Steffan Watkins Profile picture
May 19 17 tweets 14 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
Hasn't anyone thought about the implications of what the government admits to doing?

Forget that they factually, deliberately, stopped transmitting Mode-S/ADS-B to hide their "training" operations over Ottawa; what is their data retention policy, on the data they collected from… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Let's review the flight data that shows the arrival of American-registered N330TT #A3978A call sign CAVE033 operated by MAG Aerospace (per contract) from when they arrived in Ottawa on Tuesday January 25, 2022 from Hagerstown, Maryland - immediately before the arrival of the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Now let's review what I think is more realistically actually training in July 2021.

It's the same MAG Aerospace-contracted American-registered N330TT #A3978A ISR plane using no call sign (which is not suspicious). It took off from Hagerstown and flew for 1.5hrs to Ottawa, with… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Have you ever had training in a corporate environment where the trainer needs to come in from outside the organisation?

2021-07-05

What happens first thing Monday morning on "Day 1" of any course?

Introductions. Paperwork. Safety briefing. Course outline. That kind of thing;… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
2021-07-06 (Tuesday)

Leg 1 took off at 9:09 (14:09Z)

Much earlier than Monday, probably because they got the boring stuff out of the way Monday. They landed only an hour later 12:09 (17:09Z) presumably for lunch. They're not animals, and they have visitors.

Leg 2 took off at… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
Two days of #CANSOFCOM ISR training over Ottawa - so far - in Sumer 2021 - and not a single gap where their transponder was shut off; isn't that remarkable? Not for training it isn't, of course they wouldn't turn off their transponder for training, it would be completely… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2021-07-07 (Wednesday)

Leg 1 departure from CYOW at 08:44 (13:44Z) even earlier because they've got everything covered, this is presumably Day 3 of the training. They landed at 11:42 (16:42Z) because they've got to eat, and pee.

Leg 2 took off at 13:11 (18:11Z) right after… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
2021-07-08 (Thursday - Day 4)

Leg 1 - Early bird catches the worm, and they are airborne at 08:14 (13:24Z) and land at 10:53 (15:53Z). I guess they really had to pee.

Leg 2 - Took off at 12:14 (17:14Z) - they took an early lunch, and they're back at it. They landed 16:37… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
2021-07-09 (Friday - Day 5)

What happens on course on Friday?

Maybe finish early? Get to play with the cool/advanced stuff? Does that hold up?

Leg 1 took off at 08:17 (13:17Z) and at 08:32 (13:32Z) after starting to circle Bayshore Shopping Centre they turned off their ADS-B… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
2021-07-12 (Monday - Day 6?)

Can we tell if this is a continuation of the course that ended its 5th day Friday?

The plane didn't go home for the weekend, BTW, they stayed in Ottawa and enjoyed the nightlife. 😴

They took off at 13:21 (18:21Z) after lunch, and landed 14:43… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
2021-07-13 (Tuesday - Day 7?)

Because the plane is now regularly breaking Canadian aviation regulations by turning off their ADS-B transponder in flight, the tools we're using are breaking down. ADSBexchange/Dump1090 are having a hard time figuring out which of these legs are… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImageImage
2021-07-14 (Wednesday - Day 8?)

More of the same. They take off, and turn off their transponder, which civilian aircraft are not allowed to do, and re-enable it right before landing.

Leg 1 take-off 08:27(13:27Z) and disappeared at 08:31(13:31Z), reappeared at 10:51(15:51Z) and… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImageImage
2021-07-15 (Thursday - Day 9?)

Leg 1 take-off at 08:22(13:22Z) vanish at 08:24(13:24Z), reappear at 10:54(15:54Z), land at 11:01(16:01Z)

Leg 2 take-off 12:26(17:26Z), vanish 12:30(17:30Z), reappear 13:55(18:55Z), land 14:04(19:04Z) ImageImageImageImage
2021-07-16 (Friday - Day 10?)

Leg 1 take-off at 8:37(13:37Z) transponder off at 08:39(13:39Z), back on at 11:00(16:00Z), landed at 11:05(16:05Z).

Leg 2 took off at ~12:00(17:00Z), landed in to Buffalo NY 13:14(18:14Z), then on to Hagerstown

Notice the return home in 2021… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
That's either one two week course (that's my guess), or two one week courses; it's hard to tell. What isn't hard to tell is reading the Canadian Forces policy regarding their transponder posture, which quite clearly states that domestic training is not secret, and will not be… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
Showing up mid-week, only flying Thursday/Friday, then travelling home on Saturday broke their routine from the previous 2 week course in 2021. It is not plausible they would fly up in secret, conduct only 2 days of "training" over the convoy, and go home

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More from @steffanwatkins

May 21
There's nothing that reinforces the stupidity of mankind like Facebook drama.

Two #USAF C-17 Globemasters (09-9212 #AE49C8 #RCH745 & 10-0214 #AE4D67 #RCH435) landed at in Calgary YYC and the USAF asked the Ground Handling Company to enforce a ban on pictures and video of the… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… ImageImageImage
Our review starts on 2023-05-13 when #RCH435 took off from Charleston and flew to JBA. #AE4D67
globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=ae49c8,a… Image
On 2023-05-14 #RCH705 departed Charleston heading NW, and #RCH435 departed JBA heading NW too.
globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=ae49c8,a…
#AE49C8 #AE4D67 Image
Read 13 tweets
Feb 27
"China promptly issued a protest on Monday after a US Navy P-8A Poseidon reconnaissance plane flew through the Taiwan Strait"

Monday, their time, is still 2023-02-27, ie today.

Did anyone already identify which #USNavy Boeing P-8A Poseidon that was this morning?
So far there seem to have been five different #USNavy P-8A Poseidons that have taken off from #KadenaAB, 4 of which conducted operations near China today, using the following Mode-S numbers to uniquely identify themselves.

#AE67BE
#AE67DA
#AE67DC
#AE683D
#AE686A (unrelated)
Read 11 tweets
Feb 26
Are you familiar with how MLAT works? I have a dataviz/infographic/GIS visualisation challenge that I'm coming to the realization I do not have the skills to adequately convey in a graphic, and am looking for some help.
Basically, I'd like to show what Syria (say) would look like with a robust MLAT-gathering network of Mode-S receivers in an isometric 3D representation, showing overlapping coverage cones, and the density of receivers needed for border or nationwide MLAT, if that makes any sense.
I picked Syria because the coverage in that area of the world isn't robust and we miss a lot of the aircraft coming in and out of the country, as well as neighbouring Iraq and Turkey.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 25
🇨🇦 #RCAF CC-177 Globemaster III (4/5, 80% ✅)

‣ 177703 flew the 3rd shipment of armoured vehicles to #Haiti 🇭🇹
‣ 177703 flew supplies from #14WingGreenwood to Sicily 🇮🇹 for the pair of CP-140 Auroras deployed to Ex #DynamicManta.

globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=c2b3ff,c…
#8WingTrenton #429Sqn Image
🇨🇦 #RCAF CC-150 Polaris (4/5, 80% ✅)

‣ 15001 is in #Hawaii for 🤷‍♂️ as call sign #CFC3120, via San Diego from Trenton.
‣ 15004 is in New Orleans for 🤷‍♂️ as call sign #CFC3133 from Trenton.
‣ 15002 is still at Mirabel.

globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=c2b355,c…
#437Sqn #8WingTrenton Image
🇨🇦 #RCAF CC-144C/D Challenger (3/4, 75% ✅)

‣ The aircraft of 412 Transport Squadron are normally extremely busy, so a 3+ week break sticks out. 144618 must be working through some stuff.

globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=c2b369,c…
#412Sqn #8WingTrenton Image
Read 5 tweets
Feb 25
🇺🇸 Has anyone looked up the Mode-S of the #USNavy P-8 Poseidon used in this piece, and put together the timeline of this story yet?
Mike is on the case, zeroing in on the time, which is what I needed! 😎

I'm presuming the flight was conducted with journalists from multiple outlets simultaneously. (NBC, CNN, more?)
Read 14 tweets
Feb 23
Very interesting; if I'm not mistaken the #AusAirForce changed their emissions posture vis-a-vis their transponder between their 2020 and 2021 #OpARGOS missions. In 2020, either they didn't fly, or they obfuscated their patrols sufficiently to avoid open source scrutiny.
From 2020-09-22 to 2020-10-24 🇦🇺 #RAAF P-8A Poseidon A47-010 #7CF9D4 was deployed on #OpARGOS, but they were never picked up using ADS-B flying any missions over the East China sea, only transits between bases. 🤔
Then for the next #OpARGOS, 2021-02-24 to 2021-03-27 I can track ten sorties from #KadenaAB by 🇦🇺 #RAAF P-8A Poseidon A47-010 #7CF9D4, all over the East China Sea by their ADS-B transponder - a much more neighbourly and less confrontational posture than not using ADS-B.
Read 6 tweets

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