1/ Donbas separatist Pavel Gubarev has complained that too few Russians see occupied parts of Ukraine as Russian, and warns that if the war is lost, "You will not be able to earn money, women will stop giving you money, you will not have children, you will all be fucking drunk."
2/ In a video posted by Gubarev, he says that the occupation authorities in the Kherson region conducted a survey on the inhabitants' attitudes towards Russia. It found "very different" results from those living in the Luhansk and Donetsk 'People's Republics'.
3/ Gubarev argues that the inhabitants of the "new territories" have lost their "identity" as Russians because of "Ukrainian propaganda". He also complains that Russian society does not perceive the "new territories" as part of the Russian Federation.
4/ He calls for this to change and issues a dire warning: "We need a Russian national idea, and there are only two ways: win and strengthen or lose and survive decolonisation. They will dismember us like in the USSR in '91, into 20 pieces. Oh man, it will be worse than the 90s."
5/ "It's gonna be awful. You will not be able to earn money, women will stop giving you money, you will not have children, you will all be fucking drunk. Drinking all the time."
6/ As the 'Caution, news' Telegram channel suggests, he likely found out about the survey via his wife Kateryna, who worked as vice-governor of the Kherson region. She resigned in November 2022 after coming under suspicion of embezzling at least 60 million rubles ($750K). /end
1/ The US Office of Management and Budget is circulating questionnaires to democracy-promoting organisations in eastern Europe, asking them if they are promoting DEI or climate science, opposing abortion, "combating Christian persecution", or making money for the USA. ⬇️
2/ A six-page memorandum with the questionnaire has been leaked to the independent Russian media outlet Agency. News. It appears to have been sent to all agencies that fund foreign assistance as part of a global review. Further funding depends on how the questions are answered.
3/ Four Eastern European organisations which have received currently frozen funding from the State Department’s Bureau of Democracy, Human Rights, and Labor say they have received the questionnaire.
1/ In two possible indications that the Russians expect fighting in Ukraine to end soon, the Russian army has reportedly abruptly stopped recruiting convicts, and officers are said to be flocking to safe areas of Donetsk and Luhansk so that they can gain war veteran benefits. ⬇️
2/ According to the VChK-OGPU Telegram channel, "sources report that in a number of penal colonies and pretrial detention centers the recruitment of prisoners for the war was suspended. It is possible that this was done everywhere."
3/ "In some regions even those convicts who had been approved for sending to the so-called Special Military Operation zone by all authorities were "turned back".
1/ The acute exhaustion and demoralisation of the Russians fighting in eastern Ukraine comes across in a vivid description of conditions on the ground, as told by the Telegram blog of a Russian soldier titled, revealingly, 'Groundhog Day'. ⬇️
2/ 3 March 2025
"I have not been able to concentrate, sit down and write a note lately. Another hit cuts off the power, so I sit down to try to convey all the feelings of the last few days.
3/ "It is difficult to say that this is even real. The whole essence of what is happening to us, in general and to me in particular, is expressed easily and simply - a nightmare. No, there is no fear as such.
1/ Russian soldiers are being stuck with massive fines, to be paid from their own pockets, for driving military vehicles on toll roads. They complain that the Russian army is making them pay for so much themselves that they can't make any profit from fighting in Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ A Russian army driver writes to the 'Two Majors' Telegram channel:
"I am a mobilised driver, I drive a Ural [truck]."
3/ "In Moscow there is a road called Bagration Avenue, I drove along it, with black [military] licence plates, I carried out orders, I chose this road because I wanted to reduce travel time.
1/ Ukrainian drones are dominating the skies above exhausted Russian soldiers in the Donetsk region, according to a prominent Russian warblogger. As a result, Russia's progress has virtually halted in the region, even as it advances in Kursk. ⬇️
2/ 'Military Informant' highlights the likely culmination of the Russian offensive in eastern Ukraine. He contrasts the situation in the Donbas and Kursk, and warns that an orderly Ukrainian withdrawal in the latter will cause more difficulties in the former:
3/ "Against the background of significant advancement in the Kursk region, a serious slowdown in the offensive tempo of the Russian Armed Forces in Donbas has been observed for a month now.
1/ An officer of the Russian 37th Motor Rifle Regiment says its men are being "slaughtered" by their own commanders. A former Wagner mercenary who was "eager to fight for our country" is said to have "ended up as meat in the hands of his own commanders" who executed him. ⬇️
2/ 35-year-old Anatoly Aleksandrovich Savin, callsign 'Pokhula', went missing in November 2024 on the front line east of Lyman, in the Donetsk region. His regiment is a relatively new formation, created only around May 2023.
3/ According to his mother Lidiya, Savin was an ex-Wagner Group mercenary who joined the army (likely in 2023) after the Russian Ministry of Defence effectively dismantled Wagner's presence in Ukraine.