Steffan Watkins  Profile picture
May 19, 2023 17 tweets 14 min read Read on X
Hasn't anyone thought about the implications of what the government admits to doing?

Forget that they factually, deliberately, stopped transmitting Mode-S/ADS-B to hide their "training" operations over Ottawa; what is their data retention policy, on the data they collected from… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Let's review the flight data that shows the arrival of American-registered N330TT #A3978A call sign CAVE033 operated by MAG Aerospace (per contract) from when they arrived in Ottawa on Tuesday January 25, 2022 from Hagerstown, Maryland - immediately before the arrival of the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Now let's review what I think is more realistically actually training in July 2021.

It's the same MAG Aerospace-contracted American-registered N330TT #A3978A ISR plane using no call sign (which is not suspicious). It took off from Hagerstown and flew for 1.5hrs to Ottawa, with… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Have you ever had training in a corporate environment where the trainer needs to come in from outside the organisation?

2021-07-05

What happens first thing Monday morning on "Day 1" of any course?

Introductions. Paperwork. Safety briefing. Course outline. That kind of thing;… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
2021-07-06 (Tuesday)

Leg 1 took off at 9:09 (14:09Z)

Much earlier than Monday, probably because they got the boring stuff out of the way Monday. They landed only an hour later 12:09 (17:09Z) presumably for lunch. They're not animals, and they have visitors.

Leg 2 took off at… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
Two days of #CANSOFCOM ISR training over Ottawa - so far - in Sumer 2021 - and not a single gap where their transponder was shut off; isn't that remarkable? Not for training it isn't, of course they wouldn't turn off their transponder for training, it would be completely… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2021-07-07 (Wednesday)

Leg 1 departure from CYOW at 08:44 (13:44Z) even earlier because they've got everything covered, this is presumably Day 3 of the training. They landed at 11:42 (16:42Z) because they've got to eat, and pee.

Leg 2 took off at 13:11 (18:11Z) right after… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
2021-07-08 (Thursday - Day 4)

Leg 1 - Early bird catches the worm, and they are airborne at 08:14 (13:24Z) and land at 10:53 (15:53Z). I guess they really had to pee.

Leg 2 - Took off at 12:14 (17:14Z) - they took an early lunch, and they're back at it. They landed 16:37… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
2021-07-09 (Friday - Day 5)

What happens on course on Friday?

Maybe finish early? Get to play with the cool/advanced stuff? Does that hold up?

Leg 1 took off at 08:17 (13:17Z) and at 08:32 (13:32Z) after starting to circle Bayshore Shopping Centre they turned off their ADS-B… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
2021-07-12 (Monday - Day 6?)

Can we tell if this is a continuation of the course that ended its 5th day Friday?

The plane didn't go home for the weekend, BTW, they stayed in Ottawa and enjoyed the nightlife. 😴

They took off at 13:21 (18:21Z) after lunch, and landed 14:43… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
2021-07-13 (Tuesday - Day 7?)

Because the plane is now regularly breaking Canadian aviation regulations by turning off their ADS-B transponder in flight, the tools we're using are breaking down. ADSBexchange/Dump1090 are having a hard time figuring out which of these legs are… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImageImage
2021-07-14 (Wednesday - Day 8?)

More of the same. They take off, and turn off their transponder, which civilian aircraft are not allowed to do, and re-enable it right before landing.

Leg 1 take-off 08:27(13:27Z) and disappeared at 08:31(13:31Z), reappeared at 10:51(15:51Z) and… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImageImage
2021-07-15 (Thursday - Day 9?)

Leg 1 take-off at 08:22(13:22Z) vanish at 08:24(13:24Z), reappear at 10:54(15:54Z), land at 11:01(16:01Z)

Leg 2 take-off 12:26(17:26Z), vanish 12:30(17:30Z), reappear 13:55(18:55Z), land 14:04(19:04Z) ImageImageImageImage
2021-07-16 (Friday - Day 10?)

Leg 1 take-off at 8:37(13:37Z) transponder off at 08:39(13:39Z), back on at 11:00(16:00Z), landed at 11:05(16:05Z).

Leg 2 took off at ~12:00(17:00Z), landed in to Buffalo NY 13:14(18:14Z), then on to Hagerstown

Notice the return home in 2021… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
That's either one two week course (that's my guess), or two one week courses; it's hard to tell. What isn't hard to tell is reading the Canadian Forces policy regarding their transponder posture, which quite clearly states that domestic training is not secret, and will not be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Showing up mid-week, only flying Thursday/Friday, then travelling home on Saturday broke their routine from the previous 2 week course in 2021. It is not plausible they would fly up in secret, conduct only 2 days of "training" over the convoy, and go home

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More from @steffanwatkins

Jun 17
🇨🇦⚓️ Since the Royal Canadian Navy refuse to take pictures or publicise the RCN's operation tailing the Russian Navy since June 1, once again the Americans will do the work for us. Thanks DVIDS! You keep Canadians better informed than our PAOs. 🧵
📸 Taken June 9, Published June 14

ATLANTIC OCEAN (June 09, 2024) Canadian Navy Cmdr. Peter McNeil, commanding officer of the Canadian Halifax-class frigate #HMCSVilledeQuébec (FFH 332), and U.S. Coast Guard Capt. Johnathan Carter, commanding officer of the Legend-class cutter U.S. Coast Guard Cutter Stone (WMSL 758), identify a Russian naval vessel from Stone’s bridgewing in the Western Atlantic June 9, 2024. U.S. maritime forces, in conjunction with allies and partners, consistently monitor the activity of foreign vessels operating within the U.S. Second Fleet area of operations in support of homeland defense. The U.S. Navy protects international law and safeguards freedom of navigation for all nations. (U.S. Coast Guard photo by Ens. Alana Kickhoefer/Released)Image
📸 Taken June 6, Published June 14

ATLANTIC OCEAN (June 06, 2024) The Arleigh Burke-class guided missile destroyer USS Donald Cook (DDG 75) identifies a Russian naval vessel in the U.S. Second Fleet area of operations June 6, 2024. U.S. maritime forces, in conjunction with allies and partners, consistently monitor the activity of foreign vessels operating within the U.S. Second Fleet area of operations in support of homeland defense. The U.S. Navy protects international law and safeguards freedom of navigation for all nations. (U.S. Coast Guard photo by Ens. Alana Kickhoefer/Released)Image
Read 12 tweets
Jun 10
🇷🇺 On May 17 the Russian MoD announced a flotilla of Russian Navy Northern Fleet ships departed Severomorsk for a long out of area deployment. Within a week, they had published a high quality video of Frigate Admiral Gorshkov performing exercises in the Atlantic. #ВМФ #СФ
The four vessels in the flotilla are:

Project 22350 Frigate Admiral Gorshkov, commissioned July 26, 2018

russianships.info/eng/warships/p…
Project 885M Yasen-M class SSGN Kazan (K-561), commissioned May 7, 2021

russianships.info/eng/submarines…
Read 22 tweets
Mar 13
🇨🇦🇮🇱 About an hour ago #RCAF CC-130J Hercules 130603 #C2B53F fell victim to Israeli GNSS/GPS spoofing & jamming. 130603's transponder ceased transmitting accurate position data, then stopped transmitting position data at all.
globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=c2b53f&l…
Image
It is unclear if flight #CFC2503 is air-dropping relief to Gaza, or transiting near #Israel.

It is clear that Israel is not pausing their months long electronic warfare attack on all civilian and military aviation in line of sight, and the media doesn't want to mention it.
(link showing documented GPS jamming will only work after March 13, ie, March 14+) h/t @lemonodor

gpsjam.org/?lat=32.82722&…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 26
🇨🇦⚓ Royal Canadian Navy Harry DeWolf-class arctic and offshore patrol vessel HMCS Margaret Brooke departed Halifax on January 12 for a six week #OpCARIBBE deployment. 🧵

#AOPV431 IMO:4702515 MMSI:316014540
call sign:CGMB #HMCSMargaretBrooke
marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details…
Read 11 tweets
Aug 11, 2023
🇨🇦⚓️ Where #HMCSMontréal has been since March 26, when they departed Halifax on #OpPROJECTION, using @MarineTraffic AIS-T and AIS-S data. 🧵

This thread serves as a guide, to you the reader, of what to look for in Royal Canadian Navy communications; it's your crackerjack box secret decoder ring when they're vague.

All of this information has been broadcast by the ship's AIS transponder over the airwaves, picked up with every SIGINT satellite in orbit, military and commercial, every plane in line-of-sight(LOS), collected by every significant adversary, and included in a dossier with other intelligence, that was reported up their chain of command, before I woke up this morning.

Our military and government public affairs officials can, without compromising national security, speak plainly and include everything up to (at least) this level of information, because every adversary already knows; they told them. They got the memo.

This is also the minimum amount of detail that the public should expect in any media story about HMCS Montréal's deployment; all this information is at journalists' fingertips too. Public affairs should be more forthright to make journalists' lives easier. This information isn't a secret to the outside world.

All times in UTC, unless otherwise mentioned.
🇨🇦⚓️ Royal Canadian Navy Halifax-class multi-role patrol frigate #HMCSMontréal's first port of call was Lisbon for 4 days from April 4 to April 8.

Fighting erupted in Sudan on April 15. #OpPROJECTION

🇨🇦⚓️ #HMCSMontréal arrived at the Port Said anchorage on April 17, traversed the Suez Canal into the Red Sea on April 18, then stopped transmitting AIS from April 19 until they arrived in Salalah, Oman on May 8. #OpPROJECTION

Read 54 tweets
May 24, 2023
🇬🇧 41% (9) of the RAF A400M Atlas fleet of 22 do not fly. Of the remaining 59% (13) that do fly, some of them are deployable, and some are homebodies doing training and certification. #ZM406 returned from the Airbus depot in Getafe, Spain 🇪🇸. Image
🇬🇧 RAF C-130J Hercules #ZH869 #43C198 was sent to Cambridge 🇬🇧 to be decommissioned, bringing the number of Hercs remaining to 5, all of which are flying regularly, except #ZH870 #43C04C hasn't flown in a week.. maybe they're next? 🪦
+ No coverage of the Herc flight to Benghazi. Image
🇬🇧 Only RAF C-17 Globemaster (#ZZ172 #43C172) hasn't flown for over a month; it's probably undergoing indepth maintenance. 88% of the fleet is regularly in the air. Image
Read 4 tweets

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