ImageImage
Another amazing thing is just how much the death rates among the unvaccinated grew in 2021.

While highly vaccinated demographics like those aged 65 and older hardly moved the needle in 2021, under-vaccinated demographics from 15-44 years old saw staggering death rate increases Image
In sum:

* The narrative that COVID didn't affect children was driven by a false sense of its mildness due to mitigations such as online school, masking, etc. In reality there was no reason to expect COVID to be milder in children than it was (relatively) in adults

And it's not
* Once mitigations and protections were taken away from children, disease ripped through their population using schools as the primary vector of transmission.

From schools children brought the disease home to their parents, younger siblings, etc. ImageImageImage
* The rise of excess deaths over the pandemic is concentrated not among the older population but squarely in the 25-45 year old demographic.

This demographic does not as a rule die but when they do die, now they die of COVID
* The lack of vaccination among younger demographics, particularly that crucial 25-45 year old demographic, is the primary driver of mortality

In short, it's the virus, not the vaccine, that is killing young people

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More from @greg_travis

Jan 18
IMPORTANT

The US CDC has announced that, going forward, reported SARS-CoV-2 wastewater levels will be normalized to an endemic baseline

"Zero" on this baseline will be levels in the previous year

@EvanBlake17 @BenjaminMateus7 @arijitchakrav Image
What this means is that the level of SARS-CoV-2 virus in the environment will be reported as the difference between current readings & the readings of a year ago

If Jan of 2024 reading was 1,000 & Jan 2025 it's also 1,000, Jan 2025 wastewater levels will be reported as 0 (zero)
It is difficult to fathom just how cynical this is

It's a bureaucratic admission that not only do we need to live with a constant and very high amount of SARS-CoV-2 virus around us but that this constant and very high amount will represent "normal."
Read 4 tweets
Dec 11, 2024
Luigi Mangione’s manifesto is remarkable in its banality
I say banal because anyone who encountering our health care system has the same experience as Mangione

The same cruelty-for-cruelty’s sake, the same rapaciousness, the same desert of empathy

To wit
1.Unsatisfied pleas to fix his mother’s and his ailments

2.Endless cycles of incompetence and repetition of failed processes that have not succeeded in the past

And have no promise of succeeding in the future
3. Frightening demands for payment. Payment for failure

An institutional shakedown compelling people to pay what they cannot live without at a price they afford

4. All packaged in an uncaring cascade of disdain from providers and payers upon the hapless patient
Read 13 tweets
Oct 23, 2024
COVID: The Children's Pandemic

January of 2024 was the deadliest January in the last decade and a half for school-aged children Image
Paradoxically, February of 2021 was the least deadly February of the last decade and a half for school-aged children

This is the difference between trying to control viral transmission (February 2021)

And not trying at all (January 2024)

It's measured in children's lives Image
Here's another way of looking at substantially the same data. These are deaths from disease in school-aged children per month

The black wavy line is the expected number of deaths.

Any deaths above that line are excess (bad), any below are negative excess (good) Image
Read 5 tweets
Oct 4, 2024
Two things on this graph

First (blue) are the number of deaths from disease in those aged 18-44 that are in >excess< of what is to be expected

Based on the 2012-2019 deaths from disease in this age group

Second (red) are deaths from COVID as reported on death certificates Image
Whenever the blue area is above the red area it represents deaths from disease above what is expected that are not officially COVID deaths

The question then is: what caused these deaths, if not COVID?

Let's look at the same thing, this time for 5-17yos (school children) Image
Note something interesting in that graph. Early on the blue area is BELOW the red area. What does that mean?

It means that from approximately September of 2020 to March of 2021 the number of children who died from disease (ANY disease) was LOWER than expected Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 14, 2024
I wrote about this earlier -- this is a video of a wing during the Boeing 777 test program and its failing at 154% of the "design limit load"

154% sounds impressive and it is in a way but perhaps not in the way you might think...

@sameo416 @moetkacik @MCCCANM
Aircraft structures are designed to meet (or exceed) three different kinds of loads, or stresses, imposed on them:

Design Load: The load the structure is expected to endure in everyday use

Design Limit Load: The load the structure must bear without any type of permanent damage
Ultimate Load: The load the structure must bear without failure (it can be rendered unrepairable if subject to this load)

Think of it this way:

Design load: You, sitting in your chair

Design limit load: You with your 100 pound German shepherd sitting on your lap, in your chair
Read 16 tweets
Jun 10, 2024
A friend asked in in a private chat:

"@greg_travis what is the USA covid body count ATM, and how many of those have occurred since January 20th, 2021?"

Since it took me some time to put together my response:, I'm going to amortize my time by sharing it here
As of last week there had been a total of 1,192,436 deaths where COVID was listed as having contributed to the death on the death certificate

Of those 702,498 (60%) have occurred since February 1st, 2021
Note that these are simply death certificate counts which notoriously undercount specific causes of death (death certificates are biased towards general causes, not specific) & significantly underestimate the actual number of people who have died from SARS-CoV-2 infection
Read 11 tweets

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