1/6 Elements of the 10th Tank regiment part of the newly formed 3rd 🇷🇺 army corps, arrived around 13th of may in the area of the town of Odradivka (48.494300,38.014800). They had previously been deployed near Avdiivka, were they were involved a multiple failed frontal assaults
2/6 In which they suffered serious losses including most of their tanks and IFV's. They had been regrouping near the town of Lysychansk and seems to have been re-plenished with new mobik recruits from all over Russia but mostly recruits from Buryatia.
3/6 Their arrival in the area south of Bakhmut is likely an attempt to stop Ukrainian advances in this area.The unit took up positions along the T0513 road between Odradivka and Optyne. Almost immediatly after their arrival shelling and drone attacks by 🇺🇦 forces took their toll.
4/6 Several men where killed(200) and more then 10 where injured(300) among them was the newly appointed commander who eventually died of his wounds. Till yesterday there was no replacment. Due to the mostly ill equiped mobniks in this regiment, it is highly unlikely they
5/6 could withstand an attack by organised 🇺🇦 forces which are currently advancing in this direction from Klishchiivka, meaning that a large area west of the T0513 from Zaitseve to Kodema can be liberated if defenses here are breached.
6/6 🇺🇦 forces are moving slowly as not to overstretch their lines on both sides of Bakhmut, so next weeks will be crucial to the fate of Russian/Wagner sources inside the city, if 🇺🇦 can move beyond the T0513, things are starting to look grim for these forces.
1/15 I have been working on unraveling the 🇷🇺 logistics networks in the Luhansk area since the beginning of jan. When different geolocated videos showed convoy's of armoured vehicles moving towards the frontlines in Luhansk & Donetsk
2/15 These convoy's peaked my interest, and since the 🇷🇺 logistics machine heavily relies on railway, the most obvious place to start is at the railway hubs it still can use in Luhansk. There are only a handfull which suits the need of the 🇷🇺 forces & are outside of HIMARS reach
3/15 in S Luhansk the railway route between the towns of Dovzhansk(Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky, has 4 stops that would be out of HIMARS reach, but only two of those are connected with the highways into Luhansk city and onto the frontlines.These are Dovzhansk (Sverdlovsk) and Rovenky
Serveral 🇺🇦 sources report 🇷🇺 offensive actions NW of Svatove, Luhansk in the area of the town of Miasozharivka. This would line up with rumors about the 31st vdv being in the area since mid jan. Also would explain the heavy activity on the newest logistical route being used
since beginning of jan. From Rovenki and Rossosj along the highway to Novopskov and on to staroblisk & Svatove. Presumable elements of the 31st & 76th Airborne disivion have been spotted in the area around Svatove since 2 weeks and are leading the attack.
Indications could be that this might be the main axis of attack, despite the focus on Kreminna! As promised my 🧵 about the Luhansk logistics will be out soon. But i want it to be extensive, current and on the money so bare with me a little while longer please 🙏 #SlavaUkraïni
1/11 thread on the changed logistics of the 🇷🇺 forces in S-Kherson after the retreat. unloading/storing of ammo within HIMARS range was prohibited by Surovikin. causing them to abbandon HUB's like Myrne (hit nov. 11th) & Chaplynka (heli base & c2 centre) animation by @bradyafrtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2/11 This so-called 100 km rule made them look for alternatives, because of their dependance on railtransport their options in S-Kherson were limited to towns along the Crimea-Melitopol railway lines, which enters Ukraine at Chonhar.Along this line only 4 towns had the facilities
3/11 to function as large supply Hubs. Novooleksiivka (which also connects with rail to Henichesk), Rykove, Sokolohirne and Yakimivka in Zaporizhia. Novooleksiivka as first town on the line also has a important road connection to Nova Khakova & rail connection to Heniche'sk.
Quick up-date on the fundraiser, in 2 days we received almost 15K in donations! I am so proud of the overwhelming support from all of you!💪 goal is to collect 20K so please donate ⬇️ and let get this done for the guys on the frontlines🙏 please re-tweet
To support the soldiers of 🇺🇦, fighting on the frontlines we started a fundraiser for 400 Stoves & 100 Generators.These are critical supplies to keep our heroes in the fight during the winter. Distrubution will be done by @UkraineAidOps@Veteransforukr1
transport will be arranged by @deleeuwkyiv who have sent 250+ trucks with goods to 🇺🇦.
Please visit the donor page ⬆️ or the donorbox page below for more info and ways to donate. Also you can donate using the crypto wallets mentioned in the 🧵 below
Together we can help our guys & girls thru the winter period and keep them in the fight! They need our help! Please re-tweet to reach as much ppl as possible. Thank you 🙏🙏🙏 #SlavaUkraïni
Small 🧵 about the attack probably by a suicide drone @ engels AFB, near Saratov, Russia. Facts we know are an attack on the AFB happend at 12-05 @ 06.00, which is exactly the right time to strike such a target, between 6 & 7 in the morning, AD crews would normally be changing
Shifts around this time, which would definitly means a well planned operation, distance to the target assuming it was launched somewhere in the Kharkiv region would be +- 700KM. Indications are a TU-141 drone might have been used which would mean a flight time of approx. 1 hour.
🧵 by @Euan_MacDonald ⬇️ confirms the speed matches with a TU-141 drone, which could have been adapted by 🇺🇦 to be gps guided onto its target, and fitted with a 75 kg warhead, also possible is it might have been fitted with a downed 🇷🇺 planes transponder