Steve Loftus Profile picture
May 19, 2023 28 tweets 9 min read Read on X
🌊 𝗨𝗞 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗠𝗲𝗴𝗮𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱 🌊

Twitter and the media is awash with lies, half truths and misconceptions about the state of UK rivers, sewage overflows and water privatisation.

It's a complicated topic, it's going to be a long 🧵 Image
1️⃣ Many reading this will think that the following points are true

🔸 UK waters are worse than ever
🔸 EU water is much better
🔸 Tories voted to dump sewage
🔸 It happened after Brexit
🔸 It's due to privatisation

All of these are wrong. I'll show you why.
2️⃣ Let's start with some basics. This is a bit dull but necessary.

There is 250,000 km of sewers throughout England of which around 100,000 km is combined. This means surface water (ie rain) and waste water use the same pipes. Since the 1960's new sewers have been separate.
3️⃣ When it rains heavily and the system gets too full the options are for it to come back up your toilet or into water bodies via CSO pipes. All of these pipes have existed for 150 - 60 years. This is not a new problem.

CSO's are not a bug, they are a feature. Image
4️⃣ Every sewer system in the world has CSO's. England has just under 15,000 of the UK's 22,000.

Europe has around 330,000 CSO's.

USA totals are sketchy but they release 800 BILLION gallons of combined sewage a year! 💩

They aren't going anywhere.
5️⃣ So why all the uproar about them now when sewage has been flowing into rivers forever?

More data.

In 2014, Richard Benyon MP led the charge for all CSO's in England and Wales to be 100% monitored by 2023. In 2016 when the rollout started only 5% were monitored.
6️⃣ This led to misleading graphs like below being spread around Social Media and politic opponents of the Government using it to purposefully mislead the public.
There was no increase in sewage overflows, only an increase in monitored events. Image
7️⃣ Here's an incredibly misleading story from @SkyNews without even the bare minimum of scrutiny. If this is "Labour's analysis" of the data as the story says, you have to question their ability to run the country.

news.sky.com/story/huge-inc…
8️⃣ It's not just Sky. This story was on every news channel and in every newspaper without a single one of them mentioning it was down to more monitoring not more sewage.

telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/08/1…
9️⃣ It's important to note that CSO's work much like the overflow in your sink. It's an automatic process that's triggered when safety limits are reached.

There is no fat cat CEO with a "Dump Sewage" button on his desk.
1️⃣0️⃣ The systems that this Government brought in to improve the problem have been used very effectively against them. Many still believe the "The Tories voted to allow sewage dumping" lie.

fullfact.org/environment/mu…
1️⃣1️⃣ Despite a lack of monitoring the issue of sewage overflows has almost certainly got better, not worse. Especially in urban areas. Testing going back to the 70's shows Ammonia and BOD levels associated with sewage declining markedly in rivers. Image
1️⃣2️⃣ Which brings us to water quality testing.

You will frequently see headlines such as the one below that highlight a decline in how "Good" our rivers are.

theguardian.com/environment/20…
1️⃣3️⃣ Activists such as Feargal Sharkey often us them to show a decline in English rivers since 2009 when monitoring under the EU Water Framework Directive began.

1️⃣4️⃣ What nobody ever mentions is that a large reason for the decline is the EU added more substances to test for and thus fail against in 2015 leading to a decline in numbers. Then again in 2019 they added uPBT's.

Around 40% of the decline is due to these added substances.
1️⃣5️⃣ The rest of the decline is likely not due to sewage. Only 36% of pollution is down to overflows says Owfat. The largest polluter at 40% is Nitrogen and Phosphorous from farming run off.

Which is why the Gov introduced Farming Rules for Water in 2018. Image
1️⃣6️⃣ What is always missing is context so that the UK seems like a poor outlier.

The UK may be 14% "Good", around the same as Belgium, but Germany is only 8% and The Netherlands less than 4%. Most of mainland Europe is no better than the UK. Image
1️⃣7️⃣ The same goes for coastal bathing waters.

93% of UK bathing waters are rated good or excellent, up from 70% in 2009 and nearly double what is was in the 1990's. This is comparable to EU countries where the average is also 93%.

eea.europa.eu/themes/water/i…
1️⃣8️⃣ Another common attack line on English water is privatisation and lack of investment.

What those same people fail to mention is that Scotland and Northern Ireland are publicly owned, and Welsh Water is a not "Not for profit" funded by the Welsh Gov.
1️⃣9️⃣ These problems persist in the devolved nations with large amounts of sewage via overflows. England has less clean water leaks per head in the UK. Nearly half those of Scotland and NI.

Since privatisation investment has increased significantly in England. Image
2️⃣0️⃣ Between 2020 and 2025 we are investing more in water infrastructure than any European country. And this is before the announcement yesterday (May 18th) of £10bn extra specifically for sewage upgrades. Image
2️⃣1️⃣ I could talk more on how the Water companies work and how our bills have not gone up in 20 years despite all the investment above but the excellent Robert Colville covered it in depth last year.

2️⃣2️⃣ Uk waters are better than they have ever been. More attention is being paid to it than ever before. More money is being spent on it that ever before. Believe it or not the current government have done more for water quality than any past government.
2️⃣3️⃣ That's not to say they are perfect, there is more to be done. The Gov have been dragging their feet on removing the right for new builds to connect to sewers and more funding for the EA to monitor and prosecute water companies and farmers is required.
2️⃣4️⃣ But things are nowhere near as bad as social media and the media would have us believe and things are better, not worse.
Just to add to this,

Do not use flushable wet wipes.

Wet wipes have increased blockages 400%. They cause the vast majority of blockages and overflows when it isn't raining.

The Gov has been banning them for about 5 years but keeps dragging their feet. Image
I wanted to add another example of intentional misinformation with another excellent thread by Robert Colville tearing apart a Guardian article widely used to mislead.

Feargal has entered the chat.

It's very clearly not illegal, read the Water Industry Act.

And the EU took every EU country to court in 2012 as an act of political theater.

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More from @LoftusSteve

Jan 14
While Ed announced the ridiculous prices for AR7 offshore wind this morning DESNZ has snuck out a new Electricity Generation Costs report that is vastly different to the 2023 report widely used to sell renewables as the way forward.

Read on 👇 Image
The EGC 2023 report has been widely used by MPs and advocates to show that wind and solar are the only way forward and offer massive future savings.

The new report is vastly different.
If we levelise the prices to 2024 values, Offshore wind has increased by 121% in 2030, from £46 to £102 per MWh.

Onshore wind has increased 34% to £69/MWh, although this seems fanciful considering it was £82 last year.

Solar has increased 46% to £60. Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 29, 2025
There's so much wrong with this "study" that @fionaharvey thought was befitting of publishing in the Guardian. A major national newspaper should not be printing such obviously flawed and biased pre prints by college students.

theguardian.com/environment/20…
Firstly, this is not "research by University College London". It is an unreviewed preprint by a UCL student who is a Hedge Fund manager and owner of COMAC. Both the main author and secondary author are COMAC executives.
Maslin, a Professor at UCL, is attached as a form of "authority laundering" which enabled UCL to attach it's name, push out a press release and get gullible journos to print it.

Despite the dubious motivations of hedge fund guys pushing wind at a time wind shares are slumping.
Read 15 tweets
Jul 20, 2025
📊**The "LCOE is misleading" megathread **📊

When I write about electricity prices, one of the most common comebacks is a link to some form of LCOE report that says wind and solar are insanely cheap.

Let’s break down what it leaves out, and why it misleads on renewables. 🧵 Image
1️⃣Levelised Cost of Electricity is the average lifetime cost per unit from a power source.

Add up all costs to build & run a generator and divide by total expected MWh produced. Simple, right? It’s been used for decades to compare power sources on an “equal” basis
2️⃣ In the old days of big power plants, planners needed a single number to compare dispatchable baseload options (oil, coal, gas, nuclear) in regulated markets.

It assumes steady output, local build and ignores when or how power is delivered – a key point, as we’ll see. Image
Read 19 tweets
Jun 18, 2025
💰The Cost of Renewables 2025 Megathread💰

The Government is pushing the narrative that renewables are cheap and gas is the problem. It's been 18 months since my last thread showed this to be a lie.

Have things changed? Or is Ed Miliband driving us towards ruin? 🧵Image
1️⃣ We are constantly being fed the same lies.

🔹Renewables are the cheapest
🔹Prices are high because gas sets the market
🔹Solar is the cheapest form of electricity
🔹Labour will drop bills £300

All of it is nonsense. I'll show you why.
2️⃣ There are three renewables subsidy schemes in operation.

Contracts for Difference (CfD) that came into effect in 2017 and Renewables Obligation (RO) which ran from 2002 until 2017. These cover all large projects.

FiT (Feed in Tariff) is for sub 5MW projects.
Read 31 tweets
Jun 17, 2025
1️⃣2️⃣ The Renewables Obligation scheme, closed to new entrants in 2017, continues to impact energy bills significantly. Costs are projected to peak around 2028, with the scheme's burden not clearing until 2037, adding substantial charges to consumers' electricity bills.
1️⃣3️⃣ Last, and most expensive, is the Feed-in Tariff (FiT). Running from 2009 to 2019 with 20 year contracts, although the first 2 years have 25 year contracts. FiT is for sub 5MW projects which by quantity is mostly rooftop solar PV. This generates 7% of all renewables. Image
1️⃣4️⃣ The Ofgem annual reports for FiT are less detailed, but we do know that it generated 8.3 TWh and paid £1.86bn for it. That's £224 per MWh.

However, we do know how much of each tech is in the scheme and can estimate the cost using capacity factors and median rates. Image
Read 5 tweets
May 21, 2025
The Great Carbon Rip-off

The UK's planned alignment with EU-ETS is a grave economic mistake that will hit every household and business. Higher carbon prices will drive up electricity costs, fuel inflation, and by 2027, increase heating and transport costs. 🧵Image
1⃣ The EU carbon market (EU-ETS) already commands prices of €80-90 per tonne of CO2 - significantly higher than the UK's current system (which was £31 in Jan). Alignment means adopting these higher carbon costs, immediately driving up electricity prices across Britain.
2⃣ Energy intensive industries will pass these costs to consumers. This isn't just about your electric bill - it's about EVERYTHING you buy. From food production to manufacturing, higher electricity costs cascade through the entire economy.
Read 13 tweets

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