Robert Young Pelton Profile picture
May 20 7 tweets 3 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
The UAE hired Wagner in Libya and now they are moving them to support Hemeti via their other mercenary Khalifa Haftar in Sudan. Go get some popcorn. theafricareport.com/306184/egypts-…
The tricky part. Haftar who was born in Egypt and is an American citizen is linked to Sisi and Egypt because of his role in Eastern Libya as warlord. Burhan is using Egyptian pilots and is linked to Sisi. This will be messy. libyafiles.com
The UAE backed the 2013 coup in Egypt that eliminated the democratic government of Morsi. The UAE then tried to topple the Tripoli government with their rent a hack named Haftar and Wagner. They failed. in 2020 Turkey shattered their autocratic dreams. cnn.com/2023/04/20/afr…
Sudan like Libya, CAR, DRC etc is a fractured state many blame on colonial engineering. But the new order wants these African powerhouses to be fractous. Getting their moneysworth with small mercenary, proxy or military interference. foreignpolicy.com/2023/05/16/sud…
The commonality is that outisde autocrats work very hard to prevent democratic transitions. This is normally where America steps in. But there is less and less interest in pushing back on the autocrats play for a New World Order. thenationalnews.com/opinion/editor…
One could argue that former strongman al Bashir balanced all factions. From bin Laden to Russia to the West to hold things together and war on his neighbors. This benign dictatorship seems to be the preferred endstate for Russia, China, UAE, Saudi etc. pbs.org/wgbh/pages/fro…
Unlike the early Mahdiists vs colonialists, the two warring sides are artificially generated and supported militias created by outside forces. This point is paramount as the conflict fades away as just another African nation squabbling over control. warfarehistorynetwork.com/article/govern… Image

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More from @RYP__

May 22
Alexander Litvinenko was poisoned because he knew the details of the 1999 apartment bombings. Part of which was based on an interview I did with a captured GRU agent in Grozny. Putin used those bombings as a pretext for his first invasion. journeyman.tv/film/7255/in-m…
In 1999 no one really knew how a mid level bureacrat had suddenly becmae the head of Russia. Within weeks a war began against a independent nation who had democratically elected ruler.
The second invasion of Chechnya set the tone for Putin's further adventures. Creation of quisling forces, disinformation, false flags, civilian targeting, ethnic cleansing and total destruction.
Read 5 tweets
May 21
As we head into 2024 remember foriegn influence in U.S. elections is pretty obvious. It's best not to complicate it too much by worrying about the method use to launder the funds required. This is a great intro into cause and effect. What did Trump do and for whom is the answer.
Trump has always been a greasy little squid from Queens. The idea that he would do something on principal and not for money has yet to be documented. So again, embrace the obvious. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Trump was so oily that most foriegn dictators immediately understood that America's foriegn policy and soul was for sale... long before we did. Surely graft can't be that naked. Oh it can be. We were just the last to know. pewresearch.org/global/2021/06…
Read 5 tweets
May 21
I interviewed two mercenary leaders who advocated for "Rapid Reaction Forces" The UAE set one up in 2010 made up of Colombians and Eeben Barlow keeps pushing for an African force. Putin has already created this concept in Ukraine, Syria, Sudan, CAR etc. Use that framework.
The US uses FID cels to increase miltiary skills. ISIS uses franchising. A small group of trainers that show insurgents how to monetize their violence by controlling or taxing trade. "Wagner" is more complex. fpri.org/article/2022/0…
Russia brings diplomatic cover, financing, banking, violence and training to shithole nations that the U.S. wouldn't normally engage in. They create financial footprints to allow the flow of money in and resources out. crisisgroup.org/africa/central…
Read 9 tweets
May 21
Reality... now harshing the Korean Boy Band Leica marketing buzz.
Supporting autocratic invaders with military gear can cause some damage to a brand. meduza.io/en/feature/202…
Leica works hard to maintain their high margins and upscale fashionista image but plenty of other companies you never heard of are keeping the Russians busy killing Ukrainians. Here is a deep dive. theins.ru/en/economics/2…
Read 4 tweets
May 21
"Hybrid Regime" — a country that holds elections yet has strong autocratic characteristics. justsecurity.org/86604/dealing-…
From Norway (#1 in freedom) to Afghanistan (don't even bother trying to measure the misery). The loss of freedom is real. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy… ImageImageImageImage
Removing power from the population is typically the work of outside forces and small groups of internal fuckerists. We truly need to change our view of treason and the laws that protect individual voices in government. freedomhouse.org/report/freedom… ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
May 20
They used to roll out the big movies in the summer. When people are starved for entertainment. This summer its going to be wall to wall Humpty Dumpty court cases. businessinsider.com/michael-cohen-…
"The Night the Votes Got Stole in Georgia" will be a blockbuster. Fani Willis will join a new league of black DA stars. politico.com/news/2023/04/2…
Letita James has picked the back to school season to avoid the crowded summer Trump box office. washingtonpost.com/nation/2023/04…
Read 7 tweets

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